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Keywords:auto industry 

Working Paper
What's Good for GM...? Using Auto Industry Stock Returns to Forecast Business Cycles and Test the Q-Theory of Investment

We examine the ability of auto industry stock returns to forecast quarterly changes in the growth rates of real GDP, consumption, and investment. We find that auto stock returns are superior to aggregate stock market returns in predicting growth rates of GDP and various forms of consumption. The superior predictive power of auto returns holds for both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts and has not declined over time. We then apply a finding in this paper---that market returns have no explanatory power for future output or consumption growth when auto returns are included in the ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 1996-38

Newsletter
The Impact of Trade on the North American Auto Industry

On September 4–5, 2019, the Chicago Fed held a conference at its Detroit Branch to discuss trade’s role in shaping the North American auto industry. This event brought together nearly 100 attendees, including industry leaders, academics, and policymakers.
Chicago Fed Letter , Volume 427 , Issue 427

Newsletter
The Impact of Trade on the North American Auto Industry

On September 4–5, 2019, the Chicago Fed held a conference at its Detroit Branch to discuss trade’s role in shaping the North American auto industry. This event brought together nearly 100 attendees, including industry leaders, academics, and policymakers.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue 427

Speech
Welcoming Remarks, Auto Manufacturing Conference

Remarks by Michael H. Moskow President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - 230 S. LaSalle Street, Chicago, Illinois - June 11, 2007.
Speech , Paper 14

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