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Job cyclicality provides timely signals on Texas, U.S. business cycle
Kalkunte, Prithvi; Yousuf, Mariam (2025-04-22)
The cyclicality of industries and their behavior provide early indications of economic turning points in Texas and the U.S. and provide a timelier view than other data that are widely used to confirm downturns and expansions.
Dallas Fed Economics

Hours Worked by Women Age 55 to 61 Confound Labor Market Analysis
Gross, Andrew; Zarazaga, Carlos E. (2019-11-26)
The seemingly anomalous low LIUR of one particular demographic group poses a challenge for assessing the extent to which the U.S. economy is currently close to full employment.
Dallas Fed Economics

Working Paper
Can Reputation Discipline the Gig Economy? Experimental Evidence from an Online Labor Market
Sojourner, Aaron; Benson, Alan; Umyarov, Akhmed (2018-12-28)
Just as employers face uncertainty when hiring workers, workers also face uncertainty when accepting employment, and bad employers may opportunistically depart from expectations, norms, and laws. However, prior research in economics and information sciences has focused sharply on the employer?s problem of identifying good workers rather than vice versa. This issue is especially pronounced in markets for gig work, including online labor markets, where platforms are developing strategies to help workers identify good employers. We build a theoretical model for the value of such reputation ...
Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers , Paper 16

Why Human Capital Matters Why Human Capital Matters
Monge-Naranjo, Alexander (2020-10-13)
An economist at the St. Louis Fed discusses the growing importance of human capital in determining a nation’s income.
On the Economy

Reading the Labor Market in Real Time
Bharadwaj, Asha; Dvorkin, Maximiliano (2020-06-09)
A coincident index developed by one of our economists can help gauge the pace of the recovery and obtain real-time information on the state of the labor market.
On the Economy

U.S. Labor Market Slack Created by COVID-19 Pandemic Has Been Absorbed
Howard, Sean; Rich, Robert W.; Tracy, Joseph (2021-10-07)
The weaker-than-expected August labor market report should not obscure the labor market’s ongoing and significant progress while recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Dallas Fed Economics

Discussion Paper
Introduction to Heterogeneity Series II: Labor Market Outcomes
Chakrabarti, Rajashri (2020-03-03)
While average outcomes serve as important yardsticks for how the economy is doing, understanding heterogeneity—how outcomes vary across a population—is key to understanding both the whole picture and the implications of any given policy. Following our six-part look at heterogeneity in October 2019, we now turn our focus to heterogeneity in the labor market—the subject of four posts set for release tomorrow morning. Average labor market statistics mask a lot of underlying variability—disparities that factor into labor market dynamics. While we have written about labor market ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20200303

Online Retailing, Self-Employment Disrupt Inflation
Duca, John V. (2019-04-16)
The employment status of increasing numbers of workers has become contingent in recent years—that is, there is greater freelance, or “gig,” employment. This development has coincided over the past two decades with an era of increasing online commerce that provides consumers a wider array of products and services at competitive prices.
Dallas Fed Economics

Working Paper
The Effect of Immigration on Local Labor Markets: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure
Abramitzky, Ran; Ager, Phillip; Boustan, Leah; Cohen, Elior; Hansen, Casper (2021-09-30)
In the 1920s, the United States substantially reduced immigration by imposing country-specific entry quotas. We compare local labor markets differentially exposed to the quotas due to variation in the national origin mix of their immigrant populations. U.S.-born workers in areas losing immigrants did not gain in income score relative to workers in less exposed areas. Instead, in urban areas, European immigrants were replaced with internal migrants and immigrants from Mexico and Canada. By contrast, farmers shifted toward capital-intensive agriculture, and the immigrant-intensive mining ...
Research Working Paper , Paper RWP 21-09

Monograph
Gone to Texas: immigration and the transformantion of the Texas economy
Zavodny, Madeline; Orrenius, Pia M.; LoPalo, Melissa (2013)
The United States welcomes more immigrants than any other country, and Texas welcomes more migrants?foreign and domestic?than any other state. Nearly half of all new arrivals to the state are foreign born. With a population of over 4 million immigrants, Texas is one of the top three states in terms of the number of foreign born living within its borders. Immigration to Texas has been both a cause and consequence of rapid regional growth. The strong economy and the Texas business model?low taxes, few regulations and a low cost of labor?have attracted many businesses and workers in recent ...
Monograph

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