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Journal Article
The wage cycle and shadow labor supply
Mustre-del-Rio, Jose; Davig, Troy A. (2014-08-11)
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Revamping the Kansas City Financial Stress Index Using the Treasury Repo Rate
Cook, Thomas R.; Doh, Taeyoung (2018-10-24)
The Kansas City Financial Stress Index (KCFSI) uses the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) to measure money market borrowing conditions. But regulatory changes in the United Kingdom will eliminate LIBOR by 2021. We construct a revised financial stress index with a variable that measures the cost of borrowing collateralized by Treasury securities (the Treasury repo rate) instead of LIBOR. {{p}} This revised measure of the KCFSI is highly correlated with the current KCFSI, suggesting the Treasury repo rate can replace LIBOR.
Macro Bulletin , Issue October 24, 2018 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
Gauging the Strength of Chinese GDP Growth
Nie, Jun (2016-02-29)
Jun Nie constructs an alternative measure to evaluate the strength of Chinese GDP growth and identifies potential risks to China?s growth in the near term.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Does health care reform support self-employment?
Tuzemen, Didem; Becker, Thealexa (2014-09-24)
Didem Tzemen and Thealexa Becker study the Massachusetts Health Care Reform Act and find the reform may have supported self-employment in the state.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
The Fiscal Stance of U.S. States
Bi, Huixin; Bae, Jaeheung (2018-11-28)
We study the fiscal stance of U.S. states through the lens of state reserve funds. We find that the overall rainy day and unemployment insurance funds have largely recovered since the start of the Great Recession but at an uneven pace across states. More importantly, we find that states are better prepared to meet their own budgetary shortfalls in the event of a downturn than the shortfalls of households.
Macro Bulletin , Issue November 28, 2018 , Pages 1-3

Journal Article
Consumer Price Inflation and Rising Rents in the West
Rappaport, Jordan; Redmond, Michael (2016-12-19)
Rising home rents in four western metros have increasingly boosted consumer price inflation.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Has forward guidance been effective?
Smith, Andrew Lee; Becker, Thealexa (2015-09-04)
A. Lee Smith and Thealexa Becker compare forward guidance announcements with changes in the effective federal funds rate and find the two policy measures have had similar macroeconomic effects.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Are longer-term inflation expectations stable?
Bundick, Brent; Hakkio, Craig S. (2015-03-09)
Bundick and Hakkio use survey data to evaluate the stability of forecasters' long-term inflation expectations.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Monetary policy and firm entry and exit
Van Zandweghe, Willem; Lee, Yoonsoo (2015-08-20)
Yoonsoo Lee and Willem Van Zandweghe find unusually accommodative monetary policy reduces the reallocation of capital and workers from exiting firms to new ones, potentially slowing productivity growth.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
The Reallocation of Energy-sector Workers After Oil Price Booms and Busts
Kodaka, Andres; Brown, Jason (2016-03-03)
Jason P. Brown and Andres Kodaka compare recent job losses in the mining sector with those that occurred during the Great Recession and find displaced workers had an easier time finding new jobs in 2015 than they did during the recession.
Macro Bulletin

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