Latest Items by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

• Financial Markets, Oil Prices, and Supply-Side Risks
  Mertens, Thomas M. & Wasserburger, Wesley
• Reaching for Duration
  Schneider, Andrés & Paul, Pascal & Mertens, Thomas M.
• Will AI Intensify or Weaken Market Competition?
  Liu, Zheng & Leduc, Sylvain & Firooz, Hamid
• Job-Finding Anomalies of the Current Expansion
  Mikhlin, Riva & Kudlyak, Marianna & Chen, Ingrid
• AI Adoption Among Small Businesses: Qualitative Insights from the Small Business Credit Survey
  Holmes, Natalie & Sanchez-Moyano, Rocio & Simms, Sarah
• Prices and Monetary Policy: The Role of Financial Constraints
  Czarnota, Alexander & Klein, Mathias & Bauer, Michael D.
• Recency Effects in Perceived Uncertainty
  Acosta, Miguel & Sung, Yeji
• Firms’ Inflation Expectations During the Pandemic-Era Surge
  Reinelt, Timo & Malhotra, Simar & Hajdini, Ina
• Using Inflation Shock Patterns to Help Forecast Inflation
  Lansing, Kevin J. & Shapiro, Adam Hale
• Calibrating Monetary Policy
  Singh, Aayush & Barnichon, Régis
• Central Bank Bond Purchases and the Price of Safety
  Mirkov, Nikola & Zhang, Xin & Christensen, Jens H. E.
• Investing in a Durable Economic Future
  Daly, Mary C.
• How Labor Force Participation Has Diverged Across Genders
  Kim, Taerin & Avaradi, Greeshma & Kudlyak, Marianna & Hornstein, Andreas
• Trends in Labor Force Participation and Unemployment, 1976-2024
  Kudlyak, Marianna & Hornstein, Andreas
• Have We Entered an Era of High Productivity Growth?
  Abdelrahman, Hamza & Foerster, Andrew
• Fed Communications and Inflation Expectations
  Wasserburger, Wesley & Bauer, Michael D.
• Is Optimism for Artificial Intelligence Boosting Investment?
  Li, Huiyu & Kalyani, Aakash
• AI-Powered Algorithmic Pricing and Monetary Policy
  Zhao, Steven & Avaradi, Greeshma & Liu, Zheng
• What Do Financial Officers Predict for Price Growth?
  Singh, Sanjay R. & Malhotra, Simar & Graf, Tobin & Fried, Stephie
• Measuring Inflation Shock Momentum
  Shapiro, Adam Hale & Lansing, Kevin J.
• Stabilization vs. Growth
  Sanchez, Juan M. & Paul, Pascal & Faria-e-Castro, Miguel
• Regionalism at the Federal Reserve: Many Voices, One Purpose
  Daly, Mary C.
• From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation
  Lansing, Kevin J. & Jørgensen, Peter Lihn
• Real Effects of Nominal Interest Rates
  Leahy, John V. & Hausman, Joshua & Mondragon, John & Wieland, Johannes F.
• Can Models with Idiosyncratic Risk Solve the Equity Premium Puzzle? Redux
  Marin, Emile A. & Singh, Sanjay R. & Kozliakov, Gleb
• Regionalism at the Federal Reserve: Many Voices, One Purpose
  Daly, Mary C.
• Monetary Policy Through the Lens of Market-Based Inflation
  Oliveira, Luiz E. & Leduc, Sylvain
• The Effects of Tariffs on the Components of Inflation
  Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda & Halbersleben, Naomi
• Financial Conditions and Capital Investment Choices
  Phan, Toan & Schwartzman, Felipe & Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda
• The AI Moment? Possibilities, Productivity, and Policy
  Daly, Mary C.