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A Look at Fed Tightening Episodes since the 1980s: Part I


Abstract: An inverted Treasury yield curve—an historically accurate predictor of recessions—has followed two-thirds of the Fed’s tightening episodes since the early 1980s.

Keywords: Treasury yield curve; federal funds target rate; Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Source: On the Economy

Publication Date: 2022-04-14