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Causal State-Dependent Local Projections
David, Joel M. & Giacomini, Raffaella & Jiao, Xiyu & Wang, Weining
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Optimal Mirrlees Taxation over the Business Cycle
Veracierto, Marcelo
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Monetary-Policy Risk and Equilibrium Asset Prices
Feldman, Corey & King, Thomas B.
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AI, Expectations, and Optimal Interest Rates
Villa, Alessandro
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The Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: Bridging the Gap with Alternative Labor Data
Brave, Scott A. & Henken, Ben & Karger, Ezra & Safi, Aryan
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Sovereign Risk with Endogenous Debt Limits
Arce, Fernando & Villa, Alessandro
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Taxing Entrepreneurs and Workers: A Linear Optimization Approach for Multidimensional Screening
Ceneri, Nicolo & Lopomo, Giuseppe & Villa, Alessandro & Werquin, Nicolas
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Firms and the Gender Wage Gap: A Comparison of Eleven Countries
Bertheau, Antoine & Hijzen, Alexander & Muraközy, Balázs & Palladino, Marco & Kunze, Astrid & Barreto, César & Nordström Skans, Oskar & Lochner, Benjamin & Gulumser, Dogan & Lombardi, Stefano & Lassen, Anne Sophie & Lachowska, Marta & Lattanzio, Salvatore & Meekes, Jordy
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Financial life after the death of a spouse
Fadlon, Itzik & Ramnath, Shanthi & Camner McKay, Lisa & Tong, Patricia K.
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Medicaid-ing Uninsurance? The Impact of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid Expansion on Uninsurance Spells
Heim, Bradley T. & Patel, Elena & Ramnath, Shanthi
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How the U.S. Treasury Futures Market and the Basis Trade Could Be Affected by the Treasury Clearing Mandate: Part 2—The Possible Role of Cross-Margining
Patel, Ketan B.
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How the U.S. Treasury Futures Market and the Basis Trade Could Be Affected by the Treasury Clearing Mandate: Part 1—A Primer
Patel, Ketan B.
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Marriage, Labor Supply, and the Dynamics of the Social Safety Net
Voena, Alessandra & Pistaferri, Luigi & Low, Hamish W. & Meghir, Costas
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Fertility and Family Labor Supply
Jørgensen, Thomas H. & Low, Hamish W. & Jakobsen, Katrine M.
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Joint Child Custody and Interstate Migration
Jørgensen, Thomas H. & Voena, Alessandra & Low, Hamish W. & Adams, Abi & Bayraktar, Oğuz
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Expenditures, Earnings, and Net Worth of the Comédie Française, 1723–1793
Velde, Francois R.
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One Fed, Many Voices: Coordinated Communication vs. Transparent Debate
Villa, Alessandro & Melosi, Leonardo & Ferroni, Filippo & Djourelova, Milena
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Britain’s Debt Restructuring, 1717–22
Velde, Francois R.
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An Institutional Investor in 18th-Century Britain
Velde, Francois R.
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The Inherent Nonlinearity in Learning: Implications for Understanding Stock Returns
Molavi, Pooya & Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano
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The Decline of the Variance Risk Premium: Evidence from Traded and Synthetic Options
Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano
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Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence
Dew-Becker, Ian & Vedolin, Andrea
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Computing Aggregate Fluctuations of Economies with Private Information
Veracierto, Marcelo
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What Can We Learn About the Costs and Benefits of Tariffs from a Trade Model?
Hobijn, Bart & Royal, Jim & Zhang, Jing & Hillier, Caydn
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Perspectives of Small Business Intermediaries in Chicago: A Snapshot from Spring 2025
Newberger, Robin G. & Kelley, Garvester
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Technology Providers and Financial Stability: Overview of Risks and Regulatory Frameworks
Garza, Lorenzo & Chmielewski, Rebecca & Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam & Cowperthwait, Patricia K. & Cho, Meeoak & Amromin, Gene & Solimine, Brett & Anadu, Kenechukwu E. & Sanders, Siobhan & Chapel, Amy & Weiss, Emma & Hull, Cindy E. & Bräuning, Falk
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The 2025 U.S. Debt Limit Through the Lens of Financial Markets
Benzoni, Luca & Wernick, Marisa
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Human Capital in a Time of Low Real Rates
Sakong, Jung & Khorrami, Paymon
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Composition-Adjusted Wage Growth: A Robust Measure from Microdata
Honore, Bo E. & Hu, Luojia
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Optimal Fiscal Policy Under Endogenous Disaster Risk: How to Avoid Wars?
Villa, Alessandro & Valaitis, Vytautas