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Keywords:Consumer behavior 

Speech
Improving the measurement of inflation expectations

Remarks at the Barclays 16th Annual Global Inflation-Linked Conference, New York City.
Speech , Paper 84

Journal Article
The behavior of home buyers in boom and post-boom markets

New England Economic Review , Issue Nov , Pages 29-46

Journal Article
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption?

This paper tests the ability of consumer sentiment to predict retail spending at the state level. The results here suggest that, although there is a significant relationship between consumer sentiment measures and retail sales growth in several states, consumer sentiment exhibits only modest predictive power for future changes in retail spending. Measures of consumer sentiment, however, contain additional explanatory power beyond the information available in other indicators. By restricting attention to fluctuations in retail sales that occur at the business cycle frequency, the authors ...
Review , Volume 87 , Issue Mar , Pages 123-135

Working Paper
Consumer attitudes and business cycles

FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 91-11

Working Paper
Why are (some) consumers (finally) writing fewer checks?: the role of payment characteristics

Since the mid-1990s, the U.S. payment system has been undergoing a transformation featuring a significant decline in the use of paper checks that has been quite uneven across consumers and not well understood. This paper estimates econometric models of consumers? adoption (extensive margin) and use (intensive margin) of checks plus six other common U.S. payment instruments, using a comprehensive new data source on consumer payment choice. We find that payment characteristics are the most important determinants of payment instrument use. Plausible changes in the relative convenience and cost ...
Working Papers , Paper 09-1

Journal Article
Changes in family finances from 1983 to 1989: evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Jan

Journal Article
1950 survey of consumer finances: part V. the distribution of assets, liabilities and net worth of consumers, early 1950

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Survey of consumer finances, 1983

Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Can rising housing prices explain China’s high household saving rate?

China?s average household saving rate is one of the highest in the world. One popular view attributes the high saving rate to fast-rising housing prices and other living costs in China. This article uses simple economic logic to show that rising housing prices and living costs per se cannot explain China?s high household saving rate. Although borrowing constraints and demographic changes can help translate housing prices to the aggregate saving rate, quantitative simulations using Chinese data on household income, housing prices, and demographics indicate that rising mortgage costs contribute ...
Review , Volume 93 , Issue Mar , Pages 67-88

Journal Article
Is saving too low in the United States?

Many observers contend that the U.S. savings rate has declined in recent years and that it lags behind the savings rates of our trading partners. This article surveys different methods of measuring savings (and problems with these methods) and finds that U.S. saving may not be as low as is popularly believed.
Economic Review , Volume 76 , Issue May , Pages 20-35

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