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Journal Article
Northwest timber dilemma
Eccles, Jennifer; Pozdena, Randall
(1983)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
3 for the economists
Pozdena, Randall; Foppiano, Elaine
(1983)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
The path of wage growth and unemployment
Daly, Mary C.; Hobijn, Bart; Ni, Timothy
(2013)
After the Great Recession, the fraction of U.S. workers whose wages were frozen reached a record high. Many employers would have preferred to cut wages, but couldn?t do so because of the reluctance of workers to accept reduced compensation. These pent-up wage cuts initially propped up wage growth, reduced hiring, and pushed up unemployment. But, over the past 2 years, inflation has eroded the real value of frozen wages, slowing wage growth and reducing the unemployment rate. This is similar to, but more pronounced than, the pattern observed in past recessions.
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Profile of a recession - the U.S. and California
Daly, Mary C.; Furlong, Frederick T.
(2002)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Sweet news
Burke, William
(1974)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Monetary policy and asset markets: conference summary
Dennis, Richard
(2008)
This Economic Letter summarizes the papers presented at a conference on "Monetary Policy and Asset Markets" held at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco on February 22, 2008. ; One of the papers focused on extracting information on policy changes from the interest rate term structure and on whether investors value those policy changes or view them as an additional source of risk to be hedged. Another paper examined the extent to which subjective expectations may explain certain asset price puzzles. A third paper looked at the housing sector, quantifying the factors that drive residential ...
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Does locale affect R&D productivity? the case of pharmaceuticals
Kyle, Margaret K.
(2004)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Commodity prices and PCE inflation
Raina, Rachna; Hale, Galina; Hobijn, Bart
(2012)
Commodity prices have soared several times in recent years, raising concerns that overall inflation could rise substantially. However, crops, oil, and natural gas make up only about 5% of the cost of U.S. consumer goods and services. Thus, about one percentage point of the 10% cumulative inflation since 2007 reflects price rises in these important commodity categories. When the contribution of these commodities is subtracted from overall inflation, the resulting pattern is remarkably similar to that of core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices.
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Challenges in economic capital modeling
Lopez, Jose A.
(2010)
Financial institutions are increasingly using economic capital models to help determine the amount of capital they need to absorb unexpected losses. These models typically aggregate capital based on business-level analysis. However, important challenges surround this aggregation as well as other aspects of these models. Supervisors could use these capital calculations when they assess capital adequacy, but they need to be aware of these modeling issues.
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Consumer sentiment and the economic downturn
Throop, Adrian W.
(1991)
FRBSF Economic Letter
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