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Keywords:Economic forecasting 

Speech
Improving the measurement of inflation expectations

Remarks at the Barclays 16th Annual Global Inflation-Linked Conference, New York City.
Speech , Paper 84

Speech
Economic outlook and central bank policy: a speech at the University of Rochester, William E. Simon Graduate School of Business Administration Economic Outlook Seminar, November 27, 2007

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, presented at the University of Rochester, William E. Simon Graduate School of Business Administration , Economic Outlook Seminar, Hyatt Regency Rochester, November 27, 2007
Speech , Paper 11

Journal Article
Global economies anticipate a tepid 2009

The long global economic expansion hit the wall in 2008 as financial markets worldwide slumped and many advanced and developing economies experienced slower growth or recession. Few expect a recovery to be swift, and 2009 could see slow growth persist.
EconSouth , Volume 10 , Issue 4

Working Paper
Term structure estimation with survey data on interest rate forecasts

The estimation of dynamic no-arbitrage term structure models with a flexible specification of the market price of risk is beset by a severe small-sample problem arising from the highly persistent nature of interest rates. We propose using survey forecasts of a short-term interest rate as additional input to the estimation to overcome the problem. The three-factor pure-Gaussian model thus estimated with the U.S. Treasury term structure for the 1990-2003 period generates a stable estimate of the expected path of the short rate, reproduces the well-known stylized patterns in the expectations ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2005-48

Speech
Economic outlook : a speech at the Blair County Chamber of Commerce Breakfast Club, Altoona, PA, June 11, 2010

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. ; Blair County Chamber of Commerce Breakfast Club, Altoona, PA, June 11, 2010
Speech , Paper 40

Speech
A perspective on the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Global Interdependence Center's Central Banking Series: Recovery 2013 ? Strength or Stagnation?, Milan, Italy, May 16, 2013 ; Note: President Plosser presented similar remarks on May 14, 2013, before the SNS (Center for Business and Policy Studies) and the SIFR (The Institute for Financial Research) in Stockholm, Sweden.
Speech , Paper 82

Speech
Assessing monetary policy

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. ; Global Interdependence Center's Fifth Annual Rocky Mountain Economic Summit, Jackson Hole, WY
Speech , Paper 84

Journal Article
International business cycles: G7 and OECD countries

The progressive globalization of markets has sparked a worldwide interest in using economic indicators to analyze cyclical fluctuations. Governments and the private sector seeking to conduct their activities in light of both national and international economic conditions could benefit from international indicators that serve as a warning system to detect recessions in major economic partners and in industrialized countries as a whole. ; This article constructs just such a warning system. Using a Markov-switching dynamic factor model with a self-adjusting variable-bandwidth filter, the authors ...
Economic Review , Volume 91 , Issue Q 1 , Pages 43-54

Speech
Recent financial developments and the U.S. economic outlook

Speech to Town Hall ? Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, October 9, 2007
Speech , Paper 42

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