Latest Items by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

• Evaluating Macroeconomic Outcomes Under Asymmetries: Expectations Matter
  Bundick, Brent & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Cairó, Isabel
• Will Trade Uncertainty Boost Automation?
  Firooz, Hamid & Leduc, Sylvain & Liu, Zheng & Baskar Prabhakar, Deepika
• Inflation Since the Pandemic: Lessons and Challenges
  Shapiro, Adam Hale & Hajdini, Ina & Smith, Andrew Lee & Villar Vallenas, Daniel
• Monetary Tightening and Financial Stress during Supply- versus Demand-Driven Inflation
  Shapiro, Adam Hale & Manea, Cristina & Boissay, Frederic & Collard, Fabrice
• Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations
  Singh, Sanjay R. & Taylor, Alan M. & Cloyne, James & Jordà, Òscar
• Supply Constraints Do Not Explain House Price and Quantity Growth Across U.S. Cities
  Mondragon, John & Wieland, Johannes F. & Louie, Schuyler
• Information Acquisition and the Finance-Uncertainty Trap
  Dong, Ding & Liu, Zheng & Li, Zhaorui & Hu, Allen
• Tracking Labor Market Stress
  Garimella, Rohit & Singh, Sanjay R. & Jordà, Òscar
• A Tale of Two Tightenings
  Kwan, Simon H. & Voutilainen, Ville
• Tracking Business Sentiment in the Western United States
  Oliveira, Luiz E. & Poduri, Aditi & Abdelrahman, Hamza
• Worker and Firm Search in the Labor Market: Evidence from Classified Advertisements
  Bi, Huixin & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Traum, Nora & Woodward, Greg
• The Economic Implications of Tariff Increases
  Ulate, Mauricio & Singh, Aayush & Poduri, Aditi & Paulson, Caroline M.
• Incomplete Markets and Exchange Rates
  Singh, Sanjay R. & Marin, Emile A.
• The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium-Term Risk
  Williams, John C. & Cho, Sophia & Mertens, Thomas M.
• Dynamic Central Bank Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Dynamic Central Bank Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation?
  Lansing, Kevin J.
• Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?
  Paulson, Caroline M. & Poduri, Aditi & Kamdar, Rupal & Ulate, Mauricio & Bobrov, Anton E.
• Choose and Choose Again
  Daly, Mary C.
• The Effects of Tariffs on Inflation and Production Costs
  Hobijn, Bart & Nechio, Fernanda
• Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks
  Traum, Nora & Foerster, Andrew & Bi, Huixin
• The 2025 Trade War: Dynamic Impacts Across U.S. States and the Global Economy
  Vasquez, Jose P. & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés & Ulate, Mauricio
• A Rising Star: The Natural Interest Rate in the Euro Area
  Mouabbi, Sarah & Christensen, Jens H. E.
• Demand versus Supply: Which is More Important for Inflation?
  Lansing, Kevin J.
• Underlying Trends in the U.S. Neutral Interest Rate
  Mazin, Felipe & Carvalho, Carlos & Ferrero, Andrea & Nechio, Fernanda
• Pulled Out or Pushed Out? Declining Male Labor Force Participation
  Zhao, Cindy & Duzhak, Evgeniya A. & Bengali, Leila & Daly, Mary C.
• Assessing the Recent Rise in Unemployment
  Kudlyak, Marianna & Wiczer, David & Miskanic, Brandon E. & Avaradi, Greeshma
• The Changing Disparity in Prices Across States
  Considine, Sabrina J. & Foerster, Andrew
• Do Low Survey Response Rates Threaten Data Dependence?
  Oliveira, Luiz E. & Leduc, Sylvain & Paulson, Caroline M.
• The Ups and Downs of Household Income
  Valletta, Robert G. & Baskar Prabhakar, Deepika