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A retrospective look at the U.S. productivity growth resurgence
Stiroh, Kevin J.; Ho, Mun S.; Jorgenson, Dale W. (2007)
It is now widely recognized that information technology (IT) was critical to the dramatic acceleration of U.S. labor productivity growth in the mid-1990s. This paper traces the evolution of productivity estimates to document how and when this perception emerged. Early studies concluded that IT was relatively unimportant. It was only after the massive IT investment boom of the late 1990s that this investment and underlying productivity increases in the IT-producing sectors were identified as important sources of growth. Although IT has diminished in significance since the dot-com crash of ...
Staff Reports , Paper 277

Working Paper
Revisiting the role of home production in life-cycle labor supply
Faberman, R. Jason (2010)
This paper revisits the argument, posed by Rupert, Rogerson, and Wright (2000), that estimates of the intertemporal elasticity of labor supply that do not account for home production are biased downward. The author uses the American Time Use Survey, a richer and more comprehensive data source than those used previously, to replicate their analysis, but he also explores how other factors interact with household and market work hours to affect the elasticity of labor supply. An exact replication of their analysis yields an elasticity of about 0.4, somewhat larger than previously estimated. Once ...
Working Papers , Paper 10-3

Working Paper
The economics of labor adjustment : mind the gap
Willis, Jonathan L.; Cooper, Russell W. (2003)
We study inferences about the dynamics of labor adjustment obtained by the "gap methodology" of Caballero and Engel [1993] and Caballero, Engel and Haltiwanger [1997]. In that approach, the policy function for employment growth is assumed to depend on an unobservable gap between the target and current levels of employment. Using time series observations, these studies reject the partial adjustment model and find that aggregate employment dynamics depend on the cross-sectional distribution of employment gaps. Thus, nonlinear adjustment at the plant level appears to have aggregate ...
Research Working Paper , Paper RWP 03-05

Working Paper
How biased are measures of cyclical movements in productivity and hours?
Figura, Andrew; Aaronson, Stephanie (2005)
The movement of hours worked over the business cycle is an important input into the estimation of many key parameters in macroeconomics. Unfortunately, the available data on hours do not correspond precisely to the concept required for accurate inference. We study one source of mismeasurement--that the most commonly used source data measure hours paid instead of hours worked--focusing our attention on salaried workers, a group for whom the gap between hours paid and hours worked is likely particularly large. We show that the measurement gap varies significantly and positively with changes in ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2005-38

Journal Article
The recession, the recovery, and the productivity slowdown
Cogley, Timothy (1993)
FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
The role of capital service-life in a model with heterogenous labor and vintage capital
Tantivong, Wuttipan; Marquis, Milton H.; Trehan, Bharat (2009)
We examine how the economy responds to both disembodied and embodied technology shocks in a model with vintage capital. We focus on what happens when there is a change in the number of vintages of capital that are in use at any one time and on what happens when there is a change in the persistence of the shocks hitting the economy. The data suggest that these kinds of changes took place in the U.S. economy in the 1990s, when the pace of embodied technical progress appears to have accelerated. We find that embodied technology shocks lead to greater variability (of output, investment and labor ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2009-24

Journal Article
Where's the productivity growth (from the information technology revolution)?
Allen, Donald S. (1997-03)
Information technology has advanced rapidly in the last two or three decades, and an equivalent rapid gain in economy-wide productivity has been anticipated. Productivity statistics, however, do not support this expectation. Although productivity growth has risen since the slowdown witnessed in the 1970s, it can hardly be described as phenomenal. Donald S. Allen discusses some of the current explanations for this apparent disparity and suggests that, as the workforce catches up to the technology level and exploits its full potential, productivity growth will increase.
Review , Issue Mar , Pages 15-25

Working Paper
Labor productivity and job-market flows: trends, cycles, and correlations
King, Thomas B. (2005)
I derive measures of U.S. job-separation and job-matching rates from aggregate Current Population Survey data. Using an unrestricted unobserved-components approach, I decompose these series into trends and cycles and compare the results with the trend and cyclical behavior of labor-productivity growth. Both transitory and permanent shocks to productivity are strongly positively correlated with fluctuations in the rate of job matching and negatively correlated with cyclical fluctuations in separation rates. Productivity growth thereby accounts for about a third of the overall variation in the ...
Supervisory Policy Analysis Working Papers , Paper 2005-04

Working Paper
Disaggregation and the labor productivity index
Haltmaier, Jane; Beebe, Jack (1981)
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory , Paper 106

Working Paper
Does overtime use affect marginal cost?
Roberts, John M. (1989)
Working Paper Series / Economic Activity Section , Paper 95

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