Journal Article
Implications of a tariff on oil imports
Anderson, Gerald H.; Kowalewski, K. J. (1986-09)
An examination of the possible positive and negative effects that could result from a hypothetical $10 per barrel increase in tariffs on crude oil and refined oil products.
Economic Commentary , Issue Sep

Journal Article
How credible are capital spending surveys as forecasts?
Anderson, Gerald H.; Erceg, John J. (1990-12)
A comparison of the reliability of the Commerce Department's capital spending survey with that of several alternative forecasts.
Economic Commentary , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Foreign capital inflows: another Trojan horse?
Bryan, Michael F.; Anderson, Gerald H. (1989-11)
An analysis of the role of foreign investment in U.S. resource allocation, finding that the large influx of foreign capital in the 1980s has been used predominantly to fund domestic investment and consumer investment spending.
Economic Commentary , Issue Nov

Journal Article
Solutions to the international debt problem
Anderson, Gerald H. (1985-08)
A general discussion of the nature of the international debt problem and an analysis of a number of proposals for solving it.
Economic Commentary , Issue Aug

Journal Article
Should the United States hold foreign currency reserves?
Humpage, Owen F.; Anderson, Gerald H. (1992-08)
An argument that for countries with well-developed money markets and flexible exchange rates, there is little to be gained from holding a vast foreign exchange portfolio and intervening in the world's currency markets.
Economic Commentary , Issue Aug

Journal Article
Forecasting turning points with leading indicators
Anderson, Gerald H.; Erceg, John J. (1989-10)
An examination of the Composite Index of Leading Indicators and its record as a forecasting tool. The authors conclude that while the index can provide useful information about business peaks and troughs, its value is limited by a tendency to give false signals, and its worth greatly increases when used in combination with other indexes.
Economic Commentary , Issue Oct

Journal Article
Three common misperceptions about foreign direct investment
Anderson, Gerald H. (1988-07)
A repudiation of three common beliefs about foreign direct investment in the United States: that it is the result of the current-account deficit, that it is initiated primarily by the Japanese, and that it will result in the loss of U.S. economic independence.
Economic Commentary , Issue Jul

Journal Article
Exchange rates and U.S. prices
Humpage, Owen F.; Anderson, Gerald H. (1983-04)
An examination of causality between dollar exchange-rate movements and U.S. price levels as described by the relative purchasing power parity theory, with a discussion of channels of price pressure and of the Hooper-Lowrey method of estimating future trends of the dollar.
Economic Commentary , Issue Apr

Journal Article
U.S. dependence on foreign saving
Carlson, John B.; Anderson, Gerald H. (1987-09)
An analysis of the determination of foreign investment in U.S. financial markets and suggestions for reducing dependence on foreign savings inflow.
Economic Commentary , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Oil, the economy, and monetary policy
Anderson, Gerald H.; Pike, Christopher J.; Bryan, Michael F. (1990-11)
An examination of the theoretical impact of an oil shortage on the U.S. economy and the problems that such shortages present for monetary policy.
Economic Commentary , Issue Nov