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Working Paper
Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks
Aguiar-Conraria, Luis; Wen, Yi
(2006)
This paper offers a plausible explanation for the close link between oil prices and aggregate macroeconomic performance in the 1970s. Although this link has been well documented in the empirical literature, standard economic models are not able to replicate this link when actual oil prices are used to simulate the models. In particular, standard models cannot explain the depth of the recession in 1974-75 and the strong revival in 1976-78 based on the oil price movements in that period. This paper argues that a missing multiplier-accelerator mechanism from standard models may hold the key.
Working Papers
, Paper 2005-042
Working Paper
An international perspective on oil price shocks and U.S. economic activity
Balke, Nathan S.; YĆ¼cel, Mine K.; Brown, Stephen P. A.
(2008)
The effect of oil price shocks on U.S. economic activity seems to have changed since the mid-1990s. A variety of explanations have been offered for the seeming change?including better luck, the reduced energy intensity of the U.S. economy, a more flexible economy, more experience with oil price shocks and better monetary policy. These explanations point to a weakening of the relationship between oil prices shocks and economic activity rather than the fundamentally different response that may be evident since the mid-1990s.> ; Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of world ...
Globalization Institute Working Papers
, Paper 20
Journal Article
Black gold
Levy, Yvonne
(1974)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Newsletter
The 1973 oil crisis: one generation and counting
Hervey, Jack L.
(1994-10)
Chicago Fed Letter
, Issue Oct
Journal Article
Concentration of energy production and processing on the Gulf Coast
Fossum, Carrie Ann; Siddik, Iram; Gilmer, Robert W.
(2005-12)
Houston Business
, Issue Dec
Journal Article
The impact of oil prices on economic activity
Robertson, John C.
(2002-07)
EconSouth
, Volume 4
, Issue Q3
, Pages 1
Journal Article
Implications of a tariff on oil imports
Anderson, Gerald H.; Kowalewski, K. J.
(1986-09)
An examination of the possible positive and negative effects that could result from a hypothetical $10 per barrel increase in tariffs on crude oil and refined oil products.
Economic Commentary
, Issue Sep
Journal Article
Export Alaskan oil?
Levy, Yvonne
(1979)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Commodity futures index trading and spot oil prices
Gavin, William T.
(2012)
Politicians, market participants, and economists have argued about whether the increased trading induced by the growth of index funds over the past decade is a cause of high commodity prices.
Economic Synopses
Journal Article
U.S. natural gas prices heat up
Brown, Stephen P. A.
(2003-09)
Southwest Economy
, Issue Sep
, Pages 1, 9-12
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