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Speech
The Impact of the Pandemic on Cultural Capital in the Finance Industry
Stiroh, Kevin J. (2020-11-16)
Remarks at the Risk USA Conference (delivered via videoconference).
Speech

Journal Article
All the City Was Dying
Romero, Jessica Sackett (2017-04)
The Spanish flu pandemic of 1918-1919 was a major social and economic shock
Econ Focus , Issue 2Q , Pages 30-33

Speech
The Main Street Lending Program and Other Federal Reserve Actions
Rosengren, Eric S. (2020-05-20)
Today I’ll focus on two of the Federal Reserve’s lending programs being run by the Boston Fed: the Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility and the Main Street Lending Program.
Speech

Discussion Paper
Severe Supply Disruptions Are Impeding Business Activity in the Region
Abel, Jaison R.; Bram, Jason; Deitz, Richard; Lu, Jessica (2021-10-21)
As the economy continues to recover from the pandemic recession, many businesses are struggling to keep up with surging demand amid widespread supply shortages and delays. While a rare phenomenon before the pandemic, supply chain disruptions have become increasingly common, with transportation of goods becoming especially tricky due to myriad issues such as clogged ports and difficulty finding truck drivers. Indeed, such supply disruptions are expected to continue into next year. Our October regional business surveys asked firms to what extent, if any, they are being affected by supply ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20211021

Working Paper
Home Production and Leisure During the COVID-19 Recession
Leukhina, Oksana; Yu, Zhixiu (2020-08-10)
Between the months of February and April of 2020, average weekly market hours dropped by 6.25, meanwhile 35% of commuting workers reported switching to remote work arrangements. In this paper, we examine implications of these changes for the time allocation of different households, and on aggregate. We estimate that home production activity increased by 2.1 hours a week, or 34% of lost market hours, whereas leisure activity increased by 3.8 hours a week. The monthly value of home production increased by $30.83 billion – that is 10.5% of the concurrent $292.61 billion drop in monthly GDP. ...
Working Papers , Paper 2020-025

Speech
The COVID-19 Pandemic, the Economic Outlook, and the Main Street Lending Program
Rosengren, Eric S. (2020-08-12)
Unfortunately, the economic outlook is being driven by the course of the pandemic, and much depends on how successfully it can be contained, either through public health or medical innovations. The forecast for the U.S. economy this fall is quite uncertain, but President Rosengren's view is that the recent slowdown in economic activity that we have seen in high frequency data is likely to continue. Currently, we have an unemployment rate above 10 percent, and because of the continued community spread of the virus, he is concerned that the pandemic will limit the ability of the economy to ...
Speech

Speech
The Economic Outlook: Getting Back to "More Like Normal"
Williams, John C. (2021-02-25)
Remarks at One Hundred Black Men of New York (delivered via videoconference).
Speech

Journal Article
Labor Productivity in a Pandemic
Fernald, John G.; Li, Huiyu; Ochse, Mitchell (2021-08-16)
U.S. labor productivity has grown quickly during the pandemic compared with the past decade. However, this rapid pace is unlikely to be sustained. Similar to the Great Recession, the primary reasons for strong productivity growth now are cyclical effects that are likely to unwind as the economy continues to recover. For example, the number of workers has fallen, so capital per worker has risen—raising labor productivity in the short term. What effect the pandemic itself might have on productivity remains uncertain.
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2021 , Issue 22 , Pages 01-05

Speech
The Fed’s Emergency Facilities: Usage, Impact, and Early Lessons
http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/ (2020-07-08)
Remarks at Hudson Valley Pattern for Progress (delivered via videoconference).
Speech

Journal Article
News Sentiment in the Time of COVID-19
http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/; Shapiro, Adam Hale; Sudhof, Moritz; Wilson, Daniel J. (2020-04-06)
The COVID-19 pandemic is causing severe disruptions to daily life and economic activity. Reliable assessments of the economic fallout in this rapidly evolving situation require timely data. Existing sentiment indexes are useful indicators of current and future spending but are only available with a lag or have a short history. A new Daily News Sentiment Index provides a way to measure sentiment in real time from 1980 to today. Compared with survey-based measures of consumer sentiment, this index shows an earlier and more pronounced drop in sentiment in recent weeks.
FRBSF Economic Letter , Volume 2020 , Issue 08 , Pages 05

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