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Report
Implications of the financial crisis for potential growth: past, present, and future
The scale of the recent collapse in asset values and the magnitude of the recession suggest that activities connected to the increase in values over the 2002-07 period--notably, expansion of the financial markets, homebuilding, and real estate--were overstated. If this is true, aggregate U.S. economic growth would have been overstated, implying that previous rates of potential gross domestic product (GDP) growth may also have been overstated and that the trajectory of potential GDP may be slower going forward. Slowing growth in the finance, homebuilding, and real estate sectors could hold ...
Speech
Economic recovery, small business, and the challenge of commercial real estate
Remarks for the Urban Land Institute at the Emerging Trends in Real Estate Conference, Atlanta, Georgia, November 10, 2009
Journal Article
Commercial real estate and low interest rates
Commercial real estate construction faltered during the 2007 recession and has improved only slowly during the recovery. However, low interest rates have led to higher property valuations and are clearly benefiting the sector. The recovery of commercial property prices has been notable. Some measures suggest that, in some segments of the market, prices are close to their pre-recession highs. Valuation measures do not suggest that current prices are excessive.
Journal Article
Cloud over commercial real estate is slowly lifting in Texas
Every segment of the Texas commercial property sector suffered during the recession of 2009. Demand withered for space in offices, warehouses and retail centers, pushing up vacancy rates and lowering rental rates. Private nonresidential construction dropped sharply, reaching near-record lows. The global financial crisis temporarily brought lending to a halt. Commercial-mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) lending dried up in Texas and the U.S. as it became clear that repackaging suspect loans didn't lower risk. Banks also became wary of adding CRE loans to their books, especially in Texas, where ...
Journal Article
The farm real estate market
Journal Article
Lost best place
As city dwellers seek bucolic bliss, sprawl is spreading to the countryside. Problem, or opportunity?
Journal Article
Construction activity and mortgage credit
Journal Article
Coping strategies
Sprawl is often condemned, but most critiques hold no economic water. Still, a few are valid, and policy fixes may exist.