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Working Paper
Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation
Isaacson, Maggie; Rubinton, Hannah
(2022-08-30)
During the pandemic there have been unprecedented increases in the cost of shipping goods accompanied by delays and backlogs at the ports. At the same time, import price inflation has reached levels unseen since the early 1980s. This has led many to speculate that the two trends are linked. In this article, we use new data on the price of shipping goods between countries to analyze the extent to which increases in the price of shipping can account for the increase in U.S. import price inflation. We find that the pass-through of shipping costs is small. Nevertheless, because the rise in ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2022-017
Discussion Paper
What Happens to U.S. Activity and Inflation if China’s Property Sector Leads to a Crisis?
Akinci, Ozge; Clark, Hunter L.; Dawson, Jeffrey B.; Higgins, Matthew; Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia; Nourbash, Ethan; Nallamotu, Ramya
(2024-03-26)
A previous post explored the potential implications for U.S. growth and inflation of a manufacturing-led boom in China. This post considers spillovers to the U.S. from a downside scenario, one in which China’s ongoing property sector slump takes another leg down and precipitates an economic hard landing and financial crisis.
Liberty Street Economics
, Paper 20240326
Working Paper
Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation
Rubinton, Hannah; Isaacson, Maggie
(2022-08-30)
During the pandemic there have been unprecedented increases in the cost of shipping goods accompanied by delays and backlogs at the ports. At the same time, import price inflation has reached levels unseen since the early 1980s. This has led many to speculate that the two trends are linked. In this article, we use new data on the price of shipping goods between countries to analyze the extent to which increases in the price of shipping can account for the increase in U.S. import price inflation. We find that the pass-through of shipping costs is small. Nevertheless, because the rise in ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2022-017
Journal Article
Development bank funds border infrastructure to aid U.S.–Mexico trade
Orrenius, Pia M.
(2024-03-22)
Calixto Mateos, former managing director of the North American Development Bank, discusses his work at the NADBank and its role enhancing trade.
Southwest Economy
Mexican peso strength noteworthy among emerging markets during Fed tightening
Sagnanert, Pon; Cañas, Jesus; Torres, Luis
(2023-09-26)
Many emerging-market currencies have depreciated modestly during the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle that began in March 2022. The Mexican peso, however, outperformed the group during the period.
Dallas Fed Economics
Speech
U.S. Economic Outlook
Moskow, Michael H.
(2007-03-07)
Remarks by Michael H. Moskow President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Jewish United Fund Luncheon - The Standard Club - 320 S. Plymouth Ct. Chicago, IL. March 7, 2007.
Speech
, Paper 9
A Growing Trade Deficit? Medical Goods Imports Plays a Role
Santacreu, Ana Maria; Leibovici, Fernando
(2020-11-10)
Typically, the U.S. trade deficit narrows during a recession. However, the deficit actually widened by about 20% from January to June.
On the Economy
Russian ruble buckles under trade sanctions, declining export earnings
Davis, J. Scott; Patel, Kunal
(2023-10-10)
Russia’s currency is losing value, falling 40 percent against the U.S. dollar since December 2022. With measures targeting Russian exports likely to persist, the country’s balance of payments will remain under pressure, leading to continuing currency weakness.
Dallas Fed Economics
Journal Article
Strong peso, stubborn inflation cloud Mexico’s 2024 growth prospects
Cañas, Jesus; Torres, Luis; Morales-Burnett, Diego
(2024-05-24)
Mexican economic performance is likely to slow in 2024, with stubborn inflation, rising labor costs and a strong peso posing downside risks. Conversely, nearshoring and a larger-than-expected fiscal impact could bolster the Mexican outlook.
Southwest Economy
Journal Article
Technology Transfer and Regional Trade Agreements
Santacreu, Ana Maria; LaBelle, Jesse
(2021-09-20)
The growing importance of intellectual property rights in regional trade agreements has been associated with increased technology transfer.
Economic Synopses
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