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Author:Osterberg, William P. 

Journal Article
Depositor-preference laws and the cost of debt capital

Under depositor-preference laws, depositors' claims on the assets of failed depository institutions are senior to unsecured general-creditor claims. As a result, depositor preference changes the capital structure of banks and thrifts, thereby affecting the cost of capital for depositories. Depositor preference has no impact on the total value of banks and thrifts, however, unless deposit insurance is mispriced.
Economic Review , Issue Q III , Pages 10-20

Journal Article
Does intervention explain the forward discount puzzle?

An investigation of the impact of U.S. and German central-bank interventions on the forward discount puzzle for two exchange rates-the German mark/U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen/U.S. dollar-using official 1985-91 data. The evidence on the importance of intervention is strongest for the DM/$. However, the direction of the impact is inconsistent with the findings of Flood and Rose (1996) if periods of intervention are viewed as equivalent to fixed-rate regimes.
Economic Review , Issue Q IV , Pages 24-31

Working Paper
Debt, collateral, and U.S. manufacturing investment: 1954-1980

I perform an empirical analysis of Euler equations for the firm's choices of capital, labor, hours, and debt. Financial structure has real effects , since taxes favor debt. However, the cost of debt increases with the debt-to-collateral ratio, and capital is part of collateral. The data, for U.S. manufacturing investment from 1954 to 1980, show that the debt-to-collateral ratio moves opposite to the direction suggested by tax rates. However, excluding the Euler equation for debt implies the correct sign for the relation between investment and the debt-to-collateral ratio. I also find ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9210

Working Paper
Intervention and the foreign exchange risk premium: an empirical investigation of daily effects

Currency markets have witnessed a sharp increase in government intervention since 1985. Many observers believe that this intervention promoted the dollar's depreciation between 1985 and early 1987, and that intervention has since helped to stabilize dollar exchange rates. This paper tests for a systematic effect of daily dollar intervention on exchange rate risk premia. We test for both portfolio balance effects and signaling influences by using daily data on central bank intervention (in dollars) against both the yen and the West German mark. Following work by Dominguez (1989) and Loopesko ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9009

Working Paper
New results on the impact of central-bank intervention on deviations from uncovered interest parity

Germany, Japan, and the United States continue to view foreign exchange intervention as an effective instrument, although the mechanism through which it operates is unclear. In this paper, we use official data on daily dollar intervention to examine its impact on exchange-rate risk premia through both the portfolio-balance and expectations channels. We define the risk premium in terms of deviation from uncovered interest parity and model its behavior using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Our evidence of portfolio-balance and expectations effects is inconsistent ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9207

Conference Paper
Capital requirements and optimal bank portfolios: a reexamination

Proceedings , Paper 194

Journal Article
SAIF policy options

An outline of three possible options for capitalizing the Savings Association Insurance Fund, which is in danger of suffering a huge premium disadvantage compared to banks insured by the Bank Insurance Fund, and a recommendation that any solution should first consider the policy objectives for maintaining separately chartered housing finance lenders.
Economic Commentary , Issue Jun

Working Paper
Underlying determinants of closed-bank resolution costs

An analysis of the issues surrounding bank resolution costs, looking at failures from 1986 to 1992 and including proxies for fraud, off-balance-sheet risk, brokered deposits, and both regional and size effects. Evidence suggests there was a significant lag between the realization and recognition of losses on bank assets, and that regulators may have practiced forbearance.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9403

Journal Article
Intervention and the bid-ask spread in G-3 foreign exchange rates

A test of whether the anticipation of G-3 (Germany, Japan and the U.S.) central-bank intervention explains wider bid-ask spreads in the spot and forward rates of marks/dollars and yen/dollars, finding little evidence to support the view that spreads widen in anticipation of intervention.
Economic Review , Volume 28 , Issue Q II , Pages 2-13

Working Paper
The effect of subordinated debt and surety bonds on banks' cost of capital and on the value of federal deposit insurance

This paper examines two proposals to correct the risk-taking incentives embedded in the current deposit insurance system and to provide protection to the deposit insurance fund. the first would require banks to issue subordinated debt, and the second would require bank stockholders to post surety bonds. We use the cash-flow version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model to show how each proposal would affect the values and rates of return on uninsured deposits and equity. We then indicate the impact that each proposal would have on the values of the Federal Deposit insurance Corporation claim and ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9012

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