Latest Items by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

• The AI Moment? Possibilities, Productivity, and Policy
  Daly, Mary C.
• The AI Moment? Possibilities, Productivity, and Policy
  Daly, Mary C.
• Unauthorized Immigration Effects on Local Labor Markets
  Zhou, Xiaoqing & Wilson, Daniel J.
• Is the PPPLF Still Encouraging Small Business Lending?
  Spiegel, Mark M. & Dufresne, Lora
• ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative AI
  Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Alam, M.Jahangir & Boyle, Shane & Li, Huiyu
• A Market-Based Assessment of the Outlook for Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in South Africa
  Christensen, Jens H. E. & Steenkamp, Daan
• The Work-from-home Wage Premium
  Li, Huiyu & Sauvagnat, Julien & Schmitz, Tom
• Housing Affordability and Housing Demand
  Louie, Schuyler & Najjar, Rami & Mondragon, John & Wieland, Johannes F.
• The Recent Slowdown in Labor Supply and Demand
  Chen, Ingrid & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & New-Schmidt, Addie & Bengali, Leila
• The Quiet Revolution and the Decline of Routine Jobs
  Uniat, Lindsey
• A New Labor Market Stress Indicator
  Singh, Sanjay R. & Garimella, Rohit & Jordà, Òscar
• What Can History Tell Us About Tariff Shocks?
  Singh, Aayush & Barnichon, Régis
• The Changing Sensitivity of Interest Rates to Oil Supply News
  Najjar, Rami & Miyamoto, Wataru & Sergeyev, Dmitry & Nguyen, Thuy Lan
• Financial Market Effects of FOMC Communication: Evidence from a New Event-Study Database
  Loria, Francesca & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Bauer, Michael D. & Ajello, Andrea & Acosta, Miguel
• Firms’ Inflation Expectations in a Monetary Union
  Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Reinelt, Timo
• On-the-Job Exposure to AI Among Lower-Income Workers
  Holmes, Natalie & Kneebone, Elizabeth
• Not All Inflation Is the Same: State-Dependent Transmission of Monetary Policy
  Najjar, Rami & Shapiro, Adam Hale
• The Economic Effects of Tariffs
  Nechio, Fernanda & Jordà, Òscar & Halbersleben, Naomi
• Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics
  New-Schmidt, Addie & Duzhak, Evgeniya A.
• The Evolving Homebuying Landscape: An Update with 2023 Data
  Sanchez-Moyano, Rocio
• Modern Central Banking: Monetary Policy Implementation and Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Modern Central Banking: Monetary Policy Implementation and Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Optimal Foreign Reserve Intervention and Financial Development
  Davis, J. Scott & Huang, Kevin X. D. & Liu, Zheng & Spiegel, Mark M.
• What Is a Tariff Shock? Insights from 150 years of Tariff Policy
  Barnichon, Régis & Singh, Aayush
• Market Power and the Heterogeneous Pass-through of Corporate Taxes to Consumer Prices
  Dedola, Luca & Osbat, Chiara & Reinelt, Timo
• Signs of Cyclical Weakness in Part-Time Employment?
  Graf, Tobin & Avaradi, Greeshma & Fried, Stephie
• Monetary Policy and The Medium-Run Natural Rate
  Curdia, Vasco
• The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting
  Foerster, Andrew T. & Hornstein, Andreas & Sarte, Pierre-Daniel G. & Watson, Mark W.
• Measuring Labor Market Similarities in Nearby Regions
  Fall, Cheikh & Bengali, Leila
• A Behavioral Foundation for the Investment Wedge
  Lopez, Pierlauro & Singh, Sanjay R. & L’Huillier, Jean-Paul