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Journal Article
Economic effects of the unemployment insurance benefit
Fujita, Shigeru (2010-10)
The U.S. labor market has remained weak in recent years, even though the overall economy itself has started to grow again after the deep recession. In response to the weak labor market conditions, the U.S. government has greatly expanded the entitlement period of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits. In ?Economic Effects of the Unemployment Insurance Benefit,? Shigeru Fujita reviews some of the academic literature on the economic effects of UI benefits. On the one hand, UI can improve people?s well being because it helps them avoid a large drop in consumption in the face of job losses when ...
Business Review , Issue Q4 , Pages 20-27

Newsletter
The ins and outs of unemployment insurance
El-Ghazaly, Hoda S. (2010-11)
Although the economy is rebounding, the unemployment rate remains high and private sector job gains remain weak. economists debate whether extending unemployment benefits keep unemployment artificially high by discouraging work.
Liber8 Economic Information Newsletter , Issue November

Working Paper
The Value of Unemployment Insurance: Liquidity vs. Insurance Value
Liu, Kaixin; Hernandez Martinez, Victor (2022-05-18)
This paper argues that the value of unemployment insurance (UI) can be decomposed into a liquidity component and an insurance component. While the liquidity component captures the value of relieving the cost to access liquidity during unemployment, the insurance component captures the value of protecting the worker against a potential permanent future income loss. We develop a novel sufficient statistics method to identify each component that requires only the labor supply responses to changes in the potential duration of UI and severance payment and implement it using Spanish administrative ...
Working Papers , Paper 22-16

COVID-19: Which Workers Face the Highest Unemployment Risk?
Gascon, Charles S. (2020-03-24)
Some 46% of U.S. workers are employed in occupations at “high risk” of layoff due to COVID-19 measures. How much could it cost to offset their lost income?
On the Economy

Working Paper
How Should Unemployment Insurance Vary over the Business Cycle?
Birinci, Serdar; See, Kurt (2020-02-18)
We study optimal unemployment insurance (UI) over the business cycle using a heterogeneous agent job search model with aggregate risk and incomplete markets. We validate the model-implied micro and macro labor market elasticities to changes in UI generosity against existing estimates, and provide an explanation for divergent empirical findings. We show that generating the observed demographic differences between UI recipients and non-recipients is critical in determining the magnitudes of these elasticities. We find that the optimal policy features countercyclical replacement rates with ...
Working Papers , Paper 2019-022

Journal Article
Unemployment Insurance Withdrawal
Albert, Sarah; Lofton, Olivia; Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas; Valletta, Robert G. (2022-04-11)
Unemployment insurance benefits were expanded substantially to help overcome the pandemic labor market shock in early 2020. However, improved labor market conditions in early 2021 prompted many states to withdraw from the enhanced unemployment benefits programs several months before the federal program was scheduled to end in early September. A comparison of states that ended enhanced benefits early with those that maintained them suggests that the withdrawal is associated with a small pickup in employer hiring, consistent with prior studies that found the unemployment benefit expansions had ...
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2022 , Issue 09 , Pages 05

Journal Article
How Much Did the CARES Act Help Households Stay Afloat?
Teng, Gladys; Oliveira, Luiz E.; Aylward, James; Laderman, Elizabeth (2021-07-06)
Widespread job losses starting in mid-March last year forced many households to rely more heavily on nonemployment income and liquid assets on hand to continue buying what they needed. Federal assistance through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act helped boost household resilience—the ability to sustain consumption despite the loss of employment income. Data suggest that the aid increased household resilience by 15 weeks, chiefly through enhanced unemployment insurance benefits. Among racial groups, this benefited Black and Hispanic households the most, raising median ...
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2021 , Issue 18 , Pages 06

Journal Article
New highs in unemployment insurance claims
Cleary, Aisling; Kwok, Joyce; Valletta, Robert G. (2009)
Unemployment insurance benefits have been on an upward trend over the past two decades, partially reversing an earlier decline. The trend is associated with shifts toward a higher share of job losers among the unemployed and longer durations of unemployment, which may cause benefits to lapse for some recipients as labor market weakness persists.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Did the $600 Unemployment Supplement Discourage Work?
Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas; Valletta, Robert G. (2020-09-21)
People receiving unemployment insurance benefits during the COVID-19 recession were entitled to $600 of additional payments per week through July. This large increase in benefit payments raised a concern that recipients would delay returning to work. However, analysis suggests that the available aid would not outweigh the value of a longer-term stable income in workers’ decisions to accept job offers. Evidence from recent labor market outcomes confirms that the supplemental payments had little or no adverse effect on job search.
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2020 , Issue 28 , Pages 01-05

Journal Article
Who is concealing earnings and still collecting unemployment benefits?
Fuller, David L.; Ravikumar, B.; Zhang, Yuzhe (2013-04)
Concealed earnings represent the largest source of fraud in the U.S. unemployment insurance system. Individuals with relatively low earnings constitute a larger fraction of those committing such fraud. High-earnings individuals, however, account for larger dollar amounts of this fraud.
The Regional Economist , Issue Apr

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