Working Paper

A Gravity Model of Sovereign Lending: Trade, Default and Credit


Abstract: One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this intuition, then test and corroborate this idea.

JEL Classification: F15; F33;

https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2002-09

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Part of Series: Working Paper Series

Publication Date: 2002-09-01

Number: 2002-09

Note: PDF date: This draft: August 6, 2002.