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Journal Article
How do benefit adjustments for government transfer programs compare with their participants' inflation experiences?
Paulson, Anna L.; McGranahan, Leslie (2011-10)
The authors measure the inflation experienced by demographic groups that likely received benefits from major government transfer programs during the period 1980?2010. They then compare the group-specific inflation measures with the transfer programs? benefit adjustments, which are typically based on aggregate inflation. The extent to which the program benefits keep up with group inflation differs across the programs and their targeted groups, depending on both the ways in which the benefits are adjusted for price changes and the spending patterns of the various groups.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 35 , Issue Q IV

Newsletter
Economic Outlook Symposium: summary of 2004 results and forecasts for 2005
Engel, Emily; Strauss, William A. (2005-02)
The forecasters expect more moderate economic growth during 2005, with some reduction in activity in the housing sector and a slower pace of consumer spending growth than in the past several years.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Feb

Conference Paper
What we have learned from the recent crises: implications for banking regulation
Stiglitz, Joseph E. (1999)
Proceedings , Paper 632

Comparing the Uses of Local Fiscal Recovery Funds in the Seventh District’s Large Cities and Their Counties
LaGuardia, Emma; Mattoon, Richard H. (2024-07)
In response to the economic impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic, the U.S. federal government enacted the landmark American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA). A key component of the act was providing $350 billion in funding to state and local governments through the Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds (SLFRF) program. This program was designed to allow state and local governments to use the money in a fairly flexible manner to reflect how the pandemic had affected their areas’ economies. The only significant restriction was prohibiting these governments from using the funds allocated by the ...
Chicago Fed Insights

Journal Article
An alternative measure of inflation
Velde, Francois R. (2006-01)
The author proposes an alternative measure of inflation that captures the intuition behind the use of "core" measures. Inflation is modeled as an unobserved factor affecting the components of an aggregate price index (including food and energy). The common component, estimated using Kalman filtering, resembles usual measures of core inflation; its extrapolation can be used to improve performance in forecasting core inflation.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 30 , Issue Q I

Journal Article
The geographic distribution of financial institutions in Chicago
Kaufman, George G.; Mote, Larry R. (1994-01)
Economic Perspectives , Volume 18 , Issue Jan , Pages 10-27

Journal Article
Professional employer organizations: What are they, who uses them, and why should we care?
Ono, Yukako; Lombardi, Britton (2008-10)
Using both public and confidential data, the authors summarize how the intensity of use of professional employer organization (PEO) services varies across industries and geographical areas. Their analyses using microdata of manufacturing establishments suggest that the use of PEO services depends on the size of the establishment and of its parent firm. The use of PEO services is greater for newly constructed establishments, as well as for establishments with a potentially high injury and illness rate. Greater diversification across industries and geographical areas of a parent firm may also ...
Economic Perspectives , Volume 32 , Issue Q IV

Newsletter
How did unemployment insurance extensions affect the unemployment rate in 2008–10?
Mazumder, Bhashkar (2011-04)
During recessions, it is common for the federal government to extend the standard unemployment insurance (UI) program. Many economic studies have shown that workers who receive UI extensions tend to take longer to find new employment, leading to a somewhat longer average duration of unemployment among all workers.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Apr

Conference Paper
A theory of optimal forbearance
Sealey, C. W.; Eisenbeis, Robert A.; Nagarajan, S. (1993)
Proceedings , Paper 422

Conference Paper
Conditional risk and return in bank holding company stocks: a factor- GARCH approach
Neuberger, Jonathan A. (1994)
Proceedings , Paper 56

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