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Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Staff Report
Is It Too Late to Bail Out the Troubled Countries in the Eurozone?
Juan Carlos Conesa
Timothy J. Kehoe
Abstract

In January 1995, U.S. President Bill Clinton organized a bailout for Mexico that imposed penalty interest rates and induced the Mexican government to reduce its debt, ending the debt crisis. Can the Troika (European Commission, European Central Bank, and International Monetary Fund) organize similar bailouts for the troubled countries in the Eurozone? Our analysis suggests that debt levels are so high that bailouts with penalty interest rates could induce the Eurozone governments to default rather than reduce their debt. A resumption of economic growth is one of the few ways that the Eurozone crises can end.


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Juan Carlos Conesa & Timothy J. Kehoe, Is It Too Late to Bail Out the Troubled Countries in the Eurozone?, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Staff Report 497, 05 Feb 2014.
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Keywords: Sovereign debt; Bailout; Penalty interest rate; Collateral
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