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Journal Article
Real output and unit labor costs as predictors of inflation
Mehra, Yash P. (1990-07)
Granger-causality tests used here find that: [1] unit labor costs add no predictive power to inflation forecasts; and [2] the gap between actual and potential output does help predict inflation, but only in the short run.
Economic Review , Volume 76 , Issue Jul , Pages 31-39

Journal Article
Equalizing regional differences in wages : a study of wages and migration in the South and other regions
Cullison, William E. (1984-05)
Is the South rebelling againthis time against one of the tenets of economic theory? Neoclassical economic theory predicts that wage differentials between regions will disappear with time as workers move from low-wage areas to high-wage areas. However, in the seventies people tended to migrate southward, even though the South is usually thought to be a low-wage region. In his essay. Equalizing Regional Differences in Wages: A Study of Wages and Migration in the South and Other Regions, William E. Cullison offers a simple resolution to this paradox. By adjusting for the cost of living and by ...
Economic Review , Volume 70 , Issue May , Pages 20-33

Report
An Approach to Predicting Regional Labor Market Effects of Economic Shocks: The COVID-19 Pandemic in New England
Jackson, Osborne (2020-06-29)
The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic led state and local governments throughout New England and much of the nation to issue ordinances restricting activity that might otherwise contribute to the spread of the disease. Individuals also freely adjusted their behavior, hoping to reduce the chances of infecting themselves or others. As a result, many employers have experienced substantial reductions in sales revenue, which were expected to generate harmful effects on the labor market. Even though the reversal of mandated policies and voluntary behavior changes are well under way, the initial ...
Current Policy Perspectives

Discussion Paper
Some Places are Much More Unequal than Others
Abel, Jaison R.; Deitz, Richard (2019-10-07)
Economic inequality in the United States is much more pronounced in some parts of the country than others. In this post, we examine the geography of wage inequality, drawing on our recent Economic Policy Review article. We find that the most unequal places tend to be large urban areas with strong economies where wage growth has been particularly strong for those at the top of the wage distribution. The least unequal places, on the other hand, tend to have relatively sluggish economies that deliver slower wage growth for high, middle, and lower wage earners alike. Many of the least unequal ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20191007

Journal Article
Wage rigidity in West Germany: a comparison with the U.S. experience
Bell, Linda A. (1986-10)
Quarterly Review , Volume 11 , Issue Aut , Pages 11-21

Journal Article
The effect of imports on U.S. manufacturing wages
Brauer, David A. (1991-04)
U.S. imports of manufactured goods increased rapidly between 1975 and 1985. During the same period, real wages of U.S. manufacturing workers stagnated. The author investigates whether the increased competition from imports affected earnings within industries and contributed to the sluggish growth of aggregate manufacturing wages.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Spr

Journal Article
Recent real income and wage trends in the United States
Kroch, Eugene (1991-07)
Some analysts have argued that broad measures of income growth for the 1980s misrepresented how well the typical worker or household fared during this period. This article examines trends in labor force participation and compensation to explain why real wages have not kept up with aggregate measures of real income.
Quarterly Review , Volume 16 , Issue Sum

Journal Article
Union concessions in the 1980s
Bell, Linda A. (1989-07)
Quarterly Review , Volume 14 , Issue Sum

Report
American employer salary surveys and labor economics research: issues and contributions
Groshen, Erica L. (1996)
This paper reviews the uses of U.S. employer salary surveys for labor market research. Recent computational, theoretical, and econometric advances render these surveys ripe for exploitation. It summarize theories of employer wage effects and then describe salary surveys and their preparation for analysis. Then, the surveys and the methodological issues they raise are contrasted with household data. Finally, the paper summarizes the techniques used and contributions made in some salary survey-based studies.
Research Paper , Paper 9604

Report
Is there an inflation puzzle?
Lown, Cara S.; Rich, Robert W. (1997)
This paper investigates the issue of an "inflation puzzle", or the lack of an acceleration in inflation during the current expansion. Our findings indicate that while inflation has appeared to be unusually low, we can account for this feature of the data over most of the current expansion. In particular, the results support the view that the weak increase in compensation growth during the period 1992-94 was a major contributor to the low level of inflation observed through late 1995. ; More recently, however, there is evidence of an anomaly in the behavior of inflation. The out-of-sample ...
Research Paper , Paper 9723

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