Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Sector Losses across Structural Models

RePEc Short ID: pdr1
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4376-9162

Covas, Francisco; Driscoll, John C.; Guerrieri, Luca; Iacoviello, Matteo; Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad; Kiley, Michael T.; Queraltó, Albert; Sim, Jae W.

Working Paper

Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Sector Losses across Structural Models

Abstract: The macro spillover effects of capital shortfalls in the financial intermediation sector are compared across five dynamic equilibrium models for policy analysis. Although all the models considered share antecedents and a methodological core, each model emphasizes different transmission channels. This approach delivers \"model-based confidence intervals\" for the real and financial effects of shocks originating in the financial sector. The range of outcomes predicted by the five models is only slightly narrower than confidence intervals produced by simple vector autoregressions.

Keywords: Bank losses; banks; capital requirements; DSGE models;

JEL Classification: E42; E44; E47;