Journal Article
A new quarterly output measure for Texas
Berger, Franklin D.; Phillips, Keith R. (1995-07)
Real gross domestic product is one of the most watched indicators of the U.S. business cycle. Yet at the state level, output measures are rarely used to track business conditions. Although the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates real gross state product (RGSP), the long release lag (usually about two and one-half years after the reporting year) and the annual periodicity of the data severely limit its usefulness. ; In this article, Frank Berger and Keith Phillips find that movements in quarterly personal income and various price measures can accurately explain movements in total Texas RGSP ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q III , Pages 16-23

Journal Article
The Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: a tool for understanding the economy
Berger, Franklin D.; Fomby, Thomas B.; Yücel, Mine K.; Sigalla, Fiona (2007-01)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jan , Pages 15

Journal Article
The Texas industrial production index
Long, William T.; Berger, Franklin D. (1989-11)
The Texas Industrial Production Index (TIPI) measures the output of the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors of the Texas economy. These sectors are of special interest because of their sensitivity to business cycles and because of the size (albeit declining) of the Texas mining sector. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has published TIPI since 1958. Revisions are implemented when new data sources are available, when existing data are revised, or when methodological improvements are devised. The most recent major TIPI revision came in the fall of 1988. ; Berger and Long examine TIPI's ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Nov , Pages 21-38

Journal Article
Mexican GDP falls but no one notices
Berger, Franklin D. (2005-09)
Southwest Economy , Issue Sep , Pages 15-16

Journal Article
Getting a jump on Texas employment revisions
Berger, Franklin D.; Sigalla, Fiona (2005-11)
Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 17,20

Journal Article
Solving the mystery of the disappearing January blip in state employment data
Berger, Franklin D.; Phillips, Keith R. (1994-04)
Frank Berger and Keith Phillips propose a new two-step method of seasonally adjusting state Current Employment Statistics (CES) data produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This method, first proposed in the July/August 1993 issue of Southwest Economy, recently was adopted by the BLS to seasonally adjust the broadest industry groupings of the state employment series. With this new adjustment procedure, the state employment data should be smoother and better reflect trend-cycle movements than if a more traditional seasonal adjustment method were used. ; The article finds that ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II , Pages 53-62

Journal Article
A new barometer for the Texas economy
Berger, Franklin D.; Fomby, Thomas B.; Sigalla, Fiona; Phillips, Keith R. (2005-11)
Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 14-16

Conference Paper
Recent bank failures: determinants and consequences
Berger, Franklin D.; Short, Eugenie D.; O'Driscoll, Gerald P. (1985)
Proceedings , Paper 66

Journal Article
Texas manufacturing - factories still matter in much of state
Berger, Franklin D.; Sigalla, Fiona (2006-03)
Southwest Economy , Issue Mar , Pages 10

Journal Article
Texas Manufacturing Survey offers advance look at state and national economies
Berger, Franklin D. (2010-07)
Business tendency surveys are designed to provide more timely information on economic conditions than otherwise available. Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey variables have broad explanatory power for Texas and national economic indicators. TMOS for a given reference month is available up to a month before other Texas data are available. The survey figures appear to measure what they were intended to measure. Moreover, although TMOS was designed for--and is most useful in--understanding the Texas economy, it can also contribute to explaining national developments.
Southwest Economy , Issue Q3 , Pages 16-19