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Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas  Series:Economic Letter 

Journal Article
Is rising unemployment an early warning of state-level recession?

Based on experience with national unemployment, analysts have viewed sharply higher state joblessness as signaling possible further deterioration. However, analyses indicate increasing state-level unemployment by itself does not indicate a recession, and that applying rule-of-thumb properties regarding recession to state economies is misguided.
Economic Letter , Volume 11 , Issue 8 , Pages 1-4

Journal Article
A real appreciation for recent exchange-rate movements

Recent movements in real exchange rates? a measure of relative prices? in the euro area and Japan are consistent with long-run adjustments toward levels predicted by economic fundamentals.
Economic Letter , Volume 10 , Issue 7 , Pages 1-4

Journal Article
Shadow banking reemerges, posing challenges to banks and regulators

Shadow banking has come roaring back and in new forms that still manage to escape bank regulation and could pose systemic risks since these activities remain deeply intertwined with traditional banking.
Economic Letter , Volume 11 , Issue 10 , Pages 1-4

Journal Article
Does foreign direct investment help emerging economies?

Economic Letter , Volume 2

Journal Article
Running on empty? how economic freedom affects oil supplies

Economic Letter , Volume 1 , Pages 1-8

Journal Article
Taming the credit cycle by limiting high-risk lending

Reformers should review the loan-to-value guidelines for real estate lending, toughen them up where necessary and, most important, put the force of law behind them.
Economic Letter , Volume 4

Journal Article
Will China ever become as rich as the U.S.?

Twenty years ago, a visitor to Beijing would have been struck by the bicycle?s popularity as a form of mass transportation. Today, auto congestion and pollution on the increasingly clogged roads of China?s capital city are pervasive features. In a little more than three decades, China has transformed itself from a largely closed agrarian society to an urban exporting nation commonly viewed as the workshop of the world. ; At current growth rates, China will be the world?s largest economy sometime in the next decade. But will it ever be the richest? Though providing a definitive answer is ...
Economic Letter , Volume 6

Journal Article
Is Latin America saying adios to market-friendly reforms?

This issue of the Economic Letter finds that Latin America hasn't lost faith in open markets, despite recent left-leaning election results. ; In analyzing several economic policy measures for 12 nations that make up the bulk of the Latin American population, authors William C. Gruben and Richard Alm find no wholesale erosion of market-based policies outside of Argentina, the Dominican Republic and Venezuela, and most countries are running in place.
Economic Letter , Volume 2

Journal Article
Fed intervention: managing moral hazard in financial crises

At the end of September 2008, U.S. policymakers had been working for more than a year to contain the shock waves from plunging home prices and the subsequent financial market turmoil. For the Federal Reserve, the crisis has given new meaning to the adage that extraordinary times call for extraordinary measures. The central bank has dusted off Depression-era powers and rewritten old rules to address serious risks to the global financial system.
Economic Letter , Volume 3

Journal Article
Risk, uncertainty separately cloud global growth forecasting

Forecasts of global growth have historically been imprecise, punctuated by periods of optimism and pessimism. Inaccuracy in forecasting partly reflects quantifiable risks to the global outlook as well as economic uncertainty.
Economic Letter , Volume 11 , Issue 9 , Pages 1-4




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