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Keywords:Inflation (Finance) 

Journal Article
The Fed's anti-inflationary strategy: is it adequate?

Inflation remains a potential longer-run threat to the health of the economy despite the progress made in reducing the inflation rate in recent years. The Fed must have a credible strategy in place to meet this threat. As Richmond Fed president Robert P. Black notes in this speech to business economists, a strategy centered around targeting monetary aggregates may still be the best approach over time, even after account is taken of the technical problems encountered in using aggregates as targets in the 1980s. Black argues that the substitution of a rule for the present discretionary approach ...
Economic Review , Volume 73 , Issue Sep , Pages 3-9

Journal Article
The concept of indexation in the history of economic thought

Economic Review , Volume 60 , Issue Nov , Pages 1-16

Journal Article
Demographic differences in inflation expectations: what do they really mean?

It has often been reported that different demographic groups show persistent differences in their inflation expectations. Some reasonable explanations have been suggested, but most have failed to fully explain these apparent differences. We argue that the demographic differences have been overstated by using the mean to describe differences across demographic groups. When we use the median to describe inflation expectations, we find little meaningful difference across demographic groups.
Economic Commentary , Issue May

Journal Article
The financial crisis and inflation expectations

One measure of a successful monetary policy is its ability to anchor expectations about future inflation rates. Financial crises, such as that of 2008?09, can be considered natural experiments that test this anchoring. The effects of the crisis on inflation expectations were largely temporary in the United States, but longer-lasting in the United Kingdom. That is surprising because the United Kingdom had a formal inflation target during this period. Expectations may have been affected more because inflation stayed above the central bank?s target for extended periods following the crisis.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Journal Article
The response of real output and inflation to monetary policy

Economic Review , Issue Sum , Pages 45-70

Conference Paper
Globalization and global disinflation : commentary

Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Journal Article
North Texas income dip may reflect decline in education

Southwest Economy , Issue Sep , Pages 10

Working Paper
Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge

A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an imperfect understanding of the macroeconomic landscape within which the public forms expectations and policymakers must formulate and implement monetary policy. Using an estimated model of the U.S. economy, we show that monetary policy rules that would perform well under the assumption of rational ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2006-20

Discussion Paper
Electronic money: the end of inflation?

We study economies where government currency and electronic money, drawn from interest bearing deposits in private financial intermediary institutions, are full substitutes. We analyze the impact of competition on policy outcomes under different assumptions regarding: the objectives of the central bank, the ability of the monetary authorities to commit to future policies, and the legal restrictions in the form of reserve requirements on financial intermediaries. Electronic money competition can discipline a revenue maximizing government and result in lower equilibrium inflation rates, even ...
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics , Paper 122

Journal Article
Do wages help predict inflation?

In the financial press, productivity-related wages are often cited as an inflation indicator. For example, recently slow rates of wage growth have been noted as a factor that will keep inflation rates low in the future. While inflation and wage growth do appear to be highly correlated over longer time periods, it is not clear whether movements in wage growth precede movements in inflation, thereby providing predictive content for future inflation. In this article, Kenneth Emery and Chih-Ping Chang examine the usefulness of wage growth as a predictor of inflation, as well as carry out a ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q I , Pages 2-9

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