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Speech
Financial Stability Framework; Panel Remarks for the International Banking, Economics, and Finance Association and American Economic Association Session, \"Integrating Financial Stability with Monetary Policy\", Allied Social Science Associations Annual Meeting, 01-06-2018; Philadelphia, PA
I will discuss four topics: the relationship between financial stability and monetary policy, the Federal Reserve?s current framework for assessing and monitoring financial stability risks, an exercise aimed to assess possible policy responses to such risk, and some of the governance issues we face in addressing these risks.
Journal Article
In Optimism We Trust? Explaining the Disconnect between Post-Election Optimism and Own-Firm Expectations
We randomly split the CFO survey panel into two separate surveys around the 2024 US elections to discern whether the results of the elections had any impact on financial decision makers' expectations. Respondents to the post-election survey reported sharply higher optimism about the US economy and an improved macroeconomic outlook relative to the pre-election responses. In contrast, own-firm optimism and revenue growth expectations were not meaningfully changed between the two surveys. Among many possible reasons for this disconnect, we highlight the expected impact of the new ...