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Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco  Series:FRBSF Economic Letter 

Journal Article
The financial crisis and inflation expectations

One measure of a successful monetary policy is its ability to anchor expectations about future inflation rates. Financial crises, such as that of 2008?09, can be considered natural experiments that test this anchoring. The effects of the crisis on inflation expectations were largely temporary in the United States, but longer-lasting in the United Kingdom. That is surprising because the United Kingdom had a formal inflation target during this period. Expectations may have been affected more because inflation stayed above the central bank?s target for extended periods following the crisis.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Can international patent protection help a developing country grow?

FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Long-run impact of the crisis in Europe: reforms and austerity measures

The euro area faces its first sovereign debt crisis, highlighting the fiscal imbalances of member countries. Troubled countries are implementing austerity measures, with adjustments focusing on the short and medium run. However, a long-run solution to Europe's problems requires economic reforms that increase competitiveness and reduce labor costs in the peripheral countries. Such reforms would promote convergence of the euro-area economies and enhance the long-run sustainability of monetary union.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Trade liberalization in the Pacific Basin

FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Economic outlook: springtime is on my mind

The labor market looks good, inflation is moving back toward the FOMC?s target, and the economic expansion remains on track. Under these conditions, monetary policy is going back to the basics. Sparking faster growth in the future through innovation and more rapid productivity gains will require investments to build human capital, which is outside the realm of monetary policy. The following is adapted from a presentation by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to the Sacramento Economic Forum in Sacramento, California, on May 13.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
"Recapitalizing" the FSLIC

FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Copper in the red

FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
A New Conundrum in the Bond Market?

When the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates, the rates on longer-term Treasuries are generally expected to rise. However, even though the Fed has raised short-term interest rates three times since December 2016 and started reducing its asset holdings, Treasury yields have dropped instead. This decoupling of short-term and long-term rates is reminiscent of the ?Greenspan conundrum? of 2004?05. This time, however, evidence suggests compelling explanations?a lower ?normal? interest rate, the risk of persistently low inflation, and fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty?may account for ...
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
Are housing prices too high?

FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
How financial firms manage risk

FRBSF Economic Letter

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