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Author:Anderson, Gerald H. 

Journal Article
U.S. dependence on foreign saving

An analysis of the determination of foreign investment in U.S. financial markets and suggestions for reducing dependence on foreign savings inflow.
Economic Commentary , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Should the United States hold foreign currency reserves?

An argument that for countries with well-developed money markets and flexible exchange rates, there is little to be gained from holding a vast foreign exchange portfolio and intervening in the world's currency markets.
Economic Commentary , Issue Aug

Journal Article
The steel trigger price mechanism

An examination of the 1978 steel trigger price mechanism, with a description of its operation and economic impact, and a discussion of events that led to its suspension in 1982.
Economic Commentary , Issue May

Journal Article
How credible are capital spending surveys as forecasts?

A comparison of the reliability of the Commerce Department's capital spending survey with that of several alternative forecasts.
Economic Commentary , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Solutions to the international debt problem

A general discussion of the nature of the international debt problem and an analysis of a number of proposals for solving it.
Economic Commentary , Issue Aug

Journal Article
Forecasting turning points with leading indicators

An examination of the Composite Index of Leading Indicators and its record as a forecasting tool. The authors conclude that while the index can provide useful information about business peaks and troughs, its value is limited by a tendency to give false signals, and its worth greatly increases when used in combination with other indexes.
Economic Commentary , Issue Oct

Journal Article
Exchange rates and U.S. prices

An examination of causality between dollar exchange-rate movements and U.S. price levels as described by the relative purchasing power parity theory, with a discussion of channels of price pressure and of the Hooper-Lowrey method of estimating future trends of the dollar.
Economic Commentary , Issue Apr

Journal Article
Foreign capital inflows: another Trojan horse?

An analysis of the role of foreign investment in U.S. resource allocation, finding that the large influx of foreign capital in the 1980s has been used predominantly to fund domestic investment and consumer investment spending.
Economic Commentary , Issue Nov

Journal Article
Does dollar depreciation matter: the case of auto imports from Japan

The Japanese auto industry is used as a case in point to illustrate some of the ways in which firms operating in export markets cope with exchange-rate changes.
Economic Commentary , Issue May

Journal Article
Merchandise trade and the outlook for 1988

An explanation of why current forecasts that call for vast improvements in the U.S. trade balance and real net exports in 1988 may be too optimistic.
Economic Commentary , Issue Apr

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