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Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia  Series:Research Rap Special Report 

Journal Article
Budget gaps and balanced-budget proposals in Third District states

Research Rap Special Report , Issue Jun

Journal Article
Has job quality been \\"job one\\" in the economic recovery?

The Great Recession of 2007-09 has been followed by a Not-So-Great Recovery. The U.S. economy lost more than 8.7 million jobs, representing 6.3 percent of total U.S. payroll employment, on net, during the Great Recession. But while the recovery from this very deep recession began in June 2009, the first net increase in payrolls did not occur until March 2010, eight months into the recovery.
Research Rap Special Report , Issue Aug

Journal Article
The effectiveness of the state coincident indexes

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has produced state coincident indexes since 2005. These indexes are monthly indicators of economic activity for each of the 50 U.S. states, based on a composite of four widely available data series on state conditions: total nonfarm payroll employment, the unemployment rate, average hours worked in manufacturing, and real wages and salary disbursements.
Research Rap Special Report , Issue Jan

Journal Article
Third District housing market conditions

Research Rap Special Report , Issue Mar

Journal Article
Are we in a recession? The 'anxious index nowcast' knows!

When the economy is in the midst of a recession, even a severe one, it can be quite difficult at first to tell. For example, as the Great Recession took hold in late 2007 and early 2008, uncertainty lingered as to whether the economy had merely slowed or was already contracting. Unfortunately for policymakers, investors, and consumers ? all of whom might have been able to use such information to make better decisions regarding consumption, investment, and saving ? the recession was not officially called until December 2008. Similarly, the four prior recessions were anywhere from five to nine ...
Research Rap Special Report , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Core inflation as a predictor of total inflation

Research Rap Special Report , Issue Apr

Journal Article
Oil prices in the Third District states

Research Rap Special Report , Issue Apr

Journal Article
Wealth inequality among the Forbes 400 and U.S. households overall

While widening income inequality in the United States has garnered much public and academic attention in recent years, wealth inequality reveals an even starker picture. For instance, in 2010, the top 1 percent of income earners received 19.8 percent of total household income. In the same year, the wealthiest 1 percent held 35.4 percent of total household wealth (Kaplan 2013). Moreover, wealth inequality has increased in recent decades, with most gains concentrated among the richest 20 percent of households (Wolff 2013).
Research Rap Special Report , Issue Jul

Journal Article
What does the Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey say about local activity?

Research Rap Special Report , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Real-time performance of GDPplus and alternative model-based measures of GDP: 2005—2014

Like most macroeconomic variables, real gross domestic product is subject to measurement error. Because the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis lacks complete information at the time it publishes its initial GDP estimates, revisions are often substantial. Analysts concerned about the accuracy of these early estimates for expenditure GDP could focus instead on gross domestic income, the BEA?s measure of U.S. output on the income side of the national accounts. Conceptually, GDP on the expenditure side should equal GDP on the income side, and there should be no choice to make between the two ...
Research Rap Special Report , Issue Nov

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