Working Paper

The Dollar Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission


Abstract: This paper documents a new dollar channel that transmits monetary policy across borders. Exploiting unique features of the syndicated loan market for identification, we show that changes in the euro-dollar exchange rate around ECB monetary policy announcements that are orthogonal to simultaneous changes in euro-area interest rates and stock prices affect U.S. leveraged loan spreads. Specifically, in response to dollar appreciation, investors require higher compensation for risk, and borrowing costs for U.S. firms increase. These findings imply a causal link between the U.S. dollar and investors’ risk appetite.

JEL Classification: F15; G15; G21; G23;

https://doi.org/10.21033/wp-2025-06

Access Documents

File(s): File format is application/pdf https://doi.org/10.21033/wp-2025-06

Authors

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Part of Series: Working Paper Series

Publication Date: 2025-03-24

Number: WP 2025-06