Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation

Isaacson, Maggie; Rubinton, Hannah

doi:10.20955/wp.2022.017

Working Paper Revision

Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation

Abstract: During the pandemic there have been unprecedented increases in the cost of shipping goods accompanied by delays and backlogs at the ports. At the same time, import price inflation has reached levels unseen since the early 1980s. This has led many to speculate that the two trends are linked. In this article, we use new data on the price of shipping goods between countries to analyze the extent to which increases in the price of shipping can account for the increase in U.S. import price inflation. We find that the pass-through of shipping costs is small. Nevertheless, because the rise in shipping prices has been so extreme, it can account for between 3.60 and 5.87 percentage points per year of the increase in import price inflation during the post-Pandemic period.

Keywords: inflation; shipping; trade;

JEL Classification: E31; F15;

https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2022.017