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Journal Article
Developments in U.S. balance of payments
anonymous
(1973-04)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Apr
Report
Can vertical specialization explain the growth of world trade?
Yi, Kei-Mu
(2000)
The growth in the trade share of output is one of the most important features of the world economy since World War II. The growth is generally thought to have been generated by falling tariff barriers worldwide. This thinking, however, does not square with standard static and dynamic international trade models. Because tariff barriers have decreased little since the early 1960s, these models cannot explain the growth of trade without assuming counterfactually large elasticities of substitution between domestic and foreign goods. I show that this growth can be reconciled with the relatively ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 96
Working Paper
A gravity model of sovereign lending: trade, default and credit
Spiegel, Mark M.; Rose, Andrew K.
(2002)
One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this intuition, then test and corroborate this idea.
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2002-09
Journal Article
Current risks from exports and foreign sales
Li, Li; Contessi, Silvio
(2013)
Consistent with national data, foreign sales of affiliates of U.S. multinational firms headquartered in the Eight Federal Reserve District are larger for Europe and the Asia Pacific region?not Mexico and Canada, the major U.S. trading partners.
Economic Synopses
Journal Article
Evolution of U.S. trade with China
Orr, James A.
(1991-01)
Despite the improvements in the overall U.S. trade balance in the latter half of the 1980s, the U.S. trade deficit with China has widened significantly. This article investigates the factors underlying this growing deficit and analyzes how growth in imports from China has affected the pattern of U.S. imports from other Asian economies, notably Hong Kong.
Quarterly Review
, Volume 16
, Issue Win
, Pages 47-54
Conference Paper
World food supply and demand: how the two can be linked
Yeutter, Clayton
(1978)
Proceedings – Rural and Agricultural Conferences
Journal Article
International Trade Dependence and Inventory Dynamics
Leibovici, Fernando; Dunn, Jason
(2023-08-16)
US manufacturers that source their intermediate inputs from abroad have been more likely to increase their inventories in the aftermath of unexpected events and heightened uncertainty.
Economic Synopses
, Issue 17
, Pages 3 pages
Journal Article
Rising protectionist threat creates risks for Texas
Skelton, Edward C.; Nicholson, Michael
(2009-07)
Expanding trade has brought jobs and business to Texas, but has left the state particularly vulnerable to antitrade actions. Texas would suffer greatly if the U.S. and other countries implement protectionist measures.
Southwest Economy
, Issue Q3
, Pages 10-14
Working Paper
Distance, time, and specialization
Harrigan, James; Evans, Carolyn L.
(2003)
Time is money, and distance matters. We model the interaction of these truisms, and show the implications for global specialization and trade: products where timely delivery is important will be produced near the source of final demand, where wages will be higher as a result. In the model, timely delivery is important because it allows retailers to respond to fluctuating final demand without holding costly inventories, and timely delivery is only possible from nearby locations. Using a unique dataset that allows us to measure the retail demand for timely delivery, we show that the sources of ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 766
Working Paper
Substitution elasticities and investment dynamics in two country business cycle models
Pakko, Michael R.
(2003)
Two country applications of equilibrium business cycle methodology have succeeded in matching some key features of international fluctuations. However, discrepancies between theory and data remain. This paper identifies an anomaly related to a basic property of typical models: The prediction of countercyclical net exports is fundamentally related to a counterfactual implication for negative cross-country investment correlations. The introduction of investment adjustment costs can induce positive investment comovement; however, this has the side-effect of reversing the cyclical behavior of net ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2002-030
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pandemic 3 items
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war 3 items
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employment 2 items
exporter dynamics 2 items
financial intermediation 2 items
government debt 2 items
gravity equations 2 items
gravity model 2 items
imports 2 items
industrial policy 2 items
long-term financial contracts 2 items
migration 2 items
post-pandemic inflation 2 items
private information 2 items
reallocation 2 items
shortages of critical goods 2 items
structural change 2 items
supply chains 2 items
welfare 2 items
AI 1 items
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Imports and exports 1 items
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Volcker, Paul A. 1 items
West (U.S.) 1 items
Wholesale price indexes 1 items
Women - Employment 1 items
Worker-Firm Matching 1 items
aggregate fluctuations 1 items
agriculture 1 items
air passengers 1 items
airline industry 1 items
balance of payments 1 items
barriers to entry 1 items
business cycles 1 items
comparative advantage 1 items
critical goods 1 items
current account balances 1 items
deflation 1 items
domestic and transnational terrorism 1 items
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dynamics 1 items
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export decisions 1 items
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exports 1 items
firm heterogeneity 1 items
fiscal policies 1 items
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gravity equation 1 items
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importers 1 items
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input linkages 1 items
input-output 1 items
input-output linkages 1 items
intellectual property rights 1 items
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international 1 items
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low-income countries 1 items
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market concentration 1 items
markups 1 items
mobility frictions 1 items
money supply 1 items
natural gas 1 items
non-tariff measures 1 items
output growth 1 items
peace 1 items
price levels 1 items
semiconductors 1 items
service 1 items
shocks transmission 1 items
spatial equilibrium 1 items
specialization 1 items
spillovers 1 items
structural changes 1 items
technology capital transfers 1 items
technology transfer 1 items
terrorism 1 items
time series analysis 1 items
tourism 1 items
trade 1 items
trade elasticity 1 items
wealth 1 items
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