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Surging House Prices Expected to Propel Rent Increases, Push Up Inflation
Zhou, Xiaoqing; Dolmas, Jim (2021-08-24)
The inflation rates of rent and owners’ equivalent rent (OER)—the amount of rent equivalent to the cost of ownership—have declined sharply since the COVID-19 pandemic began in February 2020. However, we expect rent inflation and OER inflation to accelerate in the years to come.
Dallas Fed Economics

Minority Depository Institutions Have Vital Role Serving Vulnerable Communities
Cetina, Jill; Klemme, Kelly; Perez, Michael (2022-02-01)
Minority depository institutions merit particular attention because of the unique role they play in nurturing economic activity in minority and low- and moderate-income communities.
Dallas Fed Economics

Job cyclicality provides timely signals on Texas, U.S. business cycle
Kalkunte, Prithvi; Yousuf, Mariam (2025-04-22)
The cyclicality of industries and their behavior provide early indications of economic turning points in Texas and the U.S. and provide a timelier view than other data that are widely used to confirm downturns and expansions.
Dallas Fed Economics

Hours Worked by Women Age 55 to 61 Confound Labor Market Analysis
Gross, Andrew; Zarazaga, Carlos E. (2019-11-26)
The seemingly anomalous low LIUR of one particular demographic group poses a challenge for assessing the extent to which the U.S. economy is currently close to full employment.
Dallas Fed Economics

Texas economy grows modestly; business outlooks brighten
Kerr, Emily; Dixon, Ethan (2024-12-24)
The Texas economy exhibited recent signs of expansion, though job growth has slowed. A measure of economic activity, The Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS), shows moderate gains in services revenue, a resumption of retail sales increases and stable manufacturing production.
Dallas Fed Economics

Individuals, married couples respond differently to U.S. income tax changes
Borella, Margherita; De Nardi, Mariacristina; Pak, Michael; Russo, Nicolò; Yang, Fang (2024-11-19)
Changes in effective income taxes can impact labor supply with different outcomes for married couples and singles, and changes can have a particularly notable impact on married women.
Dallas Fed Economics

Has U.S. Monetary Policy Gone Off Track?
Koenig, Evan F. (2019-06-06)
The actions of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) can be explained by the committee’s pursuit of full employment and price stability.
Dallas Fed Economics

Skimming U.S. Housing Froth a Delicate, Daunting Task
Martinez-Garcia, Enrique (2022-11-15)
The possibility of a sharp price correction leading to an economic contraction—were one to materialize—would further complicate Federal Reserve inflation-fighting efforts.
Dallas Fed Economics

U.S. Labor Market Slack Created by COVID-19 Pandemic Has Been Absorbed
Howard, Sean; Rich, Robert W.; Tracy, Joseph (2021-10-07)
The weaker-than-expected August labor market report should not obscure the labor market’s ongoing and significant progress while recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Dallas Fed Economics

Real-Time Market Monitoring Finds Signs of Brewing U.S. Housing Bubble
Coulter, Jarod; Grossman, Valerie; Martinez-Garcia, Enrique; Phillips, Peter C.B.; Shi, Shuping (2022-03-29)
There is growing cause for concern that U.S. house prices are again becoming unhinged from fundamentals.
Dallas Fed Economics

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