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Introducing the SCE Public Policy Survey
Households cope with considerable uncertainty in forming plans and making decisions. This includes uncertainty about their personal situations as well as about their external environment. An important source of uncertainty arises from (often abrupt) changes in government policy, including changes in tax rates and in the benefit level of social programs. Tracking individuals? subjective beliefs about future policy changes is important for understanding their behavior as consumers and workers. For example, knowing the extent to which tax changes and other shifts in public policy are anticipated ...
How Widespread Is the Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak on Consumer Expectations?
In a recent blog post, we showed that consumer expectations worsened sharply through March, as the COVID-19 epidemic spread and affected a growing part of the U.S. population. In this post, we document how much of this deterioration can be directly attributed to the coronavirus outbreak. We then explore how the effect of the outbreak has varied over time and across demographic groups.
Evolving consumer behavior: remarks at the National Retail Federation Annual Convention, Jacob K. Javits Convention Center, New York City
Remarks at the National Retail Federation Annual Convention, Jacob K. Javits Convention Center, New York City.
Remarks at the Fifth Data Management Strategies and Technologies Workshop
Remarks at the Fifth Data Management Strategies and Technologies Workshop, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
The National and Local Economic Outlook: An Update--Remarks at the University of Bridgeport, Bridgeport, Connecticut.
Remarks at the University of Bridgeport, Bridgeport, Connecticut.
The national and regional economy
Remarks at the New Jersey Performing Arts Center, Newark, New Jersey.
The advantages of probabilistic survey questions: remarks at the IT Forum and RCEA Bayesian Workshop, keynote address, Rimini, Italy, May 2016
Remarks at the IT Forum and RCEA Bayesian Workshop Keynote Address, Rimini, Italy.