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Working Paper
Inflation, Volatility, and Growth

This paper re-examines the relationship between inflation, inflation volatility and growth using cross-country panel data for the past 30 years. With regard to the level of inflation, we find that in contrast to current findings which are based on cross-sectional time-average regression comparisons, exploiting the time dimension of the data reveals a strong negative correlation between inflation and income growth for all but very low inflation countries. To examine the role of inflation uncertainty on growth, we use intra-year inflation data to construct an annual measure of inflation ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 1996-19

Working Paper
The Lead of Output over Inflation in Sticky Price Models

Output growth is negatively correlated with inflation, and detrended output is positively correlated with inflation, in the major North American and European economies. In addition, output growth and detrended output lead inflation. I explore the consistency of these correlations with three models of price adjustment: the partial adjustment model, a staggered price setting model, and the P-bar model. The ratio of the variance of supply to demand shocks necessary to match the pattern of output- inflation correlations can be ranked across the three models; the P-Bar model requires the lowest ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 1996-33

The effects of a stronger dollar on U.S. prices

Since 2014:Q3, the U.S. dollar has experienced the third-fastest appreciation in over 30 years, with its nominal exchange and real exchange rate rising 15 percent against almost all foreign currencies (as measured by the Major Currencies Dollar Index). This sudden and rapid gain has engendered concerns about how a stronger dollar will affect U.S. export and import prices and ultimately, consumer prices and inflation in the United States. This paper assembles a rich database, spanning the period from 1985:Q1 through 2014:Q4, that combines several measures of prices and exchange rates in order ...
Current Policy Perspectives , Paper 15-9

U.S. Economic Outlook

Remarks by Michael H. Moskow President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Jewish United Fund Luncheon - The Standard Club - 320 S. Plymouth Ct. Chicago, IL. March 7, 2007.
Speech , Paper 9

IL Wesleyan University Associates Business Luncheon

Remarks for the IL Wesleyan University Associates Business Luncheon, May 14, 2010 Bloomington, IN
Speech , Paper 40

Monetary Policy in a Low-Inflation Environment: Developing a State-Contingent Price-Level Target

Remarks delivered by Charles Evans before the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's 55th Economic Conference on October 16, 2010, in Boston, Mass.
Speech , Paper 48

Accommodative Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Safeguards

A speech delivered on February 4, 2014, at the Detroit Economic Club in Detroit, MI.
Speech , Paper 3

Recurring Themes for the New Year

A speech delivered on January 15, 2014, at the Corridor Economic Forecast Luncheon in Coralville, IA.
Speech , Paper 2

U.S. Economic Outlook

Remarks by Michael H. Moskow President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. University Club of Chicago - Learn at Lunch Lecture - 76 E. Monroe St., Chicago, IL. A speech delivered on February 16, 2007 in Chicago, Illinois.
Speech , Paper 7

U.S. Economic Outlook

Remarks by Michael H. Moskow President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Speech , Paper 5


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Armantier, Olivier 5 items

Topa, Giorgio 5 items

Van der Klaauw, Wilbert 5 items

Zafar, Basit 5 items

Evans, Charles L. 4 items

Knotek, Edward S. 4 items

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E31 18 items

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