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Working Paper
Inflation, Volatility, and Growth
Judson, Ruth; Orphanides, Athanasios
This paper re-examines the relationship between inflation, inflation volatility and growth using cross-country panel data for the past 30 years. With regard to the level of inflation, we find that in contrast to current findings which are based on cross-sectional time-average regression comparisons, exploiting the time dimension of the data reveals a strong negative correlation between inflation and income growth for all but very low inflation countries. To examine the role of inflation uncertainty on growth, we use intra-year inflation data to construct an annual measure of inflation ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-19
Working Paper
Household Saving and Portfolio Change: Evidence from the 1983-89 SCF Panel
Kennickell, Arthur B.; Starr-McCluer, Martha
There are very few sources of high-quality data on the dynamics of wealth accumulation. This paper uses newly-available data from the 1983-89 panel of the Survey of Consumer Finances to examine household saving and portfolio change over the 1980s. The 1983 SCF collected detailed information on households' assets, liabilities, income and other characteristics for a sample of 4,103 families. In 1989, 1,479 of these families were re-interviewed using a similar questionnaire. After describing the sample and methodology of the panel survey, we analyze changes in household wealth over the 1983-89 ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-18
Working Paper
Is "Learning-by-Exporting" Important? Micro-dynamic Evidence from Colombia, Mexico, and Morocco
Clerides, Sofronis; Lach, Saul; Tybout, James
Is there any empirical evidence that firms become more efficient after becoming exporters? Do firms that become exporters generate positive spillovers for domestically-oriented producers in their industry or region? In this paper we analyze the causal links between exporting and productivity using firm-level panel data from three semi-industrialized economies. Representing export market participation and production costs as jointly dependent autoregressive processes, we look for evidence that firms' stochastic cost process shifts when they break into foreign markets. We find that relatively ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-30
Working Paper
The Opportunistic Approach to Disinflation
Orphanides, Athanasios; Wilcox, David W.
This paper explores the theoretical foundations of a new approach to monetary policy. Proponents of this approach hold that when inflation is moderate but still above the long-run objective, the Fed should not take deliberate anti-inflation action, but rather should wait for external circumstances-such as favorable supply shocks and unforeseen recessions-to deliver the desired reduction in inflation. While waiting for such circumstances to arise, the Fed should aggressively resist incipient increases in inflation. This strategy has come to be known as "the opportunistic approach to ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-24
Working Paper
The Subsidy Provided by the Federal Safety Net: Theory, Measurement, and Containment
Kwast, Myron L.; Passmore, Wayne
This paper presents an intuitive and analytical model of how the federal safety net affects banks' cost of funds. Emphasis is placed on distinguishing between fixed and marginal costs in banking and on the implications of the model for measuring the subsidy. Empirical results strongly suggest that the safety net has benefitted banks and that over recent years bank holding companies have tended to move activities into a bank or a bank subsidiary. We conclude that limiting extension of the safety net subsidy should be a serious concern when designing strategies for expanding bank activities.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1997-58
Working Paper
The Community Reinvestment Act and the Profitability of Mortgage-Oriented Banks
Canner, Glenn B.; Passmore, Wayne
The Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) requires lenders ``to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they are chartered, consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions.'' For proponents of efficient markets, the CRA is a threat to lender profitability. For others, the CRA has the potential to increase profitability. We examine the relative profitability of commercial banks that specialize in mortgage lending in lower-income neighborhoods or to lower-income borrowers using three different techniques, and find that lenders active in lower-income ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1997-07
Working Paper
Why Are Estimates of Agricultural Supply Response so Variable?
Diebold, Francis X.; Lamb, Russell L.
Estimates of the response of agricultural supply to movements in expected price display curiously large variation across crops, regions, and time periods. We argue that this anomoly may be traced, at least in part, to the statistical properties of the commonly-used econometric estimator, which has infinite moments of all orders and may have a bimodal distribution. We propose an alternative minimum- expected-loss estimator, establish its improved sampling properties, and argue for its usefulness in the empirical analysis of agricultural supply response.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-08
Working Paper
Treasury Yields and Corporate Bond Yield Spreads: An Empirical Analysis
Duffee, Gregory R.
This paper empirically examines the relation between the Treasury term structure and spreads of investment grade corporate bond yields over Treasuries. I find that noncallable bond yield spreads fall when the level of the Treasury term structure rises. The extent of this decline depends on the initial credit quality of the bond; the decline is small for Aaa-rated bonds and large for Baa-rated bonds. The role of the business cycle in generating this pattern is explored, as is the link between yield spreads and default risk. I also argue that yield spreads based on commonly-used bond yield ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-20
Working Paper
Initial Public Offerings in Hot and Cold Markets
Helwege, Jean; Liang, J. Nellie
Asymmetric information models characterize hot IPO markets as periods when better quality firms have an incentive to issue equity, and cold markets when the lemons premium associated with equity is too high to draw in many issuers. Recent empirical evidence, however, suggests that firms that issue in hot markets are a major source of stock price underperformance of equity issuers. We investigate these opposing views with data on IPO firms that issued in 1983, a hot market, and 1988, a cold market. We find that the two sets of firms have similar operating performance, but stock returns are ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-34
Working Paper
Vehicle Ownership, Vehicle Acquisitions, and the Growth of Auto Leasing: Evidence from Consumer Surveys
Aizcorbe, Ana M.; Starr-McCluer, Martha
This paper documents the basic features of data on motor vehicles from the Federal Reserve Board's Survey of Consumer Finances and the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Expenditure Survey. Despite some methodological differences between the two surveys, we find that they yield strikingly similar pictures of households' vehicle holdings. The survey data are also quite consistent with population estimates of vehicle stocks obtained from other sources. Finally, we document the growth of auto leasing by consumers, and find little evidence for the commonly-held view that liquidity constraints ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1996-35
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Working Paper 2287 items
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Berger, Allen N. 63 items
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Sharpe, Steven A. 39 items
Passmore, Wayne 34 items
Liang, J. Nellie 29 items
Kupiec, Paul H. 26 items
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Q54 2 items
R13 2 items
R4 2 items
R50 2 items
R58 2 items
A22 1 items
C00 1 items
C02 1 items
C19 1 items
C2 1 items
C26 1 items
C3 1 items
C36 1 items
C43 1 items
C45 1 items
C46 1 items
C54 1 items
C57 1 items
C60 1 items
C65 1 items
C67 1 items
C68 1 items
C72 1 items
C78 1 items
C8 1 items
D11 1 items
D23 1 items
D4 1 items
D44 1 items
D51 1 items
D60 1 items
D64 1 items
D79 1 items
D90 1 items
D92 1 items
E0 1 items
E14 1 items
E23 1 items
E25 1 items
E41 1 items
E49 1 items
E53 1 items
E59 1 items
E69 1 items
E70 1 items
F12 1 items
F23 1 items
F3 1 items
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F32 1 items
F36 1 items
F38 1 items
F40 1 items
F45 1 items
F47 1 items
F55 1 items
F6 1 items
G0 1 items
G29 1 items
G39 1 items
G41 1 items
G53 1 items
H10 1 items
H11 1 items
H19 1 items
H39 1 items
H4 1 items
H5 1 items
H51 1 items
H56 1 items
H57 1 items
H6 1 items
H62 1 items
H7 1 items
H73 1 items
H74 1 items
H83 1 items
I25 1 items
I3 1 items
I38 1 items
J01 1 items
J1 1 items
J12 1 items
J13 1 items
J16 1 items
J28 1 items
J38 1 items
J41 1 items
J42 1 items
K38 1 items
L31 1 items
L4 1 items
L41 1 items
L5 1 items
L8 1 items
L91 1 items
L92 1 items
M37 1 items
M40 1 items
M51 1 items
N11 1 items
N13 1 items
N20 1 items
N3 1 items
N32 1 items
N41 1 items
N70 1 items
N72 1 items
O0 1 items
O11 1 items
O25 1 items
O30 1 items
O31 1 items
O32 1 items
O38 1 items
O41 1 items
Q33 1 items
Q35 1 items
Q43 1 items
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R2 1 items
R32 1 items
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R41 1 items
R5 1 items
R51 1 items
R52 1 items
Y10 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
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Econometric models 113 items
Inflation (Finance) 82 items
Interest rates 82 items
Risk 61 items
Business cycles 60 items
Prices 48 items
Bank loans 42 items
Forecasting 42 items
Productivity 37 items
Stock - Prices 36 items
Taxation 36 items
Consumption (Economics) 35 items
Wages 35 items
Consumer behavior 32 items
Unemployment 31 items
Mortgages 30 items
Banks and banking 29 items
Labor market 29 items
Uncertainty 29 items
Bank capital 28 items
Investments 27 items
Stock market 27 items
Financial crisis 26 items
Bank mergers 25 items
Economic forecasting 24 items
Liquidity 24 items
Credit 23 items
Risk management 23 items
Small business 23 items
Mortgage loans 22 items
Time-series analysis 22 items
Saving and investment 21 items
Stocks 21 items
Zero lower bound 21 items
Debt 20 items
Employment (Economic theory) 20 items
Macroeconomics 20 items
Fiscal policy 20 items
Wealth 19 items
Labor supply 18 items
Inflation 18 items
Financial institutions 17 items
Income 17 items
Liquidity (Economics) 17 items
Phillips curve 17 items
Banking market 16 items
Econometrics 16 items
Housing - Prices 16 items
Effective lower bound 16 items
Employment 16 items
Consumer credit 15 items
Government securities 15 items
Technology 15 items
Forward guidance 15 items
Bank deposits 14 items
Corporations - Finance 14 items
Financial markets 14 items
Inequality 14 items
Labor productivity 14 items
Banks 14 items
Financial stability 14 items
Great Recession 14 items
Bankruptcy 13 items
Capital 13 items
Derivative securities 13 items
Human capital 13 items
Money supply 13 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 13 items
Systemic risk 13 items
Unconventional monetary policy 13 items
Bonds 12 items
Pensions 12 items
Deposit insurance 12 items
Asset-backed financing 11 items
Capital market 11 items
Consumption 11 items
Federal funds market (United States) 11 items
Payment systems 11 items
Securities 11 items
Bank lending 11 items
Basel III 10 items
Capital assets pricing model 10 items
Economics 10 items
Federal funds rate 10 items
Households - Economic aspects 10 items
Savings and loan associations 10 items
Asset pricing 10 items
Automobile industry and trade 9 items
Bank reserves 9 items
Bank supervision 9 items
Banking structure 9 items
Capital investments 9 items
Corporate bonds 9 items
Credit cards 9 items
Credit supply 9 items
Federal Reserve 9 items
Financial crises 9 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 9 items
Industrial productivity 9 items
Medicare 9 items
Social security 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
Bank failures 8 items
Bank profits 8 items
COVID-19 8 items
Collateral 8 items
Futures 8 items
Gross domestic product 8 items
Industrial capacity 8 items
Investment 8 items
Mutual funds 8 items
Rate of return 8 items
Repo 8 items
Swaps (Finance) 8 items
Hedge funds 8 items
Bayesian estimation 7 items
Branch banks 7 items
Competition 7 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 7 items
Discrimination in consumer credit 7 items
Economic indicators 7 items
Education 7 items
Financial services industry 7 items
Household finance 7 items
Information technology 7 items
Inventories 7 items
Japan 7 items
Manufactures 7 items
Monetary policy - United States 7 items
Real property 7 items
Regulation 7 items
DSGE models 7 items
Inflation Targeting 7 items
Volatility 7 items
Auctions 6 items
Bank management 6 items
Banking 6 items
Business enterprises 6 items
Central counterparties 6 items
Computers 6 items
Credit risk 6 items
Economic development 6 items
Entrepreneurship 6 items
Expenditures, Public 6 items
Federal Open Market Committee 6 items
Financial risk management 6 items
Labor supply and demand 6 items
Margins (Security trading) 6 items
Market liquidity 6 items
Minimum wage 6 items
Money 6 items
Mortgages and credit 6 items
Over-the-counter markets 6 items
Property tax 6 items
Recessions 6 items
Research and development 6 items
Retirement 6 items
Statistics 6 items
Bayesian methods 6 items
Dynamic factor model 6 items
Financial Frictions 6 items
International Trade 6 items
Panel data 6 items
Saving 6 items
Student loans 6 items
401(k) plans 5 items
Automated tellers 5 items
Banks and banking - Costs 5 items
Banks and banking, Central 5 items
Business cycle 5 items
Default 5 items
Discrimination 5 items
Electronic funds transfers 5 items
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve System 5 items
Financial leverage 5 items
Financial regulation 5 items
Foreign exchange rates 5 items
Homeownership 5 items
Housing 5 items
Income distribution 5 items
Industries 5 items
International finance 5 items
Learning 5 items
Macroprudential policy 5 items
Monetary policy implementation 5 items
Monetary theory 5 items
Mortgage 5 items
Mortgage-backed securities 5 items
Open market operations 5 items
Optimal policy 5 items
Production (Economic theory) 5 items
Real-time data 5 items
Retirement income 5 items
Small business - Finance 5 items
Stocks - Rate of return 5 items
Treasury bills 5 items
Corporate governance 5 items
Credit scores 5 items
Asymmetric information 4 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 4 items
Big data 4 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 4 items
Bunching 4 items
Cafeteria benefit plans 4 items
Checks 4 items
China 4 items
Cointegration 4 items
Commercial paper issues 4 items
Consumer protection 4 items
Corporations 4 items
Dealers 4 items
Default (Finance) 4 items
Defined benefit pension plans 4 items
Dividends 4 items
Economic stabilization 4 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 4 items
Exports 4 items
Federal funds 4 items
Flow of funds 4 items
Foreclosure 4 items
Global financial crisis 4 items
Housing - Finance 4 items
Income tax 4 items
Inflation-indexed bonds 4 items
Insurance 4 items
Insurance, Health 4 items
Labor mobility 4 items
Local projections 4 items
Manufacturing 4 items
Measurement error 4 items
Money market 4 items
Money markets 4 items
Older people 4 items
Operational Risk 4 items
Optimal monetary policy 4 items
Payday loans 4 items
Portfolio management 4 items
Price discovery 4 items
Price measurement 4 items
QE 4 items
Quantitative easing 4 items
Random walks (Mathematics) 4 items
Residential real estate 4 items
Search and matching 4 items
Semiconductor industry 4 items
Statistical methods 4 items
Stockholders 4 items
Tail Risk 4 items
Tax credits 4 items
Unemployment insurance 4 items
Vector autoregression 4 items
Welfare 4 items
credit unions 4 items
Arbitrage 3 items
Asset management 3 items
Auto loans 3 items
Automobiles - Prices 3 items
Bank competition 3 items
Bank holding companies 3 items
Bank investments 3 items
Bank lending channel 3 items
Bank regulation 3 items
Bank runs 3 items
Banking Regulation 3 items
Banks and banking - United States 3 items
Banks and banking, International 3 items
Broker-dealers 3 items
CARD Act 3 items
Capital Requirements 3 items
Cash flow 3 items
Central bank independence 3 items
Commercial loans 3 items
Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 3 items
Community banks 3 items
Consumer surveys 3 items
Contagion 3 items
Corporate profits 3 items
Credit default swaps 3 items
Data collection and estimation 3 items
Debit cards 3 items
Debts, Public 3 items
Deflationary Bias 3 items
Disclosure 3 items
Discretion 3 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 3 items
Dynamic Factor Models 3 items
Economic conditions - United States 3 items
Economic growth 3 items
Economic measurement 3 items
Economic surveys 3 items
Economies of scale 3 items
Education - Economic aspects 3 items
Equilibrium real interest rate 3 items
Expectations 3 items
FOMC 3 items
Finance 3 items
Finance, Personal 3 items
Finance, Public 3 items
Financial literacy 3 items
Financial stability and risk 3 items
Financing constraints 3 items
Firm dynamics 3 items
General Equilibrium 3 items
Globalization 3 items
Great Depression 3 items
Gross national product 3 items
Growth 3 items
Hedging (Finance) 3 items
House prices 3 items
Households 3 items
Housing affordability 3 items
Housing supply 3 items
Identification 3 items
Incomplete markets 3 items
Inflation dynamics 3 items
Inflation expectations 3 items
Input-output analysis 3 items
Institutional investors 3 items
Interest 3 items
Job loss 3 items
Kalman filter 3 items
LSAPs 3 items
Labor turnover 3 items
Lender of last resort 3 items
Leveraged buyouts 3 items
Loans, Personal 3 items
M2 3 items
Machine learning 3 items
Markets 3 items
Markups 3 items
Medical care 3 items
Misallocation 3 items
Monetarism 3 items
Monetary policy - Japan 3 items
Moral hazard 3 items
Motor vehicles 3 items
Municipal bonds 3 items
Nowcasting 3 items
Occasionally binding constraints 3 items
Options (Finance) 3 items
Output gap 3 items
Partial identification 3 items
Patents 3 items
Petroleum industry and trade 3 items
Price level targeting 3 items
Public economics 3 items
R&D 3 items
Recession 3 items
Reserve balances 3 items
Retail trade 3 items
Risky Steady State 3 items
Search 3 items
Secondary markets 3 items
Stochastic analysis 3 items
Stochastic volatility 3 items
Stock exchanges 3 items
Stock return anomalies 3 items
Stress testing 3 items
Tax incentives 3 items
Technological innovations 3 items
Temporary employees 3 items
Transmission mechanism (Monetary policy) 3 items
Unobserved components model 3 items
Wages and compensation 3 items
Yield curve 3 items
and other financial institutions 3 items
credit derivatives 3 items
deposit rates 3 items
housing markets 3 items
liquidity trap 3 items
money market funds 3 items
sticky prices 3 items
stock returns 3 items
Accounting 2 items
Achievement gaps 2 items
Administered rates 2 items
Administrative data 2 items
Advertising 2 items
Antitrust law 2 items
Asset pricing and bonds 2 items
Asset returns 2 items
Auction 2 items
Australia 2 items
Automobile industry and trade - Finance 2 items
Balance of payments 2 items
Balance sheet policies 2 items