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Keywords:economic outlook 

The United States and the Global Economic Outlook

When it comes to the economy, 2018 will be a year of ?monitoring,? said Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker to an audience of research economists on January 5. He also said in his own view that two rate increases are likely to be appropriate for the year. American Economic Association 2018 ASSA Annual Meeting Philadelphia, PA
Speech , Paper 146

An Economic Outlook - Main Line Chamber of Commerce

Inflation, GDP growth, and the labor market are ?displaying considerable strength? and indicate a robust American economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick T. Harker said today in remarks to the Main Line Chamber of Commerce.
Speech , Paper 127

An Economic Outlook - Temple University

The United States is and has been an economic powerhouse for most of the past century. We?re the world?s largest economy, and we have consistently been a source of innovation and invention. If we want to keep our global edge, it?s time to think about broad policies that look to where we?ll be in the future. When I was playing football, we ran where the ball was headed to catch it; that?s how we have to look at policy ? monetary, fiscal, and other ? not where we are on the field but where we?re headed.
Speech , Paper 138

An Economic Outlook - New Jerseys Bankers Association

Philadelphia Fed?s Harker: New Jersey?s Economy Shows Significant Progress Despite Slow Recovery January 20, 2017 While New Jersey?s economy has made significant progress since the recession, the state faces ?different issues than other states? that impact the recovery of its housing and labor markets, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick T. Harker said today in remarks at the New Jersey Bankers Association?s annual Economic Leadership Forum
Speech , Paper 129

A Brief History of the Fed Universe

In remarks to the Greater Vineland Chamber of Commerce in New Jersey, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick T. Harker kept his outlook in line with that of recent weeks. ?I continue to be in wait-and-see mode, and my outlook for rates remains, at most, one hike for 2019 and one for 2020,? he said.
Speech , Paper 164

Monetary policy in a low inflation and low unemployment economy: remarks at the Economic Club of New York, New York, New York, May 21, 2019

Boston Fed president Eric Rosengren explored the current economic environment, characterized by low unemployment and lower-than-target inflation ? which are somewhat opposing signals for monetary policymakers.
Speech , Paper 144

Risk management in monetary policymaking: remarks to the National Association of Corporate Directors, New England Chapter, Boston, Massachusetts, March 5, 2019

Eric Rosengren, the Boston Fed president, offered up a ?relatively strong forecast? for the economy in 2019: growth somewhat above 2 percent, inflation close to the Fed?s 2 percent target, and a labor market that continues to tighten. However, ?risks to that outlook have increased recently,? he said, in a talk focused on assessing and managing those risks.
Speech , Paper 141

Monetary policymaking in today’s environment: finding “policy space” in a low-rate world: remarks at the 33rd Annual Cornelson Distinguished Lecture at Davidson College, Davidson, North Carolina, April 15, 2019

Now is a good time to reflect on the Federal Reserve?s monetary policy framework. The U.S. and many developed economies are likely to be challenged by the implications of a low interest rate environment for their ability to offset recessions. The reality of limited monetary policy space provides important context for why the Federal Reserve should broadly consider its current policies and their likely outcomes. While I would currently prefer moving to an inflation range, I look forward to future discussions. A key matter for me will be considering whether the possible changes to the Fed?s ...
Speech , Paper 143

Central bank balance sheets: misconceptions and realities: remarks at the Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference, Hong Kong, China, March 26, 2019

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren explored misconceptions about the Fed?s balance sheet ? the assets the central bank holds, and the liabilities and capital used to finance those assets ? in a speech in Hong Kong.
Speech , Paper 142

Exploring current economic conditions and the implications for monetary policy: remarks at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) 60th Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts, October 1, 2018

While inflation remains well contained to date, pushing the economy too hard risks inflationary concerns or financial-stability risks. Either of these outcomes might necessitate a more forceful monetary policy response. While a more forceful policy might be appropriate under such conditions, it is not a risk-free strategy and could put at risk the continued expansion. The history of rapid rate increases in the U.S. suggests that such a risk is real, and as a result my preference for a strategy that allows a continued, but gradual, pace of monetary tightening.
Speech , Paper 138



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