Search Results
Showing results 1 to 5 of approximately 5.
(refine search)
The Evolution of Household Net Worth during COVID-19
The U.S. economy suffered a huge shock with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, yet asset returns were relatively high during the recovery. Who benefited?
Working Paper
Tradability of Output, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
I examine the effect of a firm's tradability, the proportion of output that is exported abroad, on its stock returns. There are three novel empirical findings: (1) firms with higher tradability have more cyclical asset returns; (2) firms with higher tradability have more cyclical earnings growth; (3) returns of a portfolio long on firms with the highest tradability and short on firms with the lowest tradability can predict the real exchange rate. The empirical patterns are consistent with the relative price adjustment of tradable and non-tradable goods to business cycles driven by endowment ...
Working Paper
Disaster Risk and Asset Returns : An International Perspective
Recent studies have shown that disaster risk can generate asset return moments similar to those observed in the U.S. data. However, these studies have ignored the cross-country asset pricing implications of the disaster risk model. This paper shows that standard U.S.-based disaster risk model assumptions found in the literature lead to counterfactual international asset pricing implications. Given consumption pricing moments, disaster risk cannot explain the range of equity premia and government bill rates nor the high degree of equity return correlation found in the data. Moreover, the ...
Working Paper
Firm Networks and Asset Returns
This paper argues that changes in the propagation of idiosyncratic shocks along firm networks are important to understanding variations in asset returns. When calibrated to match key features of supplier-customer networks in the United States, an equilibrium model in which investors have recursive preferences and firms are interlinked via enduring relationships generates long-run consumption risks. Additionally, the model matches cross-sectional patterns of portfolio returns sorted by network centrality, a feature unaccounted for by standard asset pricing models.
Journal Article
Considerations for the Longer-Run Maturity Composition of the Federal Reserve’s Treasury Portfolio
The Federal Reserve’s Treasury portfolio is weighted toward long-duration assets, reflecting large-scale asset purchases deployed after the financial crisis and again during the pandemic. In the longer run, policymakers may prefer to return to a shorter-duration Treasury portfolio like the Fed maintained before 2008. However, the exact composition of the portfolio will depend on how policymakers balance competing considerations: policy space, interest rate risk, market neutrality, and safe-asset provision.