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Working Paper
Barriers to international capital flows: when, why, how big, and for whom?
Yip, Chong K.; Espinosa-Vega, Marco A.; Smith, Bruce D. (2000)
Until recently, the trend in world capital markets has been toward increasing ?globalization.? Recent events in Latin America and Asia have forced a rethinking of the desirability of unrestricted world capital flows. In this paper we ask whether simple restrictions on capital mobility can succeed in reducing the volatility of funds flows, whether such restrictions are consistent with the long-term development of the countries that might impose them, whether such restrictions are beneficial for poorer countries while harming wealthier countries, and whether barriers to capital movements should ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 2000-16

Conference Paper
How forward-looking is optimal monetary policy?
Woodford, Michael; Giannoni, Marc (2003)
We calculate optimal monetary policy rules for several variants of a simple optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism with sticky prices and/or wages. We show that robustly optimal rules can be represented by interest-rate feedback rules that generalize the celebrated proposal of Taylor (1993). Optimal rules, however, require that the current interest rate operating target depend positively on the recent past level of the operating target, and its recent rate of increase, in a way that is characteristic of estimated central bank reaction functions, but not of Taylor's proposal.
Proceedings

Speech
The economy and monetary policy: follow the demand
Williams, John C. (2013)
Presentation to The Forecasters Club, New York, New York, February 21, 2013
Speech , Paper 116

Working Paper
Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior
Rogers, John H.; Faust, Jon (1999)
While much empirical work has addressed the role of monetary policy shocks in exchange rate behavior, conclusions have been clouded by the lack of plausible identifying assumptions. We apply a recently developed inference procedure allowing us to relax dubious identifying assumptions. This work overturns some earlier results and strengthens others: i) Contrary to earlier findings of "delayed overshooting," the peak exchange rate effect of policy shocks may come nearly immediately after the shock; ii) In every otherwise reasonable identification, monetary policy shocks lead to large ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 652

Journal Article
Monetary policy, money supply, and the Federal Reserve's operating procedures
Axilrod, Stephen H. (1982-01)
Federal Reserve Bulletin , Issue Jan , Pages 13-24

Journal Article
Monetary policy as equilibrium selection
Antinolfi, Gaetano; Azariadis, Costas; Bullard, James B. (2007-07)
Can monetary policy guide expectations toward desirable outcomes when equilibrium and welfare are sensitive to alternative, commonly held rational beliefs? This paper studies this question in an exchange economy with endogenous debt limits in which dynamic complementarities between dated debt limits support two Pareto-ranked steady states: a suboptimal, locally stable autarkic state and a constrained optimal, locally unstable trading state. The authors identify feedback policies that reverse the stability properties of the two steady states and ensure rapid convergence to the constrained ...
Review , Volume 89 , Issue Jul , Pages 331-342

Journal Article
Monetary policy and financial market expectations: what did they know and when did they know it?
Wheelock, David C.; Pakko, Michael R. (1996-07)
Interest rates sometimes seem to respond to Federal Reserve policy actions in unexpected ways--for example, falling when the Fed " tightens" monetary policy or rising when the Fed "eases" policy. In this article, Michael R. Pakko and David C. Wheelock attempt to demystify such responses. They show how trading in the federal funds futures market reveals public expectations of Federal Reserve actions, and how our knowledge of these expectations can help us interpret the behavior of interest rates.
Review , Volume 78 , Issue Jul , Pages 19-32

Speech
Transparency and monetary policy
Plosser, Charles I. (2012-05-03)
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, University of California, Santa Barbara Economic Forecast Project 2012, May 3, 2012
Speech , Paper 69

Journal Article
The zero lower bound and longer-term yields
Swanson, Eric T. (2013)
The Federal Reserve lowered its traditional monetary policy instrument, the federal funds rate, to essentially zero in December 2008. However, economic activity generally depends on interest rates with longer maturities than the overnight fed funds rate. Research shows that interest rates with maturities of two years or more were largely unconstrained by the zero lower bound until at least late 2011. This suggests that, despite the zero bound, the Fed has been able to continue conducting monetary policy through medium- and longer-term interest rates by using forward guidance and large-scale ...
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
The Federal Reserve’s unconventional policies
Williams, John C. (2012)
After the federal funds rate target was lowered to near zero in 2008, the Federal Reserve has used two types of unconventional monetary policies to stimulate the U.S. economy: forward policy guidance and large-scale asset purchases. These tools have been effective in pushing down longer-term Treasury yields and boosting other asset prices, thereby lifting spending and the economy. This Letter is adapted from a presentation by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco at the University of California, Irvine, on November 5, 2012.
FRBSF Economic Letter

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