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Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  Series:Review 

Journal Article
Could a CAMELS downgrade model improve off-site surveillance?

The Federal Reserve?s off-site surveillance system includes two econometric models that are collectively known as the System for Estimating Examination Ratings (SEER). One model, the SEER risk rank model, uses the latest financial statements to estimate the probability that each Fed-supervised bank will fail in the next two years. The other component, the SEER rating model, uses the latest financial statements to produce a ?shadow? CAMELS rating for each supervised bank. Banks identified as risky by either model receive closer supervisory scrutiny than other state-member banks.> Because many ...
Review , Volume 84 , Issue Jan. , Pages 47-63

Journal Article
The 2001 recession: how was it different and what developments may have caused it?

The 2001 recession was unique in several respects. For instance, the peak-to-trough decline in real gross domestic product was one of the smallest on record and its duration was slightly shorter than average. This article examines some of the other unique features of the 2001 recession compared with the ?average? post-World War II recession. The author also shows that forecasters were surprised by the onset of the recession, perhaps because of incomplete data available to them in real time. Finally, the article examines the errors from a well-known macroeconomic forecast and finds that ...
Review , Volume 85 , Issue Sep , Pages 23-38

Journal Article
The new system of contemporaneous reserve requirements

Review , Volume 64 , Issue Dec , Pages 3-7

Journal Article
Replicability, real-time data, and the science of economic research: FRED, ALFRED, and VDC

This article discusses the linkages between two recent themes in economic research: "real time" data and replication. These two themes share many of the same ideas, specifically, that scientific research itself has a time dimension. In research using real-time data, this time dimension is the date on which particular observations, or pieces of data, became available. In work with replication, it is the date on which a study (and its results) became available to other researchers and/or was published. Recognition of both dimensions of scientific research is important. A project at the ...
Review , Volume 88 , Issue Jan , Pages 81-93

Journal Article
The monetary base-explanation and analytical use

Review , Volume 50 , Issue Aug , Pages 7-11

Journal Article
Lagged reserve requirements: implications for monetary control and bank reserve management

Review , Volume 62 , Issue May , Pages 7-20

Journal Article
Shoe-leather costs of inflation and policy credibility

Inflation can cause costly misallocations of resources as consumers seek to protect the purchasing power of their nominal assets. In this article, Michael R. Pakko discusses the nature of these distortions - known as "shoe-leather" costs - in a model where the demand for money is motivated by a "shopping-time" constraint. While the estimates of the shoe-leather costs of long-run inflation (implied by this model) are generally consistent with previous studies, the article goes on to show that the transition between inflation rates can involve dynamics that alter the nature of these ...
Review , Issue Nov , Pages 37-50

Journal Article
Food production and prices - perspective and outlook

Review , Volume 58 , Issue Jan , Pages 15-18

Journal Article
Assessing simple policy rules: a view from a complete macroeconomic model (commentary)

Review , Volume 83 , Issue Jul , Pages 83-112

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