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Working Paper
The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions
Zakrajšek, Egon; Natalucci, Fabio M.; Levin, Andrew T.
(2004)
We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2004-70
Working Paper
Household, Bank, and Insurer Exposure to Miami Hurricanes: a flow-of-risk analysis
Dennis, Benjamin
(2023-02-13)
We analyze possible future financial losses in the event of hurricane damage to Miami residential real estate, where the hurricane's destructiveness reflects climate-change. We focus on three scenarios: (i) a business-as-usual scenario, (ii) a Hurricane-Ian-spillovers scenario, and (iii) a cautious-markets scenario. We quantify bank exposures and loss rates, where exposures are proportional to the size of real estate markets and loss rates depend on post-hurricane devaluations and insurance coverage. This quantitative methodology could complement modeling of local economy impacts, stress ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2023-013
Discussion Paper
An Overview of Credit-Building Products
Bruce, Alexander; Hannon, Simona
(2024-12-06)
Credit-building products are secured small-dollar products that allow consumers to either establish or improve their credit scores by having lenders report their payment activity to credit bureaus. Examples include secured credit cards or loan products such as credit-builder and passbook loans.
FEDS Notes
, Paper 2024-12-06-2
Working Paper
Exact utilities under alternative monetary rules in a simple macro model with optimizing agents
Kim, Jinill; Henderson, Dale W.
(1999)
We construct an optimizing-agent model of a closed economy which is simple enough that we can use it to make exact utility calculations. There is a stabilization problem because there are one-period nominal contracts for wages, or prices, or both and shocks that are unknown at the time when contracts are signed. We evaluate alternative monetary policy rules using the utility function of the representative agent. Fully optimal policy can attain the Pareto-optimal equilibrium. Fully optimal policy is contrasted with both 'naive' and 'sophisticated' simple rules that involve, respectively, ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 635
Working Paper
Interpreting long-horizon estimates in predictive regressions
Hjalmarsson, Erik
(2008)
This paper analyzes the asymptotic properties of long-horizon estimators under both the null hypothesis and an alternative of predictability. Asymptotically, under the null of no predictability, the long-run estimator is an increasing deterministic function of the short-run estimate and the forecasting horizon. Under the alternative of predictability, the conditional distribution of the long-run estimator, given the short-run estimate, is no longer degenerate and the expected pattern of coefficient estimates across horizons differs from that under the null. Importantly, however, under the ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 928
Working Paper
How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?
Ericsson, Neil R.
(2017-01-06)
Government debt and forecasts thereof attracted considerable attention during the recent financial crisis. The current paper analyzes potential biases in different U.S. government agencies? one-year-ahead forecasts of U.S. gross federal debt over 1984-2012. Standard tests typically fail to detect biases in these forecasts. However, impulse indicator saturation (IIS) detects economically large and highly significant time-varying biases, particularly at turning points in the business cycle. These biases do not appear to be politically related. IIS defines a generic procedure for examining ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1189
Working Paper
Friends or foes? The stock price impact of sovereign wealth fund investments and the price of keeping secrets
Lel, Ugur; Kotter, Jason
(2008)
This paper examines the stock price impact of 163 announcements of Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) investments. We document an average positive risk-adjusted return of 2.1 percent for target firms during two days surrounding SWF acquisition announcements. The announcement effect is both statistically and economically significant. A multivariate analysis shows that the degree of transparency of SWF activities is an important determinant of the market reaction, and both the SWF and the existing shareholders of the target firm benefit from improved SWF disclosure. In addition, target firms' ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 940
Conference Paper
Remarks on evolving payment system issues
Greenspan, Alan
(1996)
Proceedings
Journal Article
Errata pages 512 and 515 of the July 1991 Bulletin - recent developments affecting the profitability and practices of commercial banks
anonymous
(1991-09)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Sep
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 479 items
Econometric models 256 items
Inflation (Finance) 204 items
Bank loans 184 items
Interest rates 183 items
Monetary policy - United States 165 items
economic conditions - United States 151 items
Consumer behavior 134 items
International trade 133 items
Prices 133 items
Consumer credit 129 items
Banks and banking 125 items
Mortgages 125 items
Foreign exchange rates 124 items
Risk management 122 items
Greenspan, Alan 119 items
Business cycles 113 items
Risk 109 items
International finance 105 items
Credit 104 items
Bank supervision 103 items
Payment systems 103 items
Financial markets 102 items
Forecasting 94 items
Federal Open Market Committee 92 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 87 items
Bank capital 85 items
Financial crises 85 items
Fiscal policy 82 items
Productivity 81 items
Bank reserves 79 items
Consumption (Economics) 78 items
Bank deposits 73 items
Bank profits 73 items
Government securities 68 items
Inflation 68 items
Money supply 68 items
Labor market 67 items
Financial stability 65 items
Wages 63 items
Over-the-counter markets 62 items
Saving and investment 62 items
Consumer surveys 58 items
Balance of payments 57 items
Unemployment 57 items
Regulation Z: Truth in Lending 56 items
Economic forecasting 55 items
Electronic funds transfers 54 items
Money 54 items
Stock - Prices 53 items
Federal Reserve System 52 items
Federal funds rate 52 items
Stock market 52 items
Mortgage loans 51 items
Corporations - Finance 50 items
Macroeconomics 50 items
Uncertainty 50 items
Capital investments 49 items
Housing - Prices 49 items
Taxation 49 items
Exports 48 items
Liquidity (Economics) 48 items
Capital market 47 items
Financial institutions 47 items
Investments 46 items
Japan 46 items
Banking law 45 items
Industrial productivity 45 items
Labor supply 45 items
Employment 44 items
Bank mergers 43 items
Business conditions 42 items
Laware, John Patrick 42 items
Small business 42 items
Banks and banking - Accounting 41 items
Banking market 40 items
Financial services industry 40 items
Regulation Y: Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control 40 items
Bank holding companies 39 items
Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 39 items
Income 39 items
Derivative securities 38 items
Federal Reserve 38 items
Home Mortgage Disclosure Act 38 items
Housing - Finance 38 items
Securities 38 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 37 items
Capital movements 37 items
Consumer protection 37 items
Econometrics 37 items
Federal Reserve banks - Service charges 37 items
Phillips curve 37 items
Credit cards 36 items
Dollar, American 36 items
Imports 36 items
Capital 35 items
Debt 35 items
time series analysis 35 items
Banking structure 34 items
Consumer Advisory Council 34 items
Economic conditions 34 items
Liquidity 34 items
Developing countries 33 items
Clearinghouses (Banking) 32 items
Economic development 32 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 32 items
Employment (Economic theory) 31 items
Globalization 31 items
Housing 31 items
Industrial capacity 31 items
Basel capital accord 30 items
Discount 30 items
Regulation B: Equal Credit Opportunity 30 items
Regulation CC: Availability of Funds and Collection of Checks 30 items
Inequality 29 items
Asset pricing 28 items
Banks 28 items
Banks and banking, International 28 items
Budget 28 items
Deposit insurance 28 items
Monetary Policy 28 items
Economics 27 items
Federal Reserve banks - Profits 27 items
Investments, Foreign 27 items
Regulation E: Electronic Fund Transfers 27 items
War finance 27 items
Wealth 27 items
Federal Reserve banks - Costs 26 items
Technology 26 items
Expenditures, Public 25 items
Real property 25 items
Regulation D: Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions 25 items
Regulation T: Credit by Brokers and Dealers 25 items
Stocks 25 items
Systemic risk 25 items
COVID-19 24 items
Mexico 24 items
Labor productivity 23 items
Social security 23 items
War - Economic aspects 23 items
Asset-backed financing 22 items
Bank failures 22 items
Germany 22 items
Volcker, Paul A. 22 items
Bank management 21 items
Banks and banking, Central 21 items
Bonds 21 items
Households - Economic aspects 21 items
Human capital 21 items
Regulation C: Home Mortgage Disclosure 21 items
Regulation H: Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System 21 items
Volatility 21 items
Banking 20 items
Hedge funds 20 items
International economic relations 20 items
Open market operations 20 items
Bank lending 19 items
Discount window 19 items
Education 19 items
Effective lower bound 19 items
Foreclosure 19 items
Investment 19 items
Regulation 19 items
Savings and loan associations 19 items
Angell, Wayne D. 18 items
Bank competition 18 items
Brokers 18 items
Budget deficits 18 items
Education - Economic aspects 18 items
Money market 18 items
Truth in Lending Act 18 items
Agricultural credit 17 items
Bankruptcy 17 items
Competition 17 items
Federal Reserve banks - Directors 17 items
Federal funds market (United States) 17 items
Foreign exchange 17 items
Futures 17 items
Household finance 17 items
Regulation G: Disclosure and Reporting of CRA-Related Agreements 17 items
Thrift Institutions Advisory Council 17 items
Check collection systems 16 items
Emerging markets 16 items
Federal Reserve District, 2nd 16 items
Federal Reserve banks 16 items
Forward guidance 16 items
Heterogeneous agents 16 items
Johnson, Manuel H. 16 items
Trade 16 items
Zero lower bound 16 items
Agriculture - Economic aspects 15 items
Balance of trade 15 items
Bank assets 15 items
Bayesian estimation 15 items
Checks 15 items
Climate change 15 items
Community banks 15 items
Consumption 15 items
Corporate bonds 15 items
Economic policy 15 items
Financial crisis 15 items
Gold reserves 15 items
Great Britain 15 items
Interstate banking 15 items
Learning 15 items
Mullins, David W. 15 items
Mutual funds 15 items
Pensions 15 items
Regulation X: Borrowers of Securities Credit 15 items
Retail trade 15 items
Retirement 15 items
Subprime mortgage 15 items
Surveys 15 items
Aggregate risk 14 items
Branch banks 14 items
Collateral 14 items
Commercial real estate 14 items
Computers 14 items
Discrimination 14 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 14 items
Financial literacy 14 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 14 items
Great Recession 14 items
Housing boom 14 items
Incomplete information 14 items
Inflation expectations 14 items
Inventories 14 items
Lindsey, Lawrence 14 items
Manufactures 14 items
Monetary theory 14 items
Mortgages and credit 14 items
Recessions 14 items
Regulation DD: Truth in Savings 14 items
Statistics 14 items
Unconventional monetary policy 14 items
Welfare 14 items
Year 2000 date conversion (Computer systems) 14 items
Banks and banking, Foreign - United States 13 items
Community development 13 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 13 items
Credit supply 13 items
Flow of funds 13 items
Income distribution 13 items
Industrial production index 13 items
Insurance 13 items
Kelley, Edward Watson 13 items
Margins (Security trading) 13 items
Medicare 13 items
Production (Economic theory) 13 items
Seger, Martha Romayne 13 items
Unemployment insurance 13 items
Asymmetric loss function 12 items
Bank Lending 12 items
Banks and banking, American 12 items
China 12 items
Commercial loans 12 items
Debts, External 12 items
Discretion 12 items
Discrimination in consumer credit 12 items
Federal Reserve District, 1st 12 items
Financial Frictions 12 items
Financial crises - Asia 12 items
Financial leverage 12 items
GDP growth 12 items
Industries 12 items
Information technology 12 items
Monetary policy implementation 12 items
Regulation K: International Banking Operations 12 items
Securitization 12 items
Swaps (Finance) 12 items
Symmetric loss function 12 items
small business finance 12 items
Agricultural industries - Finance 11 items
Automated tellers 11 items
Automobile industry and trade 11 items
Bank of Credit and Commerce International 11 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) - Members 11 items
Climate-related risk 11 items
Cointegration 11 items
Economics - Study and teaching 11 items
Federal Reserve District, 11th 11 items
Federal Reserve District, 12th 11 items
Federal Reserve District, 7th 11 items
Gross domestic product 11 items
Home equity loans 11 items
Inflation targeting 11 items
Macroprudential policy 11 items
Nomination 11 items
Overdrafts 11 items
Sovereign default 11 items
Stablecoins 11 items
Stock returns 11 items
Stocks - Rate of return 11 items
Trade war 11 items
Vector autoregression 11 items
bond markets 11 items
capital asset pricing model 11 items
Basel III 10 items
Business Cycles 10 items
Business enterprises 10 items
Canada 10 items
Corporate governance 10 items
Defense industries 10 items
Entrepreneurship 10 items
FOMC 10 items
Federal Reserve District, 5th 10 items
Federal Reserve District, 9th 10 items
Global value chains 10 items
Great inflation 10 items
Gross national product 10 items
Homeownership 10 items
Money laundering 10 items
Mortgage-backed securities 10 items
Rare disasters 10 items
Real-time data 10 items
Repo 10 items
Volcker 10 items
liquidity 10 items
monetary policy 10 items
state finances 10 items
Agricultural productivity 9 items
Arbitrage 9 items
Bank Secrecy Act 9 items
Central bank digital currency 9 items
Central counterparties 9 items
Coinage 9 items
Commercial paper issues 9 items
Corporate profits 9 items
Covenants 9 items
Debts, Public 9 items
Economic indicators 9 items
Economic stabilization 9 items
Expectations 9 items
Expedited Funds Availability Act of 1987 9 items
Federal Reserve District, 10th 9 items
Federal Reserve District, 3rd 9 items
Federal Reserve District, 4th 9 items
Federal Reserve District, 6th 9 items
Federal Reserve District, 8th 9 items
Fedwire 9 items
Finance 9 items
Finance, Personal 9 items
Financial services industry - Law and legislation 9 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 9 items
Gold 9 items
Government debt 9 items
Growth 9 items
Inflation dynamics 9 items
Loans, Foreign 9 items
Local government 9 items
Machine learning 9 items
Mortgage lending 9 items
Natural Language Processing 9 items
Portfolio choice 9 items
Portfolio management 9 items
Rate of return 9 items
Spillovers 9 items
Stress tests 9 items
Trade finance 9 items
Treasury bills 9 items
bank examinations 9 items
financial crisis 9 items
non-bank activities 9 items
zero lower bound 9 items
Agricultural prices 8 items
Asymmetric information 8 items
Bank disintermediation 8 items
Bank investments 8 items
Central bank balance sheet 8 items
Construction 8 items
Consumers 8 items
Corporations 8 items
Debt Contract Enforcement 8 items
European Economic Community 8 items
European Monetary System (Organization) 8 items
Financial risk management 8 items
Firm dynamics 8 items
Funding for lending 8 items
Institutional investors 8 items
Interest 8 items
Manufacturing 8 items
Manufacturing industries 8 items
Market liquidity 8 items
Misallocation 8 items
Mobility 8 items
Monetary policy - Japan 8 items
Monetary policy tools 8 items
Monetary policy transmission 8 items
Money theory 8 items
Natural hazards and disasters 8 items
OPEC Announcements 8 items
Poverty 8 items
Private Equity Funds 8 items
Regulation A: Extensions of Credit by Federal Reserve Banks 8 items
Regulation M: Consumer Leasing 8 items
Search and matching 8 items
Structural Topic Models 8 items
Trade uncertainty 8 items
Traders’ Positions 8 items
Vulnerability to climate impacts 8 items
options 8 items
Amenities 7 items
Ancillary products 7 items
Auctions 7 items
Bank risk 7 items
Banks and banking - Costs 7 items
Central banking 7 items
Consumer goods 7 items
Cost of living adjustments 7 items
Covid-19 7 items
Credit ratings 7 items
Credit risk 7 items
Debt cancellation agreements 7 items
Default 7 items
Demand for money 7 items
Dynamic factor model 7 items
Economic history 7 items
Euro area 7 items
Exchange rates 7 items
Federal government 7 items
Ferguson, Roger W. 7 items
Financial Stability 7 items
Financial intermediation 7 items
GAP 7 items
GAP insurance 7 items
GAP waiver 7 items
Global financial crisis 7 items
Great Depression 7 items
Hedging (Finance) 7 items
Heller, H. Robert 7 items
House prices 7 items
Housing supply 7 items
International Spillovers 7 items
International Trade 7 items
Job quality 7 items
Kalman filter 7 items
Labor force participation 7 items
Menu costs 7 items
Monopolistic competition 7 items
Mortgage 7 items
Open Economy Macroeconomics 7 items
Pandemic 7 items
Panel Data Estimation 7 items
Payment system 7 items
Petroleum industry and trade 7 items
Quantitative easing 7 items
Research and development 7 items
Risk assessment 7 items
Rules 7 items
Runs 7 items
Student loans 7 items
Tail Risk 7 items
Time to plan 7 items
Transparency 7 items
Treasury market 7 items
Vehicle financing 7 items
Well-being 7 items
Administrative data 6 items
Asia 6 items
Asset prices 6 items
Asset purchases 6 items
Bank capital - Law and legislation 6 items
Bank fraud 6 items
Banks and banking - Japan 6 items
Bayesian methods 6 items
Bernanke, Ben S. 6 items
Bunching 6 items
Business cycle 6 items
Capacity 6 items
Construction industry 6 items
Consumer credit - Law and legislation 6 items
Corporations - Accounting 6 items
Countercyclical policy 6 items
DSGE models 6 items
Debit cards 6 items
Disclosure of information 6 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 6 items
Dividends 6 items
Dollar 6 items
Economic forecasting - United States 6 items
Effective Lower Bound 6 items
Equity premium 6 items
Fair lending 6 items
Federal Reserve Act 6 items
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve System 6 items
Federal funds 6 items
Federal funds market 6 items
Finance, Public 6 items
Financial Crises 6 items
Financial Crisis 6 items
Financial crises - Mexico 6 items
Financial frictions 6 items
Financial stability and risk 6 items
Generations 6 items
Government lending 6 items
Great recession 6 items
Group of Seven countries 6 items
Heterogeneity 6 items
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