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House Hunting in a Period of Social Distancing
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2020-04-01)
Lower housing demand due to quarantine orders, slowing price growth and mortgage originations, and a historically high housing supply are all hitting the economy at the same time.
On the Economy

Working Paper
Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
Carroll, Christopher D.; White, Matthew N.; Crawley, Edmund S.; Slacalek, Jiri (2020-08-31)
To predict the effects of the 2020 U.S. CARES act on consumption, we extend a model that matches responses of households to past consumption stimulus packages. The extension allows us to account for two novel features of the coronavirus crisis. First, during the lockdown, many types of spending are undesirable or impossible. Second, some of the jobs that disappear during the lockdown will not reappear when it is lifted. We estimate that, if the lockdown is short-lived, the combination of expanded unemployment insurance benefits and stimulus payments should be sufficient to allow a swift ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2020-077

How to Achieve a V-Shaped Recovery amid the COVID-19 Pandemic
Wen, Yi; Reinbold, Brian (2020-05-29)
Contrasting the Great Depression and Great Recession recoveries helps show how GDP levels and growth rates can respond to different levels of policy responses.
On the Economy

Working Paper
Financial Profiles of Workers Most Vulnerable to Coronavirus-Related Earnings Loss in the Spring of 2020
Hsu, Joanne W.; Helppie-McFall, Brooke (2020-11-09)
In spring 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic and related shutdowns had huge effects on unemployment. Using data from the Survey of Consumer Finances, we describe the financial profiles of US families whose workers were most vulnerable to coronavirus-related earnings losses in the spring of 2020, based on whether a particular worker was deemed "essential" and whether a worker's job could be conducted remotely. We use descriptive analytic techniques to examine how families' baseline financial situations would allow them to weather COVID-shutdown-related earnings losses. We find that families with ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2020-093

Reading the Labor Market in Real Time
Bharadwaj, Asha; Dvorkin, Maximiliano (2020-06-09)
A coincident index developed by one of our economists can help gauge the pace of the recovery and obtain real-time information on the state of the labor market.
On the Economy

Journal Article
The Coronavirus and the Economy
Rodgers, Rachel; Romero, Jessie; Price, David A.; Crouse, Jacob; Shen, Luna (2020-01)
Econ Focus , Issue 1Q , Pages 3-6

COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth?
Shell, Hannah; Owyang, Michael T.; Bennett, Julie (2020-03-20)
Professional forecasts abound, but what does the general public think will happen with the economy?
On the Economy

What Can We Learn from the Spanish Flu Pandemic of 1918-19 for COVID-19?
Wheelock, David C. (2020-06-01)
As the Spanish flu became more widespread and its dangers apparent, many cities sought to contain the virus by imposing restrictions on social and economic interactions.
On the Economy

COVID-19 and the Importance of Testing
Vandenbroucke, Guillaume; Ravikumar, B. (2020-03-27)
Using only the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases does not help us understand the scope of the pandemic.
On the Economy

COVID-19's Economic Effects on Poor and Emerging Markets
Restrepo-Echavarria, Paulina (2020-04-06)
Large amounts of liquidity are needed to deal with the economic consequences of COVID-19. How can the increased demand for liquidity be covered in poor and emerging markets?
On the Economy

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