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Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest

Why are interest rates so low in the Unites States? We find that they are low primarily because the premium for safety and liquidity has increased since the late 1990s, and to a lesser extent because economic growth has slowed. We reach this conclusion using two complementary perspectives: a flexible time-series model of trends in Treasury and corporate yields, inflation, and long-term survey expectations, and a medium-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We discuss the implications of this finding for the natural rate of interest.
Staff Reports , Paper 812

Speech
Remarks at the 2015 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum

Remarks at the 2015 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, New York City.
Speech , Paper 157

Speech
The U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy

Remarks at the Economic Club of New York, New York City.
Speech , Paper 185

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