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Working Paper
Reputation and Investor Activism: A Structural Approach
Swem, Nathan; Johnson, Travis L.
(2020-10-15)
We measure the impact of reputation for proxy fighting on investor activism by estimating a dynamic model in which activists engage a sequence of target firms. Our estimation produces an evolving reputation measure for each activist and quantifies its impact on campaign frequency and outcomes. We find that high reputation activists initiate 3.5 times as many campaigns and extract 85% more settlements from targets, and that reputation-building incentives explain 20% of campaign initiations and 19% of proxy fights. Our estimates indicate these reputation effects combine to nearly double the ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2017-036r1
Working Paper
Sticky inflation and interest rate rules with auction prices
Von zur Muehlen, Peter
(1990)
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 117
Working Paper
Exchange rates, optimal debt composition, and hedging in small open economies
Berrospide, Jose M.
(2008)
This paper develops a model of the firm's choice between debt denominated in local currency and that denominated in foreign currency in a small open economy characterized by exchange rate risk and hedging possibilities. The model shows that the currency composition of debt and the level of hedging are endogenously determined as optimal firms' responses to a tradeoff between the lower cost of borrowing in foreign debt and the higher risk of such borrowing due to exchange rate uncertainty. Both the composition of debt and the level of hedging depend on common factors such as foreign exchange ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2008-18
Working Paper
Conglomeration versus strategic focus: evidence from the insurance industry
Zi, Hongmin; Cummins, J. David; Berger, Allen N.; Weiss, Mary A.
(1999)
We use data on U.S. insurance companies to examine the validity of the conglomeration hypothesis versus the strategic focus hypothesis for financial institutions. We distinguish between the hypotheses using profit scope economies, which measures the relative efficiency of joint versus specialized production, taking both costs and revenues into account. The results suggest that the conglomeration hypothesis dominates for some types of financial service providers and the strategic focus hypothesis dominates for other types. This may explain the empirical puzzle of why joint producers and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1999-40
Working Paper
The informational content of the embedded deflation option in TIPS
Grishchenko, Olesya V.; Vanden, Joel M.; Zhang, Jianing
(2013)
In this paper we estimate the value of the embedded option in U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). The option value exhibits significant time variation that is correlated with periods of deflationary expectations. We use our estimated option values to construct an embedded option price index and an embedded option return index. We then use our embedded option indices as independent variables and examine their statistical and economic significance for explaining the future inflation rate. In almost all of our regressions, the embedded option return index is significant even in ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2013-24
Working Paper
Happiness maintenance and asset prices
Falato, Antonio
(2008)
This paper constructs a simple dynamic asset pricing model which incorporates recent evidence on the influence of immediate emotions on risk preferences. Investors derive direct utility from both consumption and financial wealth and, consistent with the happiness maintenance feature documented by Isen (1999) and others, become more cautious toward their wealth in good times. Mild pro-cyclical changes in risk aversion over wealth cause large pro-cyclical fluctuations in the current price-dividend ratio which, due to general equilibrium restrictions, translate into counter-cyclical variation in ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2008-19
Working Paper
When is the Fiscal Multiplier High? A Comparison of Four Business Cycle Phases
Pfajfar, Damjan; http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/; Berge, Travis J.
(2020-03-27)
We synthesize the recent, at times conflicting, empirical literature regarding whether fiscal policy is more effective during certain points in the business cycle. Evidence of state dependence in the multiplier depends critically on how the business cycle is defined. Estimates of the fiscal multiplier do not change when the unemployment rate is above or below its trend. However, we find that the multiplier is higher when the unemployment rate is increasing relative to when it is decreasing. This result holds using both a long time-series at the U.S. national level and for a panel of U.S. ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2020-026
Working Paper
Inventory dynamics and business cycles: what has changed?
Zakrajšek, Egon; McCarthy, Jonathan
(2003)
Despite the recent patch of sluggish growth, the U.S. economy has experienced a period of remarkable stability since the mid-1980s. One popular explanation attributes the diminished variability of economic activity to information-technology-led improvements in inventory management. Our results, however, indicate that the changes in inventory dynamics since the mid-1980s played a reinforcing---rather than a leading---role in the volatility reduction. Movements in the volatility of manufacturing output over the past three decades almost entirely reflect changes in the variability of the growth ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2003-26
Working Paper
Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset
Wright, Jonathan H.
(2008)
This paper provides cross-country empirical evidence on term premia, inflation uncertainty, and their relationship. It has three components. First, I construct a panel of zero-coupon nominal government bond yields spanning ten countries and eighteen years. From these, I construct forward rates and decompose these into expected future short-term interest rates and term premiums, using both statistical methods (an affine term structure model) and using surveys. Second, I construct alternative measures of time-varying inflation uncertainty for these countries, using actual inflation data and ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2008-25
Working Paper
What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?
Yoldas, Emre; Chauvet, Marcelle; Senyuz, Zeynep
(2012)
This paper provides an extensive analysis of the predictive ability of financial volatility measures for economic activity. We construct monthly measures of aggregated and industry-level stock volatility, and bond market volatility from daily returns. We model log financial volatility as composed of a long-run component that is common across all series, and a short-run component. If volatility has components, volatility proxies are characterized by large measurement error, which veils analysis of their fundamental information and relationship with the economy. We find that there are ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2012-09
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C40 2 items
C43 2 items
C60 2 items
C80 2 items
C87 2 items
C88 2 items
C91 2 items
C92 2 items
D3 2 items
D30 2 items
D44 2 items
D49 2 items
D50 2 items
D78 2 items
E1 2 items
E10 2 items
F00 2 items
F02 2 items
F12 2 items
F16 2 items
F23 2 items
F59 2 items
F63 2 items
G29 2 items
G3 2 items
H12 2 items
H26 2 items
H50 2 items
H57 2 items
H75 2 items
H8 2 items
I14 2 items
I20 2 items
I28 2 items
I38 2 items
J33 2 items
J42 2 items
J6 2 items
J7 2 items
L42 2 items
L81 2 items
M51 2 items
M55 2 items
N10 2 items
N20 2 items
N41 2 items
O16 2 items
O18 2 items
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O31 2 items
O32 2 items
O50 2 items
Q5 2 items
Q58 2 items
R13 2 items
R4 2 items
R50 2 items
R52 2 items
R58 2 items
A22 1 items
C00 1 items
C02 1 items
C19 1 items
C2 1 items
C3 1 items
C36 1 items
C46 1 items
C54 1 items
C57 1 items
C65 1 items
C67 1 items
C72 1 items
C78 1 items
C8 1 items
D11 1 items
D23 1 items
D33 1 items
D4 1 items
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D64 1 items
D79 1 items
D90 1 items
D92 1 items
E0 1 items
E14 1 items
E59 1 items
E69 1 items
F3 1 items
F32 1 items
F37 1 items
F38 1 items
F40 1 items
F45 1 items
F47 1 items
F55 1 items
F6 1 items
F64 1 items
G0 1 items
H00 1 items
H10 1 items
H11 1 items
H19 1 items
H30 1 items
H39 1 items
H4 1 items
H5 1 items
H51 1 items
H56 1 items
H6 1 items
H62 1 items
H7 1 items
H73 1 items
H74 1 items
H80 1 items
H83 1 items
H84 1 items
I00 1 items
I11 1 items
I25 1 items
I3 1 items
J01 1 items
J1 1 items
J12 1 items
J18 1 items
J28 1 items
J38 1 items
J50 1 items
J51 1 items
J68 1 items
K20 1 items
K38 1 items
K40 1 items
L15 1 items
L31 1 items
L4 1 items
L5 1 items
L8 1 items
L91 1 items
L92 1 items
M10 1 items
M37 1 items
M40 1 items
N11 1 items
N13 1 items
N3 1 items
N32 1 items
N40 1 items
N70 1 items
N72 1 items
O0 1 items
O11 1 items
O12 1 items
O13 1 items
O25 1 items
O38 1 items
O41 1 items
O55 1 items
Q33 1 items
Q43 1 items
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R00 1 items
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R2 1 items
R32 1 items
R41 1 items
R5 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 247 items
Econometric models 113 items
Interest rates 98 items
Inflation (Finance) 82 items
Business cycles 63 items
Risk 62 items
Forecasting 53 items
Prices 48 items
Financial stability 47 items
Bank loans 43 items
Unemployment 41 items
Inflation 39 items
Wages 38 items
Productivity 37 items
Bank capital 37 items
Stock - Prices 36 items
Liquidity 36 items
Consumption (Economics) 35 items
Consumer credit 33 items
Consumer behavior 32 items
Risk management 32 items
Taxation 32 items
Federal Reserve 31 items
Labor market 30 items
Phillips curve 30 items
Banks and banking 29 items
Mortgages 29 items
Uncertainty 29 items
Credit 28 items
Investments 27 items
Stock market 27 items
Bank lending 27 items
Employment 26 items
COVID-19 26 items
Financial crisis 26 items
Bank mergers 25 items
Economic forecasting 24 items
Effective lower bound 24 items
Labor supply 23 items
Debt 22 items
Mortgage loans 22 items
time series analysis 22 items
Financial crises 22 items
Inequality 21 items
Macroeconomics 21 items
Saving and investment 21 items
Stocks 21 items
Employment (Economic theory) 20 items
Financial institutions 20 items
Small business 20 items
Wealth 20 items
Zero lower bound 20 items
Fiscal policy 19 items
Income 18 items
Forward guidance 18 items
Systemic risk 18 items
Banks 17 items
Household finance 17 items
Liquidity (Economics) 17 items
Technology 17 items
Great Recession 17 items
Banking 16 items
Banking market 16 items
Econometrics 16 items
Housing - Prices 16 items
Bank deposits 15 items
Government securities 15 items
Labor productivity 15 items
Surveys 15 items
Asset pricing 14 items
Bankruptcy 14 items
Corporations - Finance 14 items
Discrimination 14 items
Financial markets 14 items
Heterogeneous agents 14 items
Human capital 14 items
Regulation 14 items
Volatility 14 items
Great inflation 14 items
Unconventional monetary policy 14 items
Aggregate risk 13 items
Capital 13 items
Commercial real estate 13 items
Credit cards 13 items
Credit supply 13 items
Derivative securities 13 items
Housing boom 13 items
Incomplete information 13 items
Money supply 13 items
Mortgages and credit 13 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 13 items
Natural Language Processing 13 items
Asymmetric loss function 12 items
Bonds 12 items
Climate change 12 items
Collateral 12 items
Consumption 12 items
Pensions 12 items
Symmetric loss function 12 items
Asset-backed financing 11 items
Capital market 11 items
Corporate bonds 11 items
Discretion 11 items
Federal funds market (United States) 11 items
Monetary policy implementation 11 items
Payment systems 11 items
Securities 11 items
Social security 11 items
Unemployment insurance 11 items
capital asset pricing model 11 items
Basel III 10 items
Economics 10 items
Federal funds rate 10 items
Households - Economic aspects 10 items
Repo 10 items
Savings and loan associations 10 items
Stablecoins 10 items
Volcker 10 items
Machine learning 10 items
Automobile industry and trade 9 items
Bank failures 9 items
Bank reserves 9 items
Bank supervision 9 items
Banking structure 9 items
Capital investments 9 items
Central bank digital currency 9 items
Competition 9 items
Discount window 9 items
Futures 9 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 9 items
Industrial productivity 9 items
Inflation expectations 9 items
Investment 9 items
Learning 9 items
Medicare 9 items
Mortgage lending 9 items
Mutual funds 9 items
Retirement 9 items
Stock returns 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
Welfare 9 items
Financial regulation 9 items
Inflation targeting 9 items
Bank disintermediation 8 items
Bank profits 8 items
Central bank balance sheet 8 items
Central counterparties 8 items
Covenants 8 items
Debt Contract Enforcement 8 items
Deposit insurance 8 items
Entrepreneurship 8 items
Expectations 8 items
Funding for lending 8 items
Gross domestic product 8 items
Hedge funds 8 items
Industrial capacity 8 items
Information technology 8 items
Macroprudential policy 8 items
Monetary policy tools 8 items
Money 8 items
OPEC Announcements 8 items
Poverty 8 items
Private Equity Funds 8 items
Rate of return 8 items
Real-time data 8 items
Search and matching 8 items
Structural Topic Models 8 items
Swaps (Finance) 8 items
Traders’ Positions 8 items
Dynamic factor model 8 items
Financial Frictions 8 items
Amenities 7 items
Ancillary products 7 items
Bank competition 7 items
Bayesian estimation 7 items
Branch banks 7 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 7 items
Construction 7 items
Cost of living adjustments 7 items
Debt cancellation agreements 7 items
Discrimination in consumer credit 7 items
Economic indicators 7 items
Education 7 items
FOMC 7 items
Federal Open Market Committee 7 items
Financial services industry 7 items
GAP 7 items
GAP insurance 7 items
GAP waiver 7 items
Homeownership 7 items
Inflation dynamics 7 items
Japan 7 items
Job quality 7 items
Manufactures 7 items
Menu costs 7 items
Mobility 7 items
Monetary policy - United States 7 items
Money market 7 items
Monopolistic competition 7 items
Mortgage 7 items
Pandemic 7 items
Real property 7 items
Rules 7 items
Runs 7 items
Stress tests 7 items
Student loans 7 items
Vehicle financing 7 items
Well-being 7 items
Capital requirements 7 items
DSGE models 7 items
Auctions 6 items
Bank management 6 items
Bank risk 6 items
Bayesian methods 6 items
Bunching 6 items
Business enterprises 6 items
Capacity 6 items
Central banking 6 items
Computers 6 items
Corporate profits 6 items
Countercyclical policy 6 items
Credit risk 6 items
Economic development 6 items
Expenditures, Public 6 items
Fair lending 6 items
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve System 6 items
Federal funds market 6 items
Financial risk management 6 items
Financial stability and risk 6 items
Firm dynamics 6 items
Generations 6 items
Growth 6 items
Insurance 6 items
Inventories 6 items
Labor force participation 6 items
Labor supply and demand 6 items
Leverage 6 items
Manufacturing 6 items
Margins (Security trading) 6 items
Market liquidity 6 items
Millennials 6 items
Minimum wage 6 items
Mortgage-backed securities 6 items
Over-the-counter markets 6 items
Payment system 6 items
Price discovery 6 items
Production 6 items
Property tax 6 items
Recessions 6 items
Refinancing 6 items
Research and development 6 items
Resilience 6 items
Securitization 6 items
Statistics 6 items
Sufficient statistics 6 items
Supply network 6 items
Time to plan 6 items
Treasury bills 6 items
401(k) plans 5 items
Administrative data 5 items
Arbitrage 5 items
Asset purchases 5 items
Asymmetric information 5 items
Automated tellers 5 items
Banks and banking - Costs 5 items
Banks and banking, Central 5 items
Big data 5 items
Broker-dealers 5 items
Business cycle 5 items
CBDC 5 items
Cash out refinancing 5 items
Central bank liabilities 5 items
Climate risk 5 items
Corporations 5 items
Data quality 5 items
DeFi 5 items
Dealers 5 items
Default 5 items
Disclosure 5 items
Electronic funds transfers 5 items
Equity extraction 5 items
Equity premium 5 items
Financial leverage 5 items
Financial stress index 5 items
Forbearance 5 items
Foreign exchange rates 5 items
Full income 5 items
Higher education 5 items
Housing 5 items
Housing supply 5 items
Income distribution 5 items
Industries 5 items
International finance 5 items
Labor mobility 5 items
Local projections 5 items
Monetary policy transmission 5 items
Monetary theory 5 items
Open market operations 5 items
Optimal policy 5 items
Portfolio choice 5 items
Production (Economic theory) 5 items
Retirement income 5 items
Rules and discretion 5 items
Search 5 items
Small open economies 5 items
Stocks - Rate of return 5 items
small business finance 5 items
Access to Credit 4 items
Asset prices 4 items
Auto loans 4 items
Automated underwriting 4 items
Bank deregulation 4 items
Bank regulation 4 items
Bank runs 4 items
Banking system 4 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 4 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 4 items