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Journal Article
Macroeconomic models for monetary policy

This Economic Letter summarizes the papers presented at the conference "Macroeconomic Models for Monetary Policy" held at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco on March 1-2, 2002, under the joint sponsorship of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
How does an increase in government purchases affect economy?

This article studies the impact on aggregate economic activity of increases in defense purchases which are unrelated to other developments in the economy. The authors use empirical evidence to evaluate the predictions of several prominent models.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 22 , Issue Q III , Pages 29-43

Journal Article
Two approaches to macroeconomic forecasting

Economic Quarterly , Issue Sum , Pages 23-40

Working Paper
The stock market and monetary policy: the role of macroeconomic states

Working Papers , Paper 9516

Household production and taxation in the stochastic growth model

We estimate a dynamic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy that includes an explicit household production sector. We use these estimates to investigate two issues. First, we analyze how well the model accounts for aggregate fluctuations. Second, we use the model to study the effects of fiscal policy. We find household production has a significant impact, and reject a nested specification in which changes in the home production technology do not matter for market variables. The model generates very different predictions for the effects of tax changes than similar models without home ...
Staff Report , Paper 166

Journal Article
Macroeconomic principles and monetary policy

Economic Quarterly , Volume 90 , Issue Win , Pages 1-9

Journal Article
Learning, rational expectations and policy: a summary of recent research

Review , Issue Jan , Pages 50-60

Journal Article
Policy update : A pinch of Basel?

Related links:
Econ Focus , Volume 15 , Issue 1Q , Pages 9

Journal Article
A summary of the conference on real-time data analysis.

The conference focused on five topics: data revisions, forecasting, policy analysis, financial research, and macroeconomic research. In "A Summary of the Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis," Tom Stark reviews the papers presented at the conference
Business Review , Issue Q 1 , Pages 5-11

Working Paper
Cracks in the facade: American economic and financial structures after the boom

The United States experienced a historic boom during the late 1990s and briefly into the new millennium, highlighted by rapid economic and productivity growth, surging corporate profitability, sustained business investment in many areas, including high technology and telecommunications, and a soaring stock market. Many observers concluded that a "new era" had arrived. Meanwhile, the prestige of the Federal Reserve rose along with faith in the U.S. economy and its stock market. Deflation of the great boom brings with it many unanswered questions. Was there ever really a "new era" in the ...
Working Papers , Paper 2002-026



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