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Speech
'Normal' monetary policy in words and deeds: remarks at Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, New York City
Williams, John C.
(2018-09-28)
Remarks at Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, New York City.
Speech
, Paper 292
Working Paper
Inferring the Shadow Rate from Real Activity
Garcia, Benjamin; Skaperdas, Arsenios
(2017)
We estimate a shadow rate consistent with the paths of time series capturing real activity. This allows us to quantify the real effects of unconventional monetary policy in terms of equivalent short-term interest rate movements. We find that large-scale asset purchases and forward guidance had significant real effects equivalent of up to a four percent reduction in the federal funds rate.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2017-106
Report
Unconventional Monetary Policies and Inequality
Lee, Donggyu
(2024-07-01)
This paper examines the effects of unconventional monetary policies on household welfare across the wealth distribution following the Great Recession. Using a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model, estimated with Bayesian methods, I analyze how forward guidance and quantitative easing affected inequality during this period. The findings show that while these policies boosted economic activity and benefited all households, they had non-linear distributional effects. Unconventional monetary policies reduced inequality within the bottom 90 percent by lowering unemployment but widened the ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 1108
Speech
The global implications of diverging monetary policy settings in advanced economies
Dudley, William
(2015-05-12)
Panel Remarks at the Sixth High Level Conference on the International Monetary System: Monetary Policy Challenges in a Changing World, Zurich, Switzerland.
Speech
, Paper 169
Working Paper
The (Unintended?) Consequences of the Largest Liquidity Injection Ever
Crosignani, Matteo; Fonseca, Luis; Faria-e-Castro, Miguel
(2017-01)
We study the design of lender of last resort interventions and show that the provision of long-term liquidity incentivizes purchases of high-yield short-term securities by banks. Using a unique security-level data set, we find that the European Central Bank?s three-year Long-Term Refinancing Operation incentivized Portuguese banks to purchase short-term domestic government bonds that could be pledged to obtain central bank liquidity. This "collateral trade" effect is large, as banks purchased short-term bonds equivalent to 8.4% of amount outstanding. The resumption of public debt issuance ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2017-011
Working Paper
Term structures of inflation expectations and real interest rates
Aruoba, S. Boragan
(2016-03-14)
Revised September 2016. In this paper, I use a statistical model to combine various surveys to produce a term structure of inflation expectations--inflation expectations at any horizon--and an associated term structure of real interest rates. Inflation expectations extracted from this model track realized inflation quite well, and in terms of forecast accuracy, they are at par with or superior to some popular alternatives. Looking at the period 2008.2015, I conclude that long-run inflation expectations remained anchored, and the policies of the Federal Reserve provided a large level of ...
Working Papers
, Paper 16-9
Working Paper
Monetary Policy Interactions: The Policy Rate, Asset Purchases and Optimal Policy with an Interest Rate Peg
Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel; Mau, Ron; Rawls, Jonathan
(2024-11-09)
We study monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with a variable credit spread and scope for central bank asset purchases to matter. A novel financial and labor market interaction generates an endogenous cost-push channel in the Phillips curve and a credit wedge in the IS curve. These channels arise due to a liquidity premium to long-term debt present in our model. The “divine coincidence” holds with the nominal short rate and central bank balance sheet available as policy tools—dual-instrument policy. Targeting the liquidity premium using balance sheet policy provides a determinate ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2412
Working Paper
A Theory of Safe Asset Creation, Systemic Risk, and Aggregate Demand
Altinoglu, Levent
(2023-09-22)
This paper presents a theory of safe asset creation and the interactions between systemic risk and aggregate demand. The creation of private safe assets by financial intermediaries requires them to take leverage, which generates a risk of future crisis (systemic risk) in which intermediaries liquidate assets to service their debt. In contrast, the creation of public safe assets by the government does not generate systemic risk as the government's power to tax allows it to better absorb losses. The level of systemic risk determines the neutral rate of interest through households' precautionary ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2023-062
Working Paper
U.S. Unconventional Monetary Policy and Transmission to Emerging Market Economies
Bowman, David; Londono, Juan M.; Sapriza, Horacio
(2014-06-23)
We investigate the effects of U.S. unconventional monetary policies on sovereign yields, foreign exchange rates, and stock prices in emerging market economies (EMEs), and we analyze how these effects depend on country-specifc characteristics. We find that, although EME asset prices, mainly those of sovereign bonds, responded strongly to unconventional monetary policy announcements, these responses were not outsized with respect to a model that takes into account each country's time-varying vulnerability to U.S. interest rates affected by monetary policy shocks.
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1109
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