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Speech
Bullard Discusses Policy Rate Needed to Lower Inflation with Bloomberg TV
Bullard, James B. (2022-10-19)
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard discussed the policy rate needed to get inflation down during an Oct. 19 interview on Bloomberg TV. He gave the interview at the St. Louis Fed ahead of the annual Homer Jones Memorial Lecture.In the September Summary of Economic Projections, the Federal Open Market Committee seemed to be coalescing around further rate increases at upcoming meetings, even by the end of the year, Bullard said. He noted that most of that has been priced into markets. He said he would anticipate that’s having an impact, which is good news for trying to get inflation ...
Speech

Journal Article
Measuring Market-Based Inflation Expectations
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2021-04-14)
TIPS offer a hedge against inflation risks, so demand for these securities may be up because investors are worried about longer-run inflation.
Economic Synopses , Issue 6 , Pages 1-2

Briefing
Detecting Inflation Instability
Wolman, Alexander L. (2023-03)
In a stable monetary policy regime, the share of relative price increases helps to explain monthly inflation fluctuations. We illustrate this regularity with U.S. data from January 1995 through February 2020, then we use it to evaluate whether the regime has remained stable during the pandemic period. From March 2021 to February 2022, the behavior of inflation and the share of relative price increases was inconsistent with the pre-pandemic regime. Recent data show some signs of a return to that regime.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Volume 23 , Issue 11

Speech
Discussion of "Monetary Policy Transmission to Real Activity"
Williams, John C. (2025-03-07)
Remarks at the 2025 US Monetary Policy Forum, New York City.
Speech

Conference Paper
Surprising similarities: recent monetary regimes of small economies
Rose, Andrew K. (2013-11)
In contrast to earlier recessions, the monetary regimes of many small economies have not changed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. This is due in part to the fact that many small economies continue to use hard exchange rate fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the new stability is due to countries that float with an inflation target. Though a few have left to join the Eurozone, no country has yet abandoned an inflation targeting regime under duress. Inflation targeting now represents a serious alternative to a hard exchange rate fix for small economies seeking ...
Proceedings , Issue Nov , Pages 1-44

Working Paper
Fiscal Dominance
Martin, Fernando M. (2021-09-20)
Who prevails when fiscal and monetary authorities disagree about the value of public expenditure and how much to discount the future? When the fiscal authority sets debt as its main policy instrument it achieves fiscal dominance, rendering the preferences of the central bank, and thus its independence, irrelevant. When the central bank sets the nominal interest rate it renders fiscal impatience (its debt bias) irrelevant, but still faces its expenditure bias. I find that the expenditure bias has a major impact on welfare through higher public spending, while the effect on other policies is ...
Working Papers , Paper 2020-040

Journal Article
Supply Chain Disruptions, Inflation, and the Fed
Mullin, John (2022-07)
Used cars became a hot commodity during the pandemic, with their prices increasing by roughly 50 percent between January 2020 and December 2021. The spike in used car prices was a prominent example of how global supply chain disruptions have contributed to U.S. inflation. It also highlighted the complexity of global supply and demand relationships.
Econ Focus , Volume 22 , Issue 3Q , Pages 14-17

Speech
Restoring price stability
Logan, Lorie (2023-02-14)
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered this address on Feb. 14, 2023, at Prairie View A&M University.
Speeches and Essays

Journal Article
Inflation’s Last Half Mile: Higher for Longer?
Verbrugge, Randal J. (2024-05-30)
Will inflation quickly return to the FOMC’s target of 2 percent? I explore this question through the lens of the Verbrugge and Zaman (2023) model—the VZ model—a structural model whose forecasts are competitive with hard-to-beat forecasting models. The time it takes to get to the target depends on the persistence of inflation, and theory gives mixed signals about whether inflation persistence is currently high or low. The VZ model distinguishes between two sources of inflation persistence, extrinsic and intrinsic, and implies that inflation has high intrinsic persistence. If the ...
Economic Commentary , Volume 2024 , Issue 09 , Pages 8

Speech
Bullard Discusses U.S. Economy with District Business Leaders
Bullard, James B. (2021-11-18)
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard participated in a virtual discussion with business leaders and bankers from Seymour, Ind., and other areas of Jackson County, Ind. During the event, which was hosted by the St. Louis Fed’s Louisville Branch, he addressed questions on inflationary pressures in 2021, supply chain disruptions, labor force participation, a potential housing bubble, infrastructure spending, the national debt and other topics.Bullard meets regularly with groups in the four zones that make up the St. Louis Fed’s District to share insights on the U.S. economy, as well as to ...
Speech

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