Discussion Paper

Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators of Recession Risk


Abstract: Recessions impose sizable hardship, with large increases in the unemployment rate and related dislocations. In addition, recessions can lead to large shifts in financial markets. As a result, economists and financial market professionals have considered prediction models to assess the probability of a recession.

https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3126

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: FEDS Notes

Publication Date: 2022-06-21

Number: 2022-06-21-1