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Journal Article
Assessing the exchange rate's impact on U.S. manufacturing profits
Hung, Juann H. (1992-01)
Few studies have investigated how the large and persistent swings of the dollar over the past two decades have affected the profits of U.S. manufacturing firms. Using an econometric model of manufacturing profits, this article evaluates the overall impact of exchange rate changes on aggregate profits and the profits of exporting and import-competing firms.
Quarterly Review , Volume 17 , Issue Win , Pages 44-63

Journal Article
Small time deposits and the recent weakness in M2
Partlan, John C.; Wenninger, John (1992-04)
The authors review the supply and demand side developments that may have contributed to the recent decline in small time deposits and weak M2 growth. They also consider whether M2 should be redefined to exclude small time deposits in light of the recent difficulties in interpreting the performance of M2.
Quarterly Review , Volume 17 , Issue Spr , Pages 21-35

Journal Article
Projecting consumer expenditures on automobiles
Martens, Joann E. (1985-01)
Quarterly Review , Volume 10 , Issue Win , Pages 43-44

Journal Article
The cost of capital for securities firms in the United States and Japan
Zimmer, Steven A.; McCauley, Robert N. (1991-10)
The authors use stock market valuations to construct estimates of the cost of capital for five U.S. and four Japanese securities firms in 1982-91. They seek explanations for the observed capital cost differences in macroeconomic, risk, policy, and industrial organization factors. Their analysis also contrasts the gap in capital costs between U.S. and Japanese securities firms with the corresponding gap for industrial firms and banks.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Aut , Pages 14-27

Journal Article
Evolution of U.S. trade with China
Orr, James A. (1991-01)
Despite the improvements in the overall U.S. trade balance in the latter half of the 1980s, the U.S. trade deficit with China has widened significantly. This article investigates the factors underlying this growing deficit and analyzes how growth in imports from China has affected the pattern of U.S. imports from other Asian economies, notably Hong Kong.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Win , Pages 47-54

Journal Article
Second District update: a moderate recovery is in progress
Rosen, Rae D.; Wenninger, John (1994-04)
After a prolonged recession, the Second District's economy began to expand in the second half of 1993. Several indicatorsthe growing volume of exports from the region, strong earnings on Wall Street, and job growth at newly formed businessessuggest that the recovery can be sustained in the quarters immediately ahead. In a supplemental analysis, the authors find that new small firms are the primary source of job generation in New York State, although they note that such firms also carry a higher risk of failure.
Quarterly Review , Volume 19 , Issue Spr , Pages 45-53

Journal Article
The baby boom generation and aggregate savings
Cantor, Richard; Yuengert, Andrew M. (1994-07)
Many analysts predict a resurgence in national savings as baby boomers approach retirement. This analysis of demographic trends and survey measures of savings and income suggests that such expectations may be ill founded. Although baby boomer saving rates will likely rise over the next twenty years, aggregate saving may not increase because other, low-saving age groups will be claiming an increasing share of the population. Moreover, despite a reputation for free spending, many baby boomers have accumulated substantial savings already and may not raise their saving rates aggressively in their ...
Quarterly Review , Volume 19 , Issue Sum , Pages 76-91

Journal Article
International linkages among equities markets and the October 1987 market break
Cumming, Christine M.; Harwood, Alison; Aderhold, Robert (1988-07)
Quarterly Review , Volume 13 , Issue Sum , Pages 34-46

Journal Article
In brief: high foreign real interest rates and investment in the 1990s
Osler, Carol L. (1994-04)
This article argues that high interest rates abroad have substantially depressed private investment in most foreign members of the Group of Seven during the 1990s. Business investment has been especially hard hit and housing construction disrupted, although the effect on housing has been offset in some countries by stimulative fiscal policies. The author estimates that overall, high interest rates have reduced output in the foreign G-7 by 2 1/2 to 4 1/4 percent per year on average over 1990-93.
Quarterly Review , Volume 19 , Issue Spr , Pages 38-44

Journal Article
Index amortizing rate swaps
Galaif, Lisa N. (1993-01)
As short-term interest rates have declined over the past several years, investors have increasingly sought higher yielding investment vehicles. The index amortizing rate (IAR) swap is one of several new instruments that have been developed in response to this investor demand for yield enhancement. This article explains the structure and pricing of IAR swaps, some of the risks associated with the product, and the uses and growth prospects of the market.
Quarterly Review , Volume 18 , Issue Win , Pages 63-70

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