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Corporate Credit Provision
Mueller, Philippe; Boyarchenko, Nina; Elias, Leonardo
(2019-08-01)
Productive firms can access credit markets directly—by issuing corporate bonds—or in an intermediated manner—by borrowing through loans. In this paper, we study how the macroeconomic environment, including inflation, the stage of business cycle, and the stance of monetary policy, affects firms’ decisions of which debt market to access. Tighter monetary policy leads to firms borrowing more using intermediated credit, while higher inflation rates lead firms to lock in financing rates by issuing corporate bonds. Moreover, we also explore the role that heterogeneity in leverage across ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 895
Working Paper
Old, Frail, and Uninsured: Accounting for Puzzles in the U.S. Long-Term Care Insurance Market
Braun, R. Anton; Koreshkova, Tatyana; Kopecky, Karen A.
(2017-03-01)
Half of U.S. 50-year-olds will experience a nursing home stay before they die, and one in ten will incur out-of-pocket long-term care expenses in excess of $200,000. Surprisingly, only about 10% of individuals over age 62 have private long-term care insurance (LTCI). This paper proposes a quantitative equilibrium optimal contracting model of the LTCI market that features screening along the extensive margin. Frail and/or poor risk groups are ordered a single contract of no insurance that we refer to as a rejection. According to our model, rejections are the main reason that LTCI take-up rates ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2017-3
Working Paper
Lending Standards and Borrowing Premia in Unsecured Credit Markets
Dempsey, Kyle; Ionescu, Felicia
(2021-06-24)
Using administrative data from Y-14M and Equifax, we find evidence for large spreads in excess of those implied by default risk in the U.S. unsecured credit market. These borrowing premia vary widely by borrower risk and imply a nearly flat relationship between loan prices and repayment probabilities, at odds with existing theories. To close this gap, we incorporate supply frictions – a tractably specified form of lending standards – into a model of unsecured credit with aggregate shocks. Our model matches the empirical incidence of both risk and borrowing premia. Both the level and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2021-039
Working Paper
Household Financial Decision-Making After Natural Disasters: Evidence from Hurricane Harvey
del Valle, Alejandro; Scharlemann, Tess C.; Shore, Stephen H.
(2022-03-25)
Hurricane Harvey brought more than four feet of rainfall to the Houston area in August 2017, leading to substantial flooding in many areas. Using regulatory data with detailed information on borrowing terms, we compare the borrowing response to Hurricane Harvey in parts of Houston that were more and less affected by flooding. We find that hurricane-affected households borrowed in a price-sensitive and time-limited manner, relying almost exclusively on promotional-rate credit cards and mortgage forbearance for new credit and repaying balances quickly. We find that conditional on flooding, ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2022-015
Working Paper
Are the Borrowing Costs of Large Financial Firms Unusual?
Zarutskie, Rebecca; Anderson, Christopher; Ahmed, Javed I.
(2015-03-12)
Estimates of investor expectations of government support of large financial firms are often based on large financial firms' lower borrowing costs relative to smaller financial firms. Using pricing data on credit default swaps (CDS) and corporate bonds over the period 2004 to 2013, however, we find that the CDS and bond spreads of financial firms are no more sensitive to borrower size than the spreads of non-financial firms. Outside of the financial crisis period, spreads are more sensitive to borrower size in several non-financial industries. We find that size-related differences in spreads ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2015-24
Working Paper
CRE Redevelopment Options and the Use of Mortgage Financing
Glancy, David P.; Kurtzman, Robert J.; Loewenstein, Lara
(2024-07-10)
A significant share of commercial real estate (CRE) investment properties—about half by our estimates—are purchased without a mortgage. Using comprehensive microdata on transactions in the US CRE market, we analyze which types of properties are purchased without a mortgage, highlighting the important role of renovation or redevelopment options. We show that mortgage-financed properties are less likely to be subsequently redeveloped, and that owners anticipate these redevelopment frictions and avoid mortgage financing for properties with greater redevelopment options. These effects were ...
Working Papers
, Paper 24-15
Working Paper
New Evidence on an Old Unanswered Question : Why Some Borrowers Purchase Credit Insurance and Other Debt Protection and Some Do Not
Elliehausen, Gregory E.; Durkin, Thomas A.
(2017-12-18)
Credit related insurance and other debt protection are products sold in conjunction with credit that extinguish a consumer?s debt or suspends its periodic payments if events like death, disability, or involuntary unemployment occur. High penetration rates observed in the 1950s and 1960s raised concerns about coercion in the sale of credit insurance. This study presents evidence on credit insurance purchase and debt protection decisions from a new survey. The findings provide little evidence of widespread or systematic coercion in purchases. Instead, findings suggest that risk aversion and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2017-122
Working Paper
Affordability, Financial Innovation, and the Start of the Housing Boom
Dokko, Jane K.; Keys, Benjamin J.; Relihan, Lindsay E.
(2019-01-31)
At their peak in 2005, roughly 60 percent of all purchase mortgage loans originated in the United States contained at least one non-traditional feature. These features, which allowed borrowers easier access to credit through teaser interest rates, interest-only or negative amortization periods, and extended payment terms, have been the subject of much regulatory and popular criticism. In this paper, we construct a novel county-level dataset to analyze the relationship between rising house prices and non-traditional features of mortgage contracts. We apply a break-point methodology and find ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper WP-2019-1
Report
Financing Private Credit
Boyarchenko, Nina; Elias, Leonardo
(2024-08-01)
Using data on balance sheets of both financial and nonfinancial sectors of the economy, we use a “demand system” approach to study how lender composition and willingness to provide credit affect the relationship between credit expansions and real activity. A key advantage of jointly modeling the demand for and supply of credit is the ability to evaluate equilibrium elasticities of credit quantities with respect to variables of interest. We document that the sectoral composition of lenders financing a credit expansion is a key determinant for subsequent real activity and crisis ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 1111
Working Paper
Insurers’ Investments and Insurance Prices
Knox, Benjamin; Sørensen, Jakob Ahm
(2024-07-19)
We develop a theory that connects insurance prices, insurance companies’ investment behavior, and equilibrium asset prices. Consistent with the model’s predictions, we show empirically that (1) insurers with more stable insurance funding take more investment risk and, therefore, earn higher average investment returns; (2) insurers set lower prices on policies when expected investment returns are higher, both in the cross-section of insurance companies and in the time series. Our results hold for both life insurance and property and casualty insurance companies. The findings show that ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2024-058
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