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Working Paper
Discussion of Preston, \"Learning about monetary policy rules when long-horizon expectations matter\"
Honkapohja, Seppo (2003)
The design of interest rate rules for conducting monetary policy have recently been examined for two key concerns. The first issue is determinacy of equilibria. Indeterminacy (multiplicity of stationary rational expectations equilibria) is a concern in models of monopolistic competition and price stickiness are currently a popular framework for the study of monetary policy. The second issue is stability of equilibria under adaptive learning. Some interest rate rules do not perform well when the expectations of the agents get out of equilibrium, e.g. as a result of structural shifts.
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 2003-19

Journal Article
Monetary policy and the great crash of 1929: a bursting bubble or collapsing fundamentals?
Cogley, Timothy (1999)
FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
Exact utilities under alternative monetary rules in a simple macro model with optimizing agents
Kim, Jinill; Henderson, Dale W. (1999)
We construct an optimizing-agent model of a closed economy which is simple enough that we can use it to make exact utility calculations. There is a stabilization problem because there are one-period nominal contracts for wages, or prices, or both and shocks that are unknown at the time when contracts are signed. We evaluate alternative monetary policy rules using the utility function of the representative agent. Fully optimal policy can attain the Pareto-optimal equilibrium. Fully optimal policy is contrasted with both 'naive' and 'sophisticated' simple rules that involve, respectively, ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 635

Journal Article
Monetary policy shocks and long-term interest rates
Edelberg, Wendy; Marshall, David A. (1996-03)
Exogenous shocks to monetary policy strongly affect short-term interest rates, but have little or no effect on longer-term interest rates.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 20 , Issue Mar , Pages 2-17

Working Paper
Channel systems: Why is there a positive spread?
Marchesiani, Alessandro; Berentsen, Aleksander; Waller, Christopher J. (2010)
An increasing number of central banks implement monetary policy via two standing facilities: a lending facility and a deposit facility. In this paper we show that it is socially optimal to implement a non-zero interest rate spread. We prove this result in a dynamic general equilibrium model where market participants have heterogeneous liquidity needs and where the central bank requires government bonds as collateral. We also calibrate the model and discuss the behavior of the money market rate and the volumes traded at the ECB?s deposit and lending facilities in response to the recent ...
Working Papers , Paper 2010-049

Report
Establishing credibility: evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank
Goldberg, Linda S.; Klein, Michael W. (2005)
The perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the history of its policy decisions. In this paper, we present a novel empirical framework that uses high-frequency data to test for persistent variation in market perceptions of central bank inflation aversion. The first years of the European Central Bank (ECB) provide a natural experiment for this model. Tests of the effect of news announcements on the slope of yield curves in the euro area and on the euro-dollar exchange rate suggest that the market's perception of the policy ...
Staff Reports , Paper 231

Journal Article
Activist monetary policy for good or evil? The new Keynesians vs. the new Classicals
Stark, Tom; Taylor, Herbert E. (1991-03)
Business Review , Issue Mar , Pages 17-25

Speech
Building Financial System Resilience
Mester, Loretta J. (2024-02-29)
To conclude, a resilient financial system plays an important role in ensuring a strong economy. After the global financial crisis, steps were taken to shore up the resilience of the banking system. Systemically important banking institutions have higher capital and liquidity buffers and better risk-management systems than they did. The sound banking system was able to lend important support to households and businesses throughout the pandemic. But the financial system is dynamic, with new products, business models, and technologies being introduced, and the economic environment can change ...
Speech

Working Paper
Price-level determinacy, lower bounds on the nominal interest rate, and liquidity traps
Alstadheim, Ragna; Henderson, Dale W. (2004)
We consider monetary-policy rules with inflation-rate targets and interest-rate or money-growth instruments using a flexible-price, perfect-foresight model. There is always a locally-unique target equilibrium. There may also be below-target equilibria (BTE) with inflation always below target and constant, asymptotically approaching or eventually reaching a below-target value, or oscillating. Liquidity traps are neither necessary nor sufficient for BTE which can arise if monetary policy keeps the interest rate above a lower bound. We construct monetary rules that preclude BTE when fiscal ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 795

Working Paper
U.S. monetary policy and econometric modeling: tales from the FOMC transcripts 1984-1991
Marquez, Jaime R.; Edison, Hali J. (1998)
This paper uses the transcripts from the FOMC meetings to characterize the interactions between policymakers and macro models in the formulation of U.S. monetary policy. We develop a taxonomy of these interactions and present two case studies. The first case focuses on the debate on the choice of monetary target and the second case focuses on the 1990/1991 recession. The analysis reveals that U.S. monetary policy relies on models for information. Models give estimates of both the outlook and the response of the economy to policy changes. Models also evolve to recognize the changing context in ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 607

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