A Look at Fed Tightening Episodes since the 1980s: Part I
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2022-04-14)
An inverted Treasury yield curve—an historically accurate predictor of recessions—has followed two-thirds of the Fed’s tightening episodes since the early 1980s.
On the Economy

Economic Effects of Fed Tightening Episodes since the 1980s: Part II
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2022-04-18)
How key interest rate-sensitive economic variables fared during previous Fed tightening may offer insights into their performance during the present tightening.
On the Economy