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Working Paper
The U.S. sector of the multi-country model and its multipliers
Kwack, Sung Y.
(1979)
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 146
Working Paper
Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior
Rogers, John H.; Faust, Jon
(1999)
While much empirical work has addressed the role of monetary policy shocks in exchange rate behavior, conclusions have been clouded by the lack of plausible identifying assumptions. We apply a recently developed inference procedure allowing us to relax dubious identifying assumptions. This work overturns some earlier results and strengthens others: i) Contrary to earlier findings of "delayed overshooting," the peak exchange rate effect of policy shocks may come nearly immediately after the shock; ii) In every otherwise reasonable identification, monetary policy shocks lead to large ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 652
Working Paper
International sources of domestic inflation
Lowrey, Barbara R.; Enzler, Jared J.; Clark, Peter K.; Berner, Richard
(1974)
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 55
Working Paper
The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions
Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J.
(2014-08-20)
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide a formal analysis of this question with special attention to the possible role of net oil price increases in amplifying the transmission of oil price shocks. We quantify the conditional recessionary effect of oil price shocks in the net oil price increase model for all episodes of net oil price increases since the mid-1970s. Compared to the linear model, the cumulative effect of ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1114
Working Paper
Simulations with a model of the U.S. balance of payments: the impact of the Smithsonian exchange rate agreement
Kwack, Sung Y.
(1974)
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 48
Working Paper
How wide is the border?
Rogers, John H.; Engel, Charles
(1995)
Failures of the law of one price explain much of the variation in real C.P.I. exchange rates. We use C.P.I. data for U.S. cities and Canadian cities for 14 categories of consumer prices to examine the nature of the deviations from the law of one price. The distance between cities explains a significant amount of the variation in the prices of similar goods in different cities. But, the variation of the price is much higher for two cities located in different countries than for two equidistant cities in the same country. By our most conservative measure, crossing the border adds as much to the ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 498
Working Paper
Did easy money in the dollar bloc fuel the global commodity boom?
Kamin, Steven B.; Guerrieri, Luca; Erceg, Christopher J.
(2009)
Among the various explanations for the runup in oil and commodity prices of recent years, one story focuses on the role of monetary policy in the United States and in developing economies. In this view, developing countries that peg their currencies to the dollar were forced to ease their monetary policies after reductions in U.S. interest rates, leading to economic overheating, excess demand for oil and other commodities, and rising commodity prices. We assess that hypothesis using the Federal Reserve staff?s forward-looking, multicountry, dynamic general equilibrium model, SIGMA. We find ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 979
Working Paper
Commodity price movements in a general equilibrium model of storage
Leduc, Sylvain; Arseneau, David M.
(2012)
We embed the canonical rational expectations competitive storage model into a general equilibrium framework thereby allowing the non-linear commodity price dynamics implied by the competitive storage model to interact with the broader macroeconomy. Our main result is that the endogenous movement in interest rates implied under general equilibrium enhances the effects of competitive storage on commodity prices. Compared to a model in which the real interest rate is fixed, we find that storage in general equilibrium leads to more persistence in commodity prices and somewhat lower volatility. ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1054
Working Paper
When would educational standards help improve scholastic achievement?
Iyigun, Murat F.
(1999)
I study the potential effects on student performance to be expected from setting mandatory standards in primary and secondary education. To that end, I present a model in which investment in education is indivisible. Thus, if demand exceeds supply at any level of education, allocation is carried out--at least in part--via test scores. The model highlights how the effectiveness of educational standards in altering student performance depends on the college and secondary school education premia, the stringency of standards, and the supply of college education--factors which together determine ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 648
Working Paper
Private payments systems in historical perspective: the Banco Central system of Mexico.
Robitaille, Patrice
(1997)
Payments systems have grown considerably and have become increasingly complex, prompting regulators to reassess their roles and renewing interest in historical experiences with payments systems. In this paper, I study the Banco Central System of Mexico, which was a bank note par redemption and clearing system for other payments that operated in Mexico City from 1899 until 1913. I first describe the origins of the Banco Central System. I then consider whether it became prone to behavioral problems, as some observers contended. I find that although Banco Central was less well-positioned to ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 599
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Rogers, John H. 47 items
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Marquez, Jaime R. 41 items
Gagnon, Joseph E. 33 items
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Debt 6 items
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options 6 items
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European Economic Community 5 items
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textual analysis 5 items
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bond markets 4 items
monetary unions 4 items
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Risk-taking 3 items
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Stocks 3 items
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chinese financial markets 3 items
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mutual fund managers 3 items
price informativeness 3 items
search and matching 3 items
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Australia 2 items
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Production (Economic theory) 2 items
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Technology - Economic aspects 2 items
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United States 2 items
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Yen, Japanese 2 items
current account 2 items
cycles 2 items
economic conditions - United States 2 items
global risks 2 items
global savings glut 2 items
import prices 2 items
letters of credit 2 items
neutral interest rates 2 items
open economy macroeconomics 2 items
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zero lower bound (ZLB) 2 items
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AI 1 items
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Asymmetric 1 items
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Asymmetry 1 items
Automobile industry and trade 1 items
BRRD 1 items
Backus-Smith puzzle 1 items
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Balance sheet mismatch 1 items
Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 1 items
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Bank Runs 1 items
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Bank supervision and regulation, early warning models, CAMELS ratings, machine learning 1 items
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Banks and banking - History 1 items
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Banks, credit unions, and other financial institutions 1 items
Bayesian statistical decision theory 1 items
Behavioral biases 1 items
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Belt and road 1 items
Bias 1 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 1 items
Bolivia 1 items
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Boom-bust cycles 1 items
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Building and Loan 1 items
Business Cycle Fluctuations 1 items
Business conditions 1 items
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Business cycles - Econometric models 1 items
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CCAR 1 items
CDO 1 items
CDS 1 items
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Coalitional deviations 1 items
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Comparative advantage 1 items
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Complex Tasks 1 items
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Cooperative housing 1 items
Corporate Balance Sheets 1 items
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Corporations - Finance 1 items
Cost of capital 1 items
Covid 1 items
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Credit - Asia 1 items
Credit Gap 1 items
Credit Impulse 1 items
Credit and Equity Shocks 1 items
Credit channel of monetary policy 1 items
Credit constraints 1 items
Credit intermediation 1 items
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