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Author:Supel, Thomas M. 

Journal Article
District conditions / a midyear report

Quarterly Review , Volume 7 , Issue Spr

Journal Article
Money market mutual funds are hardly money

Quarterly Review , Volume 8 , Issue Sum

Report
Comments on price indexes and inflation

Staff Report , Paper 6

Journal Article
Using vector autoregressions to measure the uncertainty in Minnesota's revenue forecasts

Quarterly Review , Volume 7 , Issue Spr

Journal Article
The U.S. economy in 1980: shockwaves from 1979

Quarterly Review , Volume 4 , Issue Win

Journal Article
Supply-side tax cuts: will they reduce inflation?

Quarterly Review , Volume 4 , Issue Fall

Report
How to use econometric models to forecast

Staff Report , Paper 12

Journal Article
Should currency be priced like cars?

Quarterly Review , Volume 8 , Issue Spr

Journal Article
Last fall's policy changes: a sound program for reducing inflation

Quarterly Review , Volume 3 , Issue Win

Report
Improving econometric forecasts by using subperiod data

The method proposed here includes two innovations which should improve the accuracy of econometric forecasting. First, it replaces the subjective, judgmental adjustments commonly used with a more formal, objective econometric procedure. Second, it includes a methodology for testing the usefulness of subperiod data which forecasters often inspect when choosing intercept adjustments. A sample application to the MIT-Penn-SSRC Model demonstrates that the procedure is both feasible and potentially helpful in the context of a large macroeconometric model.
Staff Report , Paper 21

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