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Assessing Recession Risks with State-Level Data
Ahn, Hie Joo & Eo, Yunjong & Moyon, Lucas
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Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Implementation: A speech at the American Institute for Economic Research, Shadow Open Market Committee, and Florida Atlantic University Conference, Boca Raton, Florida., January 16, 2026
Jefferson, Philip N.
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Outlook for the Economy and Monetary Policy: A speech at Outlook 26: The New England Economic Forum, Foxborough, Massachusetts., January 16, 2026
Bowman, Michelle W.
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Regulations, the Supply Side, and Monetary Policy: A speech at the Delphi Economic Forum, National Gallery – Alexandros Soutsos Museum, Athens, Greece., January 14, 2026
Miran, Stephen I
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Dollarization Waves: New Evidence from a Comprehensive International Bond Database
Temesvary, Judit & Prasad, Eswar S. & Pradhan, Swapan-Kumar
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Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Some Possible Implications for Deposits, Credit, and Financial Intermediation
Wang, Jessie Jiaxu
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In the Shadow of Bank Runs: Lessons from the Silicon Valley Bank Failure and Its Impact on Stablecoins
Du, Chuan & Sonawane, Ria & Watsky, Cy
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Modernizing Supervision and Regulation: 2025 and the Path Ahead: A speech at the California Bankers Association Bank Presidents Seminar, Laguna Beach, California (virtual)., January 07, 2026
Bowman, Michelle W.
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Automated Credit Limit Increases and Consumer Welfare
Bord, Vitaly M. & Kovacs, Agnes & Moran, Patrick
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Parallel Trends Forest: Data-Driven Control Sample Selection in Difference-in-Differences
Huh, Yesol & Kling, Matthew
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Can LLMs Improve Sanctions Screening in the Financial System? Evidence from a Fuzzy Matching Assessment
Allen, Jeffrey & Hatfield, Max S.
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Illiquid Homeownership and the Bank of Mom and Dad
Brandsaas, Eirik E.
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“Harvest Now Decrypt Later”: Examining Post-Quantum Cryptography and the Data Privacy Risks for Distributed Ledger Networks
Rodden, Megan & Mascelli, Jillian
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Decomposing Recent Employment Gains Among Disabled Workers
Tseng, Hsinyu (Samuel) & Webber, Douglas A.
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Declining Search Frictions, Unemployment, and Growth Revisited
Li, Haoran & Córdoba, Juan C. & Isojärvi, Anni T.
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Understanding Preferences for Payment Cards using Household Scanner Data
Wozniak, Krzysztof & Wang, Shuang & Rysman, Marc
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Do the Rich Really Save More? Answering an Old Question Using the SCF with Direct Measures of Lifetime Earnings and an Expanded Wealth Concept
Thompson, Jeffrey P. & Llanes, Elizabeth & Volz, Alice Henriques
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The Federal Reserve’s Response to the 2023 Banking Turmoil: The Bank Term Funding Program
Arseneau, David M. & Siemer, Michael & Kotidis, Antonis & Klee, Elizabeth C.
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Central Bank Access and Flight to Safety
Gurrieri, Lucia & Yankov, Vladimir & Vardoulakis, Alexandros & Schmiedt, Ben & Ross, Chase P.
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Settlement Speed and Financial Stability
Capponi, Agostino & Chang, Jin-Wook
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Access to Capital and the IPO Decision: An Analysis of US Private Firms
Swem, Nathan & Titman, Sheridan & Weitzner, Gregory & Almazan, Andres
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Cyber Vulnerabilities at Large US Financial Institutions and Their Third-Party Service Providers
Lee, Seung Jung & Vandre, Craig & Schreft, Stacey L. & Jerow, Sam & Flury, Adam & Du, Shengwu & Dice, Jacob & Chang, Jin-Wook
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Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents
Timmerman, Jean Xiao
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Rates of return on private and public businesses
Volz, Alice Henriques & Moore, Kevin B. & Bricker, Jesse
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The Empirical Relationship Between the Tier 1 Leverage Ratio and Community Bank Failures after the Global Financial Crisis
Horvath, Akos
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Understanding Trade Fragmentation
Richards, Keith & Santacreu, Ana Maria & Gaillard, Alexandre & Fisgin, Ece & de Soyres, Francois & Airaudo, Florencia & Young, Henry L.
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Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege
Schreger, Jesse & Du, Wenxin & Keerati, Ritt
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The Inflation Outlook: A speech at the School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University, New York, New York., December 15, 2025
Miran, Stephen I
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A Note on Recent Dynamics of Consumer Delinquency Rates
Adams, Robert M. & Barnes, Cord & Bopst, Connor & Sommer, Kamila
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Opening Remarks: A speech at the George P. Shultz Memorial Lecture Series: Shultz and Economic Policy, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, California., December 1, 2025
Powell, Jerome H.